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Laurie Garrett Profile picture
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25 Dec, 5 tweets, 4 min read
We watched "Don't Look Up" last night -- dumb movie, but convinced me not to hold back inconvenient truths.
So here goes.
#Greenland The Danish Meteorological Institute says huge warming there is linked to #ClimateChange .
How much "warming?"
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2/
 - The capital Nuuk hit 55 F this week -- average temp for this time = 22.5 F
- Further north in Qaanaaq temp topped 46 F -- normal is -4.2 F.
70% of Earth's freshwater is frozen, and #Greenland is the 2nd largest block of ice after #Antarctica. If it were to fully melt...
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3/
 ...world sea levels would rise 23 feet. climate.nasa.gov/faq/30/if-all-…
That would obliterate the homes, schools, workplaces of >10% of the U.S. population. climate.gov/news-features/…
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4/ Sea levels have been rising steadily since the 1980s, and the pace quickened considerably after 2015. climate.gov/news-features/…
When fresh H20 mixes w/seawater it makes the ocean more acidic, which undermines sea chemical processes like the calcium use for making shells.
MORE
So, yeah...Maybe this is why "Don't Look Up" didn't produce belly laughs -- it's hard to satirize a reality of spectacular failure of humanity & leadership to response to #pandemics #ClimateChange #WealthGap and #MassExtinction

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More from @Laurie_Garrett

Laurie Garrett Profile picture
22 Dec
Imperial Coll in London issued a rather grim assessment of #Omicron in the UK.
Key findings:
- "The growth rates estimated for Omicron translate into doubling times of under 2.5 days"
- "reproduction number (R) estimates for
Omicron are above 3"
MORE
imperial.ac.uk/news/232698/mo…
2/
 - "We find strong evidence of immune evasion, both from natural infection, where the risk of reinfection
is 5.41-fold higher for #Omicron than for #Delta & from #vaccine-induced protection.
- Prior study of UK healthcare workers
est'ed that #SARSCoV2 infection...
MORE
3/ cont
- ... gave 85% protection against reinfection over 6 months . Against #Omicron protection anti-reinfection drops to only 19%.
- "We find no evidence of Omicron having different severity from #Delta ."
MORE
Read 5 tweets
Laurie Garrett Profile picture
21 Dec
The former head of the Natl Intelligence Council thinks America is falling apart -- civilly, or towards civil war? Civility?
"In a country whose extreme violence...can only be accounted for by the omnipresence of guns, we would be foolhardy to bet on it."
thearticle.com/civil-war-is-c…
At FT @gideonrachman cites the above, adding:
"The mood of near-despair in #America is nurturing the opposite emotion among the #Chinese elite — a growing conviction that their country is outperforming the US and will eventually displace it as the world’s dominant power."
MORE
2/"#XiJinping proclaimed that 'the east is rising & the west is in decline'.
The fact that America has suffered 800,000 deaths as a result of the #Covid19 #pandemic, while #China claims a toll of below 5,000, is cited as evidence of the superiority of the Chinese system."
MORE
Read 4 tweets
Laurie Garrett Profile picture
21 Dec
Happy Solstice. @POTUS #JoeBiden will address the Nation today, regarding #Omicron #COVID19 & the Holidays.
MORE
2/ In his Winter Solstice speech @POTUS will tackle hospital #Omicron crises by:
•Mobilizing 1,000 troops to deploy to #COVID19 -burdened hospitals
•Deploying Federal medical personnel available to states immediately
•Activating FEMA response teams to help States
MORE
3/ #Biden #Solstice2021 speech cont.
•Deploying 100s of ambulances & Emergency Medical Teams to transport patients
•Pre-Positioning supplies from the Strategic National Stockpile & deploying ventilators to States.

He'll also be radically ramping up #COVID19 testing.
MORE
Read 5 tweets
Laurie Garrett Profile picture
21 Dec
There is so much to talk about today. As #Omicron spreads across #NYC like a summer wildfire in California, it seems clear #vaccination offers little protection against infection, but plenty against severe disease. Thanks to the great folks @HKUniversity we know --
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2/ (cont) that #Omicron infects & reproduces in cells of the bronchus and upper airways. The individual may feel fine, but have billions of viruses that constantly expel as they breathe & talk -- infecting others. If they are #vaccinated fully, individuals mount immune --
MORE
3/-- responses that block #Omicron from penetrating alveoli deep in the lungs, causing pneumonia. They remain ambulatory, vaguely "off" but able to see friends, go to the store, dine out -- spreading virus all of the while. So the #vaccines are a clinical triumph, but --
MORE
Read 7 tweets
Laurie Garrett Profile picture
20 Dec
I tweeted that we are in an #Omicron surge in NYC, but then studied today's data here 👇🏽gothamist.com/news/coronavir…
Mea culpa for sloppy reference to Omicron.
Thread follows based on these numbers
2/First of all, averaging 27,000 new #COVID19 cases/day is not sustainable -- even if fewer than 2% of them require a clinical visit or hospitalization. It's the Holidays, staffing is low, and staff is burned out. If caseloads double by Christmas, hospitals will be full.
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3/ The difference in #COVID19 incidence-by-immunization-rate now in NYC is striking. Vaccination may not offer 100% protection against infection, but it's clearly of enormous benefit.
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Read 8 tweets
Laurie Garrett Profile picture
19 Dec
Here're gems from #JenPsaki statement on #JoeManchin
"Sen. Manchin claims that this change of position is related to inflation, but the think tank he cites—the Penn Wharton Budg Instit—issued a report <48 hrs ago that the Build Back Better Act will have virtually no..."
MORE
2/
 "...impact on inflation in the short term, & in the long run...will ease inflationary pressures."
"#Manchin cited deficit concerns in his statement. But the plan is fully paid for...Manchin knows that: #POTUS has told him that repeatedly, including this wk, face to face."
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3/
 "On Tues, Sen #Manchin came to @WhiteHouse & submitted—to #POTUS , in person, directly—a written outline for a #BuildBackBetterAct that was the same size & scope as the President’s, & covered many of the same priorities. Manchin promised to continue conversations..."
MORE
Read 6 tweets

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