So #FOMC decides to keep rates unchanged at 0%-0.25%
Interest on excess reserves raised by 5bps from 0.10% to 0.15%
Inflation forecast raised by 100bps from 2.4% to 3.4%,though #Fed says long term goal is 2%
No #RateHike before 2023,says Powell;In March,he said,not before 2024
So called overnight #Repo operations where banks exchange high-end collateral for reserves,have been seeing record demand lately,as institutions look for any yield above the negative rates they are seeing in some markets
No plans to stop $120bn of monthly Bond purchases by #Fed
In separate matter,#FOMC announced,it would extend dollar-swap lines with global central banks through end of the yr
Currency program is the last #Covid-era initiative,Fed took to keep global markets flowing
Basically,Fed decides to stay with liquidity glut&easy money policy
Despite inflationary pressures,with May Headline at 5.4%&Core Inflation at 3.8% in US,highest since 2008,one would have expected #RateHikes in 2022
But #Powell clearly saying two rate hikes only in 2023,means you can expect #Liquidity driven inflation across the globe #FOMC#Fed
Decision to not raise rates will keep US #Dollar in check
#EasyMoney policy will lead to further surge in #AnimalSpirits,with money flowing into Stocks,Bonds, Gold&Commodities,across Markets
Yes--We are in the middle of a huge #AssetBubble,which will get bigger before it bursts
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Globally #Inflation is rising because of co-ordinated fiscal stimulus,that has led to asset prices,zooming;For instance,annualized inflation in USA is 9.7%;2yrs back,US was in throes of #Disinflation
$6 trillion stimulus by #Biden has led to too much money chasing too few goods
For those wanting to know why the difference in #WPI&CPI,figures well,weights of items in CPI are based on average household expenditure,taken from consumer expenditure surveys
Weightage of Primary articles in #CPI is 55%+,with Food group alone having weight of 39.06% #Inflation
Global Food Index in May is up 39.7% YoY,due to drought in many parts of the globe
#GlobalFoodIndex is measured by #FAO Food Price Index,#FFPI,which is a measure of monthly changes in international prices of a basket of #food commodities;It consists of average of five commodity group price indices,weighted by average export shares of each group over 2014-2016
.@INCIndia trolls elated at minus 7.3% GDP growth in FY21,forgetting this was a #Pandemic year,in fact the worst pandemic in 102yrs
Good News in 4Q👇
GDP growth was 1.6% despite consensus of minus 1.4%
GVA growth was 3.7% Vs consensus of 2.6%
Industrial growth was solid 6.9%
In fact,both in Q3&Q4FY21,India reported positive GDP&GVA growth
Industrial growth also was +ve for 2 qtrs in a row at 1.7%&6.9%
Agricultural growth has been a positive 3%+ in every single qtr,in last 4 qtrs
Construction growth has been a massive 6.5%&14.5% in Q3&Q4 #Economy
Some channels conveniently showing how WPI under @narendramodi govt has risen sharply,to 10.49% in April 2021
It is not #WPI but #CPI that matters& #RetailInflation measured by CPI was just 4.2% in April,with food inflation at 2.02%&Vegetable Inflation at minus 14.18% #Economy
#AatmaNirbharBharat is not just about Vocal for Local,but creating ecosystem that welcomes global investors&while in 1991,India had to pledge 47 tonnes of Gold,to raise $400mn,under @narendramodi govt,our #ForexReserves are $590bn,3rd highest globally
The Modi Govt ’s most important work has been in domain of women empowerment--From banning commercial surrogacy,to amending Medical Terminal of Pregnancy Act,to Menstrual protocol, strengthening POCSO&banning instant #TripleTalaq💪
Farmer welfare is top priority for The Modi Govt;From sowing to selling& insurance,#FarmLaws give Farmers freedom to sell at price they wish to&at place of their choosing
Over Rs 1.35 lakh Cr credited directly to bank accounts of Farmers via #PMKisan
Enterprise is the lifeblood of the economy and PM Modi understands that.India’s historic rise in Ease of Doing Business is based on policies that have replaced the red tape with a red carpet..The Modi Govt saw #EODB rise by a massive 79 points+ 💪
When govt enables people's aspirations rather than being an obstacle, Ease of Living is achieved. Ease of process in citizen govt interfaces,ease of doing business &push to digital India are transforming India.
PM Modi has led a historic battle against corruption.Honesty is honoured&transparency is the norm.From getting British national Christian Michel extradited from UAE,to Vijay Mallya losing appeal in UK Supreme Court,thx to watertight case by Modi Govt,to now,nailing Mehul Choksi💪
Suddenly Mamata Banerjee,in her arrogance,stormed in&handed bunch of papers on cyclone impact to PM&said she is leaving as she has other meets lined up
If this was not shocking enough, #MamataBanerjee even did not allow officers of Bengal Govt to make a presentation #CycloneYaas