So #FOMC decides to keep rates unchanged at 0%-0.25%

Interest on excess reserves raised by 5bps from 0.10% to 0.15%

Inflation forecast raised by 100bps from 2.4% to 3.4%,though #Fed says long term goal is 2%

No #RateHike before 2023,says Powell;In March,he said,not before 2024
So called overnight #Repo operations where banks exchange high-end collateral for reserves,have been seeing record demand lately,as institutions look for any yield above the negative rates they are seeing in some markets

No plans to stop $120bn of monthly Bond purchases by #Fed
In separate matter,#FOMC announced,it would extend dollar-swap lines with global central banks through end of the yr

Currency program is the last #Covid-era initiative,Fed took to keep global markets flowing

Basically,Fed decides to stay with liquidity glut&easy money policy
Despite inflationary pressures,with May Headline at 5.4%&Core Inflation at 3.8% in US,highest since 2008,one would have expected #RateHikes in 2022

But #Powell clearly saying two rate hikes only in 2023,means you can expect #Liquidity driven inflation across the globe
#FOMC #Fed
Decision to not raise rates will keep US #Dollar in check

#EasyMoney policy will lead to further surge in #AnimalSpirits,with money flowing into Stocks,Bonds, Gold&Commodities,across Markets

Yes--We are in the middle of a huge #AssetBubble,which will get bigger before it bursts

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More from @Sanju_Verma_

14 Jun
Opposition is screaming about Inflation,but India under @narendramodi has curbed #Inflation,versus global peers

#VegetableInflation in India is minus 1.92% in May&Food inflation 5.01%

Globally,#FoodInflation up 39.7%, Cereal up 36.6%,Wheat price up 28% &Maize 89.3%

My thread👇
Globally #Inflation is rising because of co-ordinated fiscal stimulus,that has led to asset prices,zooming;For instance,annualized inflation in USA is 9.7%;2yrs back,US was in throes of #Disinflation

$6 trillion stimulus by #Biden has led to too much money chasing too few goods
For those wanting to know why the difference in #WPI&CPI,figures well,weights of items in CPI are based on average household expenditure,taken from consumer expenditure surveys

Weightage of Primary articles in #CPI is 55%+,with Food group alone having weight of 39.06%
#Inflation
Read 5 tweets
14 Jun
#RetailInflation in May 2021 is 6.3%,Vs 4.23% in April

Core Inflation is 6.6%,Vs 5.4%
Food Inflation is 5.01% Vs 1.96%

Despite uptick,@narendramodi
govt has done very well to rein in #Inflation

Global Food Index in May is up 39.7% YoY,due to drought in many parts of the globe
#GlobalFoodIndex is measured by
#FAO Food Price Index,#FFPI,which is a measure of monthly changes in international prices of a basket of #food commodities;It consists of average of five commodity group price indices,weighted by average export shares of each group over 2014-2016
Why have #Food prices surged globally?

Argentina saw a big drought

Ukraine&Russia also suffered from drought&inclement weather

Indonesia&Malaysia,biggest producers of #PalmOil,have curbed exports,as govts in these countries have made blending of Palm Oil,with fuel,mandatory
Read 10 tweets
31 May
.@INCIndia trolls elated at minus 7.3% GDP growth in FY21,forgetting this was a #Pandemic year,in fact the worst pandemic in 102yrs

Good News in 4Q👇

GDP growth was 1.6% despite consensus of minus 1.4%

GVA growth was 3.7% Vs consensus of 2.6%

Industrial growth was solid 6.9%
In fact,both in Q3&Q4FY21,India reported positive GDP&GVA growth

Industrial growth also was +ve for 2 qtrs in a row at 1.7%&6.9%

Agricultural growth has been a positive 3%+ in every single qtr,in last 4 qtrs

Construction growth has been a massive 6.5%&14.5% in Q3&Q4
#Economy
Some channels conveniently showing how WPI under @narendramodi govt has risen sharply,to 10.49% in April 2021

It is not #WPI but #CPI that matters& #RetailInflation measured by CPI was just 4.2% in April,with food inflation at 2.02%&Vegetable Inflation at minus 14.18%
#Economy
Read 10 tweets
30 May
#AatmaNirbharBharat is not just about Vocal for Local,but creating ecosystem that welcomes global investors&while in 1991,India had to pledge 47 tonnes of Gold,to raise $400mn,under @narendramodi govt,our #ForexReserves are $590bn,3rd highest globally

#7YearsOfSeva

My Thread👇
The Modi Govt ’s most important work has been in domain of women empowerment--From banning commercial surrogacy,to amending Medical Terminal of Pregnancy Act,to Menstrual protocol, strengthening POCSO&banning instant #TripleTalaq💪

#7YearsOfModiJi
#7yearsofModigovt #7YearsOfSeva Image
Farmer welfare is top priority for The Modi Govt;From sowing to selling& insurance,#FarmLaws give Farmers freedom to sell at price they wish to&at place of their choosing

Over Rs 1.35 lakh Cr credited directly to bank accounts of Farmers via #PMKisan

#7yearsofmodi #7YearsOfSeva Image
Read 9 tweets
30 May
Enterprise is the lifeblood of the economy and PM Modi understands that.India’s historic rise in Ease of Doing Business is based on policies that have replaced the red tape with a red carpet..The Modi Govt saw #EODB rise by a massive 79 points+ 💪

#7YearsOfSeva #7yearsofModigovt
When govt enables people's aspirations rather than being an obstacle, Ease of Living is achieved. Ease of process in citizen govt interfaces,ease of doing business &push to digital India are transforming India.

DBT has transferred over 13 Lakh Cr
#7YearsOfSeva #7yearsofModigovt
PM Modi has led a historic battle against corruption.Honesty is honoured&transparency is the norm.From getting British national Christian Michel extradited from UAE,to Vijay Mallya losing appeal in UK Supreme Court,thx to watertight case by Modi Govt,to now,nailing Mehul Choksi💪
Read 7 tweets
28 May
#MamataBanerjee is Arrogant &Unmindful of Welfare of People of #Bengal

Today,PM landed at Kalaikunda airbase after doing aerial survey in #Odisha&Bengal

When PM arrived to attend meet, there was no one from Bengal Govt&Mamata has audacity to talk of #Federalism?

#CycloneYaas
Both CM #MamataBanerjee&Chief Secretary of West Bengal were present in same premises&yet they did not receive PM

#PM,Governor&Union ministers patiently waited for half an hour for #WestBengal representatives to turn up

@MamataOfficial is a deplorable leader,consumed by hubris👎
Suddenly Mamata Banerjee,in her arrogance,stormed in&handed bunch of papers on cyclone impact to PM&said she is leaving as she has other meets lined up

If this was not shocking enough, #MamataBanerjee even did not allow officers of Bengal Govt to make a presentation
#CycloneYaas
Read 4 tweets

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