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Daniel Hegedus Profile picture
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5 Dec, 4 tweets, 6 min read
Great to see the growing opposition in #Israel to the acquisition of #satellite operator #Spacecom by #4iG, owned by #Orbán's strawman #LőrincMészáros.
THREAD 1/4
haaretz.com/israel-news/.p…
2/4
 There appears to be a growing pattern that #Orbán allies look for investment opportunities in the high-tech end of the international defence & security sector. (See the case of #AeroVodochody and its Hungarian investors)
reuters.com/article/uk-aer…
3/4
 While acquiring lucrative foreign investments (which the seriously indebted #Spacecom is not) might be a logical strategy for a #corrupt #RentSeeking elite, like the circles of #Orbán, there is definitely more behind this story.
4/4
 Their focus on the #Security & #Defence sector is highly disturbing in light of the fact that #Orbán is widely considered to be a #TrojanHorse of the #Kremlin & #Beijing, while #Hungarian investors enjoy
the position provided by the country's #NATO & #EU membership.

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More from @DanielHegedus82

Daniel Hegedus Profile picture
5 Dec
What is in the background of the #Lega-#PiS fallout?
THREAD 1/6
#Lega is divided on the question what should be the party's future direction. There is a growing support for heading to #EPP, which puts pressure on @matteosalvinimi, who is otherwise very pragmatic in this question.
2/6
 So #Salvini has more options and leeway than his #RadicalRight counterparts, but he also needs palpable results what he can present for his constituency.
#Lega
3/6
 Allegedly there was an agreement between #Lega & #PiS (or at least that was Lega's communication in the 🇮🇹 media) that #PiS and some of its #ECR allies will join #ID, and that will be the formal and procedural way to forge a single new #RadicalRight political group in the 🇪🇺.
Read 6 tweets
Daniel Hegedus Profile picture
4 Dec
European #RadicalRight jamboree soon resumes in #Warsaw, without @matteosalvinimi & his #Lega. Maybe I am wrong, but considering the recent fallout between the host #PiS & #Lega, it is rather unlikely that today's meeting will result in anything else than #PR pure.
THREAD 1/3
2/3
 The union of European #RadicalRight doesn't appear to be an actual political reality and showcasing close coordination and joint plans for the future is perhaps more difficult for #Lega, #RN, #PiS, #Fidesz & #FratellidItalia than ever since 2019.
3/3
 IMHO we won't see similar multilateral gatherings of leading #RadicalRight parties for a while. The main reason that #LePen & #Orbán are present is face saving to avoid the public perception of a total collapse of cooperation.
Read 7 tweets
Daniel Hegedus Profile picture
27 Nov
On a leaked audio recording, chairman of the #Hungarian parliament #KövérLászló calls 🇭🇺opposition the most significant #NationalSecurity threat the country is facing and asks the 🇭🇺 domestic intelligence agency to mitigate this threat. (THREAD 1/5)
444.hu/2021/11/27/kov…
2/5
 #Kövér addressed the leadership of the domestic intelligence/counter-intelligence agency #AVH in February 2020.
3/5 This piece of information may shed new light on the #PegasusAffair in 🇭🇺 & raises the impression that #IntelligenceAgencies may be systematically used by the incumbent #OrbanRegime in #Hungary to conduct surveillance of the #DemocraticOpposition, independent journalists ...
Read 7 tweets
Daniel Hegedus Profile picture
22 Nov
I feel deeply humbled by the opportunity that I could participate and talk at this weekend's #FutureofDemocracy Forum, the official side event of the #SummitforDemocracy organized by the @LithuaniaMFA in Vilnius.
A rather long THREAD 1-10.
#FoDVilnius2021
2.
 My main message was that a #DemocracyAgenda focusing mostly on the malicious external interference of #authoritarian great powers and #AuthoritarianEncroachment can be easily doomed to fail for a simple reason.
futureofdemocracyforum.com
3.
External #ForeignMeddling is only in a small-part responsible for #autocratization and #illiberal developments in the Western World. The main drivers of autocratization in #EU & #NATO countries are overwhelmingly domestic.
Read 10 tweets
Daniel Hegedus Profile picture
12 Dec 20
Some thoughts on the legality of the #EUCO #RuleofLaw declaration
THREAD 1/5
Partially in contrast to this analysis ... 👇
2/5
 IMHO the regulation doesn't have to have retroactive effect, as it comes into force on January 1, 2021. The coming into force is not postponed, just @EU_Commission
refrains from proposing measures under the regulation, which does not exclude the monitoring of situation in MS.
3/5
 @EU_Commission isn't legally bound by the declaration, but apparently is part of the political deal. As the Commission has high margin of discretion how it fulfils its task as Guardian of the Treaties, it can hardly be sued for not proposing measures for any reason.
Read 6 tweets
Daniel Hegedus Profile picture
9 Dec 20
Run-up to the #EUCO
#RoL THREAD 1/12

According to information leaked from #Polish diplomatic circles, there is an agreement between the 🇭🇺&🇵🇱 governments & @EU2020DE on the modalities of ending the #BudgetBlockade.
@jancienski @VALERIEin140 @MarkusBecker
444.hu/2020/12/09/kes…
2/12
According to the plan, an #EUCO declaration will explain/limit the scope of the #RuleofLaw conditionality regulation as well as the timeframe of its application. The deal was allegedly sealed by #Orban & #Morawiecki Tuesday evening. @RULEOFLAWpl
rmf24.pl/newsamp-kompro…
3/12
Apparently #EUCO is ready to declare that member states will refrain from the application of the regulation in the Council as long as #CJEU is not ruling about the action for annulment case which will be brought forward against the regulation by 🇵🇱& 🇭🇺.
@PiotrBuras1
Read 16 tweets

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