The former head of the Natl Intelligence Council thinks America is falling apart -- civilly, or towards civil war? Civility?
"In a country whose extreme violence...can only be accounted for by the omnipresence of guns, we would be foolhardy to bet on it." thearticle.com/civil-war-is-c…
At FT @gideonrachman cites the above, adding:
"The mood of near-despair in #America is nurturing the opposite emotion among the #Chinese elite — a growing conviction that their country is outperforming the US and will eventually displace it as the world’s dominant power."
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2/"#XiJinping proclaimed that 'the east is rising & the west is in decline'.
The fact that America has suffered 800,000 deaths as a result of the #Covid19#pandemic, while #China claims a toll of below 5,000, is cited as evidence of the superiority of the Chinese system."
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3/"When Antony Blinken condemned Chinese actions over #HongKong & #Taiwan, his Chinese counterpart Yang Jiechi reacted: “The US does not have the qualifications to say that it wants to speak to China from a position of strength.” ft.com/content/31d265…
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Imperial Coll in London issued a rather grim assessment of #Omicron in the UK.
Key findings:
- "The growth rates estimated for Omicron translate into doubling times of under 2.5 days"
- "reproduction number (R) estimates for
Omicron are above 3"
MORE imperial.ac.uk/news/232698/mo…
2/ - "We find strong evidence of immune evasion, both from natural infection, where the risk of reinfection
is 5.41-fold higher for #Omicron than for #Delta & from #vaccine-induced protection.
- Prior study of UK healthcare workers
est'ed that #SARSCoV2 infection...
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3/ cont
- ... gave 85% protection against reinfection over 6 months . Against #Omicron protection anti-reinfection drops to only 19%.
- "We find no evidence of Omicron having different severity from #Delta ."
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2/ In his Winter Solstice speech @POTUS will tackle hospital #Omicron crises by:
•Mobilizing 1,000 troops to deploy to #COVID19 -burdened hospitals
•Deploying Federal medical personnel available to states immediately
•Activating FEMA response teams to help States
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3/ #Biden#Solstice2021 speech cont.
•Deploying 100s of ambulances & Emergency Medical Teams to transport patients
•Pre-Positioning supplies from the Strategic National Stockpile & deploying ventilators to States.
He'll also be radically ramping up #COVID19 testing.
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There is so much to talk about today. As #Omicron spreads across #NYC like a summer wildfire in California, it seems clear #vaccination offers little protection against infection, but plenty against severe disease. Thanks to the great folks @HKUniversity we know --
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2/ (cont) that #Omicron infects & reproduces in cells of the bronchus and upper airways. The individual may feel fine, but have billions of viruses that constantly expel as they breathe & talk -- infecting others. If they are #vaccinated fully, individuals mount immune --
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3/-- responses that block #Omicron from penetrating alveoli deep in the lungs, causing pneumonia. They remain ambulatory, vaguely "off" but able to see friends, go to the store, dine out -- spreading virus all of the while. So the #vaccines are a clinical triumph, but --
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I tweeted that we are in an #Omicron surge in NYC, but then studied today's data here 👇🏽gothamist.com/news/coronavir…
Mea culpa for sloppy reference to Omicron.
Thread follows based on these numbers
2/First of all, averaging 27,000 new #COVID19 cases/day is not sustainable -- even if fewer than 2% of them require a clinical visit or hospitalization. It's the Holidays, staffing is low, and staff is burned out. If caseloads double by Christmas, hospitals will be full.
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3/ The difference in #COVID19 incidence-by-immunization-rate now in NYC is striking. Vaccination may not offer 100% protection against infection, but it's clearly of enormous benefit.
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Here're gems from #JenPsaki statement on #JoeManchin
"Sen. Manchin claims that this change of position is related to inflation, but the think tank he cites—the Penn Wharton Budg Instit—issued a report <48 hrs ago that the Build Back Better Act will have virtually no..."
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2/ "...impact on inflation in the short term, & in the long run...will ease inflationary pressures."
"#Manchin cited deficit concerns in his statement. But the plan is fully paid for...Manchin knows that: #POTUS has told him that repeatedly, including this wk, face to face."
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3/ "On Tues, Sen #Manchin came to @WhiteHouse & submitted—to #POTUS , in person, directly—a written outline for a #BuildBackBetterAct that was the same size & scope as the President’s, & covered many of the same priorities. Manchin promised to continue conversations..."
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