Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #Powell

Most recents (24)

#Fed Chair #Powell start the press conference with a strong message on banking

"Conditions in the banking sector have broadly improved since early March and the US banking system is sound and resilient. We will continue to monitor conditions in the sector" Image
"Committed learning the right lessons from this episode and we will work to prevent these events from happening again. VC Barr's review underscores need to address our rules & supervisory practices to make for stronger & + resilient banking system & I'm confident we will do so"
#Fed Chair Powell:
"Looking ahead we will take a data dependent approach in determining additional policy affirming may be appropriate."
It will take time however for the full effects of monetary restraint to be realized, especially on inflation."
Read 24 tweets
Herkese g羹nayd覺n D羹n a癟覺klanan birka癟 #makroekonomi verisinden bahsederek konuya giri yapal覺m.D羹n #ABD - Yeni konut sat覺 verisi a癟覺kland覺 ve bir 繹nceki veriye g繹re art覺 g繹sterdi.
+++孝
Yeni ev sat覺lar覺, konut sekt繹r羹ndeki faaliyetlerin ve istihdam覺n bir g繹stergesi olarak ekonomiye katk覺 salar. Yeni evlerin inas覺, inaat sekt繹r羹ne i imkan覺 yarat覺r ve malzeme tedarik癟ileri, taeronlar ve m羹teahhitler gibi dier sekt繹rler de bu faaliyetten faydalan覺r.
+++孝
Yeni evlerin sat覺覺, ayr覺ca t羹ketici harcamalar覺nda art覺a neden olabilir ve bu da ekonominin b羹y羹mesine katk覺da bulunabilir.Ancak, y羹ksek talep, d羹羹k arz ve s覺n覺rl覺 ev stoku gibi fakt繹rler nedeniyle yeni ev fiyatlar覺 artt覺k癟a,#enflasyon da etkileyebilirler.
+++孝
Read 21 tweets
Herkese g羹nayd覺n D羹n piyasan覺n fiyatlad覺覺 gibi 25 bps faiz artt覺r覺m覺 geldi.#Powell'覺n a癟覺klamalar覺ndan 癟覺kan sonuca gelicek olursak.#Fed ve powell,bankac覺l覺k sekt繹r羹ndeki son olaylar覺n etkilerine ramen ekonominin salam olduunu vurgularken

+++孝
faiz oranlar覺nda 繹nemli bir deiiklik olmayaca覺n覺 繹ng繹rd羹. Ancak, Powell, faizleri y羹kseltmeye haz覺r olduklar覺n覺 belirtti ve enflasyonun hedef seviyesine ulamas覺 i癟in ek faiz art覺r覺mlar覺n覺n gerekebileceini ifade etti.
+++孝
Powell, 21 Mart 2023 tarihinde yapm覺 olduu a癟覺klamada, ABD'deki ekonomik durumu belirleyen en iyi g繹sterge olarak, faiz oran覺 erisinin ilk 18 ay覺na bakman覺n 繹nemli olduunu belirtmitir.
+++孝
Read 21 tweets
Herkese g羹nayd覺n 繹ncelikle #ramazan ay覺m覺z m羹barek olsunbug羹n #bitcoin ve piyasalar i癟in 繹nemli bir g羹n.#FED , #enflasyon ve banka krizilerinin aras覺nda kritik bir karar vericek. (kriptoles.com/22-mart-bitcoi)
+++孝 Image
#Fed'in #faiz oranlar覺n覺 0.25 puan art覺raca覺na ve b繹ylece faiz oranlar覺n覺n %4,75 ila %5 aral覺覺na y羹kseleceine dair yakla覺k %87 oran覺nda bir olas覺l覺k hesaplan覺yorr. Bu oran son olarak 2007 y覺l覺nda k羹resel finansal krizin balang覺c覺nda g繹r羹len seviyelere ulam覺t覺.
+++孝 Image
Wall Street bankalar覺,#Fed'in faiz oranlar覺n覺 duraklat覺p art覺rmayaca覺 konusunda ikiye b繹l羹nm羹 durumda.Ama 癟ounluk 25 bps artt覺raca覺 y繹n羹nde d羹羹n羹yor.
+++孝 Image
Read 25 tweets
Basta.
Il denaro si crea.
La Banche centrali non possono fallire.
Questo 癡
in inglese ma almeno sbattete a tradurlo.
Read 8 tweets
1/ M廙T K廕 HO廕CH KH廙NG L廙 V廙I #FedNow .

