The #ASEAN sees #aukus pact increases geopolitical risks in the region, as #aukus is aimed at countering rising Chinese belligerence.
The rise of partnerships in the region, which are not ASEAN-centric causes them concern.
2/ How have various #ASEAN countries reacted to #aukus ?
They've not reacted in unison. Each member expressed its own views. The divergence in opinion was quite apparent.
Brunei did not speak about it.
Indonesia expressed caution with AUKUS.
Malaysia appears astonished.
3/ #Vietnam is more open to #aukus “All countries strive for the same goal of peace, stability, cooperation, and development” & nuclear power can be harnessed for development.
4/ #Thailand has moved closer to China and is buying submarines from it. It feels #aukus will intensify an arms race in the region. #cambodia expects that the #aukus will “not fuel unhealthy rivalries and further escalate tension”. #Myanmar & #Laos have abstained from commenting.
5/ While the #QUAD II summit reassured #ASEAN in a functional manner, the #aukus pricked the balloon of #ASEAN centrality & the notion of its power in the region. It brought attention to the strategic paralysis of #ASEAN which is disguised as strategic autonomy.
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2/ Not long ago, Beijing was economical & targeted with its outrage, only lashing out over major issues.
“Now China just picks fights out of arrogance and bullying.”
After all, if most moves are likely to anger Beijing, why hold back from any of them?
3/ The #USA has led the way in expanding ties with #Taiwan while grappling with an increasingly prickly China.
Similar dynamics are changing the minds of world leaders. In #Europe Beijing’s belligerence dented its image & inadvertently boosted #Taiwan 's international profile.
China increasing depth near #India 's Siliguri corridor
“China is building an alternative axis in the Chumbi valley, which is close to the Siliguri corridor. They are increasing their depth by building roads through Bhutanese territory.”
- via @the_hindu thehindu.com/news/national/…
@the_hindu 2/ The U.S. DoD Report noted that despite dialogues to reduce border tensions, the PRC has “continued taking incremental & tactical actions to press its claims at the LAC.”
In this context, the recent MoU between Bhutan & China was significant & could have implications for India.
3/ Coupled with this, "The PLA had conducted a month-long recruitment drive in Chumbi valley of around 400 Tibetan persons in August, according to intelligence inputs. The aim was to recruit at least one Tibetan aged 18-40 an household into the PLA militia."
2/ Taiwan so far has exercised restraint, putting its F-16s and other aircraft into the sky to challenge Chinese incursions into its air defense zone (ADIZ) but not firing on the intruding aircraft. But if a mistake happens, it will end up a bloody mess.
3/ The US State Department had issued a strong statement condemning China’s violations of Taiwan’s ADIZ even before China responded by sending in 52 planes on Monday. It appears that China does not take Washington seriously and doesn’t care at all what the State Department says.
A new report revealed for the first time that four monks were sentenced up to 20 years in prison on unknown charges. abc.net.au/news/2021-07-0…
2/ The 61-page report by Human Rights Watch found four monks from Tengdro monastery in Tingri county – Choegyal Wangpo, Lobsang Jinpa, Norbu Dondrup, and Ngawang Yeshe – were sentenced to 20, 19, 17, and five years respectively in September 2020.
3/ They were detained after police received a lost phone belonging to Choegyal Wangpo in 2019.
His phone revealed messages sent to exiled monks in a sister monastery in Nepal, and evidence of humanitarian donations following the 2015 earthquake.