R廙 rng 繫ng #Powell kh繫ng n籀i nh廕吮, v c觼ng kh繫ng n籀i 羅a.

c廙吧 繫ng 廕句 kh繫ng ch廙 l #CBDC , m c簷n c籀 1 th廙 c簷n 獺ng s廙 hヾn #CBDC 籀 l #FedNow - d廙ch v廙 chuy廙n ti廙n xuy礙n bi礙n gi廙i t廙妾 th穫, 24/7, 365 ngy/ nm.

...
2/ #Fednow l d廙ch v廙 が廙θ ph獺t hnh v i廙u hnh tr廙帷 ti廕穆 b廙i c廙卉 d廙 tr廙 li礙n bang M廙- FED.

Trが廙c 璽y, c廙卉 ny c籀 m廙t vi d廙ch v廙 ti ch穩nh nhが lがu k羸, DV ch廙姊g kho獺n, DV qu廙, ... a ph廕吵 l nh廕痂 廕積 c獺c t廙 ch廙妾 Ti ch穩nh.

C簷n l廕吵 ny,#FedNow r廕另 kh獺c
3/ #FedNow cung c廕叼 c獺c d廙ch v廙 chuy廙n ti廙n r廕另 a d廕》g: P2P ( ngが廙i v廙i ngが廙i), A2A ( ti kho廕τ v廙i ti kho廕τ nhが Crypto l v穩 v廙i v穩), B2B ( doanh nghi廙p-DN), B2C ( doanh nghi廙p vs ngが廙i ti礙u d羅ng), C2B, ngが廙i ti礙u d羅ng 廕積 c獺c t廙 ch廙妾 ti ch穩nh, ....
Read 13 tweets
With regional banks on their back foot, yield curve suggesting imminent recession and a Fed facing both a fragilized financial system and inflation, DoubleLine CEO Jeffrey Gundlach shares his views with @ScottWapnerCNBC 12 pm PT/3 pm ET today on CNBC.

#rates #banks #Powell
Gundlach: All of us have experienced nothing but systematically declining interest rates over the last 40 years. We all think we know things based on our past experience. But we've no experience for a climate of rapidly rising interest rates.
Jeffrey Gundlach: This regional bank crisis may portend problems down in the riskier areas of credit, including high yield corporate bonds.

These companies may experience trouble refinancing and rolling over their debt.
Read 22 tweets
1/"CRYPTO S廕 V廙 0 N廕銳 NHか HOA K廙 TUNG RA #CBDC."

ng #Powell kh繫ng n籀i 羅a. Ae n礙n nh穫n vo s廙 th廕負.
H繫m nay t繫i s廕 l礙n bi v廙 CBDC. S廕 hヾi di, ae ch廙u kh籀 廙c nh矇. N廕簑 ai th穩ch th穫 tranh lu廕要, i vo v廕叩 廙, 廙南g vo ch廙 th廙 v廕叩 廙. OK.

廕吟 ti礙n ch繳ng ta
2/ c廕吵 hi廙u CBDC l g穫? L 廙ng ti廙n fiat k廙 thu廕負 s廙, が廙θ ph獺t hnh tr礙n m廕》g lが廙i "b獺n blockchain"- hi廙u th廕 cho d廙. V穫 n籀 s廕 が廙θ ph獺t hnh tr礙n m廕》g lが廙i blockchain nhがng l廕【 が廙θ ch穩nh ph廙 ki廙m so獺t 100%.

V が廙θ c獺c ch穩nh ph廙 ph獺t hnh ra CNG NH廕昧
3/ V廕軌 th穫, CBDC kh獺c g穫 so v廙i ti廙n gi廕句 v ti廙n s廙 (ti廙n trong ti kho廕τ ng璽n hng c廙吧 ta)?
CBDC l lo廕【 ti廙n thu廕負 to獺n th繫ng qua m廕》g lが廙i "blockchain" n礙n s廕 t廕要 d廙叩g が廙θ nh廙疸g 廕搾 t穩nh c廙吧 m廕》g lが廙i phi t廕計 trung:
1. giao d廙ch d廙 dng, nhanh ch籀ng
Read 30 tweets
In testimony before #Congress yesterday, @federalreserve #ChairPowell unsurprisingly displayed resolve that the central banks fight to return inflation closer to its 2% target is unfinished and that the historical record suggests that relenting too soon would be a mistake.
Chair #Powell signaled more rate hikes and a higher terminal rate than previous #Fed projections, and an openness to adjust the pace of rate hikes depending on the totality of the data.
With the strength recently witnessed in the #LaborMarket data, in various #inflation measures and in #economic growth readings more generally, this resolve by policymakers would seem to be not only required, but critical to returning inflation to more normal levels.
Read 9 tweets
"The Bond Paradox: Why Longer Term Bonds Yield Less than Short Term Bonds?"

Yield= Return of Investment on Bond

[THREAD孝]

1) During this current period of uncertainty, investors may be willing to accept lower yields on safer longer-term bonds.

#Powell #TreasuryBills #Fed
This can increase demand for longer-term bonds.

When the demand for a bond increases, its price goes up, leading to investors buying bonds at a premium and ultimately resulting in a decrease in yield or return.
2) Central banks may increase short-term interest rates to control inflation or cool down an overheating economy.

Investors may opt for fixed deposits with banks as they offer a more attractive rate of return, causing a decline in demand for existing shorter-term bonds.
Read 4 tweets
1) #Powell'覺n Konumas覺

#FED'in son toplant覺s覺ndan notlar alanlar i癟in beklendii gibi ahin; h璽l璽 iyimser olanlar i癟inse sert a癟覺klamalar i癟eren bir g羹n geride kald覺.

nce mevcut durumda FED faizlerine (eriler, sol eksen) ve #faiz art覺lar覺na (turkuaz, sa eksen) bakal覺m.
2) Enflasyon ve isizlik verilerine bal覺 olarak ge癟en seneki 75 baz puanl覺k art覺lar覺n 50 ve 25 bp ekline d繹n羹mesi FED pivot umutlar覺n覺 harekete ge癟irmiti.

Ancak #enflasyon cephesinde hen羹z zafer ilan etmek i癟in erken. Manet (beyaz) ve 癟ekirdek (mavi) enflasyon h璽l璽 y羹ksek.
3) artlar b繹yle olunca da hisse senetleri piyasas覺nda sat覺lar g繹r羹l羹rken tahvil getirilerinde art覺lar覺n olduu bir kapan覺 izledik.

Her ne kadar portf繹y羹mdeki hisse a覺rl覺覺 s羹rse de nakit stratejimle gelimeleri takip etmeye devam edeceim.
Read 5 tweets
Heute vor 20 Jahren, am 14. Februar 2003, hielt der 恫 Auenminister, Dominique de #Villepin, eine Rede vor dem VN-#Sicherheitsrat, in der er die US-Regierung vor der Invasion des Iraks warnte. Langer Thread zur Vorgeschichte, den Inhalten der Rede und ihren Konsequenzen: 1/29
Beginnen wir mit der Vorgeschichte: Am 22. Januar hatte der 恫 Pr瓣sident Jacques #Chirac anl瓣sslich des 40. Jubil瓣ums des #lys矇e-Vertrags in Paris betont: "DEU und FRA sind gleicher Auffassung. Alles muss getan werden, um einen Krieg zu verhindern" spiegel.de/politik/deutsc. 2/29
Einen Tag sp瓣ter unterstrich BP Johannes #Rau im Schloss Bellevue vor Gerhard #Schr繹der, Jacques Chirac und den beiden Kabinetten den Wert 拎/恫#Vers繹hnung f羹r 返: Unsere Partner wissen, wie wichtig es ist, dass DEU und FRA gemeinsam vorangehen bundespraesident.de/SharedDocs/Red. 3/29
Read 31 tweets
求iscorso di #Powell all'Economic Club di Washington

Fra una ventina di minuti zio Powell torner a parlare dopo il recente #FOMC.

Seguiamo #live il discorso per capire se la #FED confermer la sua posizione o se verr in contro ai mercati

LIVE THREAD漎儭孝
@crypto_gateway @GatewayMeme @CryptoMeme_Ita @MemeingBitcoin @AFTSDCrypto @hardrockcrypto @MarcheseCrypto @TradingonIt @BitCryptoRepost @financialjuice 2/ Prima di cominciare 癡 molto interessante l'intervento di ieri di Bostic della FED:

"Se necessario si potr rivalutare la possibilit di tornare ad almeno un rialzo di 50 bps."
Read 24 tweets
#Bojo Recounts #Putin #Missile Attack Threat | -2h
- "He sort of threatened me at one point and said, 'Boris, I don't want to hurt you, but with a missile, it would only take a #minute,' or something like that," Johnson quoted Putin as saying
themoscowtimes.com/2023/01/30/for
@BorisJohnson @RishiSunak
The world has suffered for decades from the #AngloSaxon #AgathaChristie psychopath poisoning operations.
- That is why it is good for everyone that the #satanic forces are vaporized, asap.
propaganda.news/2023-02-16-put ImageImage
@BorisJohnson @RishiSunak #PortonDown #Salisbury #Skripals #Syria #Douma #OPCW #Novichok #Navalny
1. #Novichok was used and produced in the #US since 2008. #Patent US 9,132,135 b2 | Sep 17, 2020.
2. #PortonDown: #Salisbury nerve agent 'attack' reveals $70M #Pentagon program
Read 26 tweets
If you haven't read it
From our newsletter:
$DJI
"Last Friday it managed - just like the $DJT and $IWM - to make a solid upward breakout... did so on high volume... close above the 20, 50, 100 and 200DMA.
All indicates that this will most likely be the way forward for the #SPX"
" #DJT made an excellent breakout and closed above 20 and 100DMA. It closed right at its 50DMA. Bullish action from a leading indicator. $DJT will have to surpass the conjunction of 50DMA and 200DMA next week, in order to validate more upward moves"
It did that yesterday

#ES_F
$QQQ

"A follow up rally is expected to allow it to break out of the Noise Box and break above at least the 20DMA.
On Monday it broke above the Noise Box, yesterday above the 20DMA, today above the 50DMA"

#QQQ #NDX #TradingSignals #bearmarket #SPX #ES_F #trading #SPX
Read 10 tweets
$SPX
Our weekly "NEXT WEEK, The Bear's take, The Bull's take, Our take" is here

For more info read our newsletter, it will be out later today

Subscribe for Free

pointblanktrading.substack.com

#SPX $SPY $ES $SPX #ES_F $GAMMA $GEX #GAMMA #GEX $QQQ #QQQ
$DIA $IWM #trading #options
NEXT WEEK

The Bear's take:

㎞ecession is around the corner
Rates
Geopolitical tensions
$PI is coming
Bearish monthly engulfing candle on the main indexes
Charts of market leaders are broken
\earish flag on the index charts

$ES_F $SPX $SPY #SPX #trading
NEXT WEEK

The Bull's take

@nflation/Commodities/Oil/ $DXY are
$DJI and $DJT broke above consolidation
%igher volume on up days
$VIX in strong donwtrend
$VVIX broke below support, is at 2017 levels
㎜ositive divergence from classic indicators
\readth is +
#SPX
Read 5 tweets
It seems that #Zoltan has been quite busy lately!

The newest, already 5th part of his "War"-series, was published on January 6th.

In this little #thread i've summarized some of the highlights of his piece "War and Peace:

"... four war dispatches last year: War and Interest Rates, War and Industrial Policy, War and Commodity Encumbrance, and finally, War and Currency Statecraft. In these, I identified six fronts (..) in macro-land () where Great Powers were going at it in 2022:
"the G7s financial blockade of Russia, Russias energy blockade of the EU, the U.S.s technology blockade of China, Chinas naval blockade of Taiwan, the U.S.s blockade of the EUs EV sector with the Inflation Reduction Act,
Read 35 tweets
Did the #ransomware attack at @HaverAnalytics result in an inadvertent #FOMC projection error?


1/5

#FOMC presser (12/14) contained a statement by #Powell that seemed at odds with incoming data

- #Powell said were going into next year with higher inflation vs Sept FOMC
2/5

As their SEP (survey of economic projections) shows:

- 22 raised 4.8% vs 4.5%
- this raised 2023 inflation
- and added to higher for longer
3/5

But here is what is at odds

- the MoM% chg in inflation
- would have to be staggeringly high to get to #Fed 4.8%
Read 5 tweets
ANSIA-RECAP POST CPI & FOMC in collaborazione con
@C_Giornalino

Facciamo il nostro #ANSIARECAP post #CPI e #FOMC per capire cosa succede sui mercati.

Regolamentazioni, Dot-Plots, Binance Fud e tanto altro, ma prima godiamoci un @SBF_FTX canterino in manette漎儭 Image
Swat Christmas caro SBF
1/ FOMC: I dati hanno scatenato un Sell the News importante sui mercati principali. Gi da settimane il sentiment era positivo per i dati che sarebbero arrivati questi giorni e il risultato 癡 stato uno spike al rialzo delle quotazioni seguito da forti scarichi di vendita. ImageImage
Read 14 tweets
@Juha_Korh2 @oikeusasiamies @RSF_fi @oikeuskansleri
Huomiota her瓣tti, ett瓣 kaikki kiitteliv瓣t #S瓣hk繹-Pekkaa @Haavisto ja #Nuorisos瓣瓣ti繹 -sankaria @anttikaikkonen, jotka 瓣瓣rim瓣isen h瓣rskisti #valehtelivat #NATO'n muka 'suuresta kansan suosiosta.'
@Juha_Korh2 @oikeusasiamies @RSF_fi @oikeuskansleri @Haavisto @anttikaikkonen @SuomenEduskunta
Pj oli #Lautakasa-Matti.
#Jauhojengi-@MarinSanna
kiersi #persut -kysymyksen #Ydinasekielto -sopimuksesta, jota Suomi ei ole hyv瓣ksynyt ja ratifioinut, lukemalla paperista 'liirum-laarum' ja liukeni paikalta.
- Koko tilaisuus oli #NATO'n maksama, arvoton #ilveily Image
@Juha_Korh2 @oikeusasiamies @RSF_fi @oikeuskansleri @Haavisto @anttikaikkonen @SuomenEduskunta @MarinSanna #Mediapooli-#Yle.
Suomalaisia veronmaksajia ja 瓣瓣nest瓣ji瓣 yritet瓣瓣n kohdella kuin sinisilm瓣isi瓣 idiootteja.
- Hehkutettiin 'historiallista #NATO -p瓣瓣t繹st瓣', mutta vain kourallinen #korruptoituja paikalla.

#Eduskunta T瓣ysistunto 13.12.2022 klo 12.
verkkolahetys.eduskunta.fi/fi/taysistunno Image
Read 21 tweets
Great Depression in a single tweet. 1920-1928 was a period of avg growth including 2 recessions. The stock market did 4x between 1921-1929(leveraged purchases). Valuations did not reflect economic reality. Fed hikes-stocks collapse-aggregate demand collapses & rest is, history.
Fast Forward 100 years. Over past 9 years the SP500 was up 2.3X. US Real Economic growth avg 2% at same time. History doesn't repeat but does rhyme. Valuations didn't reflect economic reality and even after a brutal 2022, they still don't reflect reality.
So the question is why then is economy still not entered recession? Simple answer. Aggregate demand. Unemployment is low. Wages are rising. Consumers still spend because they have some confidence in the future. We haven't yet seen demand destruction. Sequencing matters.....
Read 9 tweets
While Fed chair #Powell was "hawkish" in FOMC presser, his statements revealed key factors to "dovish" path

- labor I dont see the case for real softening just yet.
- inflation we havent seen inflation coming down.
- housing still some significant increases coming

1/10
Labor statement below:
- Powell says no sign softening
- yet today's jobs report shows unemployment rate rose +0.2% to 3.7%
- that is a sign of softening

2/10
Inflation, Powell says haven't "seen inflation coming down"
- yet prevalent and widespread signs of price increases cooling
- see prior thread



3/10
Read 10 tweets
Having $30T of #debt (us gov) means each 1% increase ultimately adds $300b to the yearly interest expense. So ~3.3% rise in rates adds $1T of interest. US Gov already runs >$1T and when they trigger another recession it will be $2T in a hurry as #tax revenue falls
#Powell and the #fomc are bullshit boogeymen to people that understand the reality of the situation. They will print and print and print, because they must. Trillions of new dollars flooding into the real economy each year. The fomc will continue to grow its balance sheet
Ignore the noise and short term vol when these guys speak. Empty words. They are in a box and we all know what they will do to avoid bank failures and cascading debt defaults. They are cruelly shaking the tree and punishing the most vulnerable amongst us.
Read 5 tweets
A few quotes from Powell's post #FOMC November Conference:

1. On rate increases:

"At some point..it will become prudent to slow the pace of increases. There is significant uncertainty around that level of interest rates. Even so, we still have some ways to go" Image
2. Main message:

"What I'm trying to do is make sure our message is clear, which is we think we have a ways to go. We have some ground to cover with interest rates before we get to that level of interest rates we think are sufficiently restrictive"

#FOMC #Powell Image
3. Has the window for soft landing narrowed?

"Has it narrowed? Yes. Is it still possible? Yes. We've always said it was going to be difficult. I think to the extent rates have to go higher and stay higher for longer, it becomes harder to see the path. It's narrowed" - Powell
Read 7 tweets

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