Thread by @I_Katchanovski

In my live interview for national evening show on Canada Corus/@globalnews radio network, I said that social media provide a lot of wishful thinking concerning #RussiaUkraineWar. This applies to Western-dominated Twitter & Facebook & to Russian-dominated Telegram & Vkontakte 1/

@globalnews My assessment is based on my research concerning
#RussiaUkraineWar and and other wars, such as war in #Donbas, second Chechen war & #Russia-Georgia war, and media coverage of these wars. 2/

#Ukraine️ #UkraineRussiaWar #UkraineWar

Putin’s statements suggest that he invaded #Ukraine in order to implement regime change from pro-Western state to pro-Russian or at least neutral state. My analysis suggests that Ukraine is in very difficult situation because #Russia has significant military advantage. 3/

Russian & separatist forces already took control over most of #Donbass in its borders before Donbas war in 2014. They try to capture encircled #Mariupol & encircle #Ukrainian forces in Donbas. #Russian forces apparently plan to encircle #Kyiv & #Kharkiv but not capture them. 4/

Peaceful resolution of #RussiaUkraineConflict would likely entail acceptance by #Zelensky of main Putin’s demands. They include neutrality, demilitarization, “denazification,” #Russian as 2d state language & recognition of Russian annexation of Crimea & Donbas independence. 5/

#Zelensky already conceded to #Russian demand of neutrality. But he can only accept #Crimea annexation & #Donbas independence demands if #Russia would continue its advance. Acceptance of Russian demands by Zelensky could lead to his removal in #Ukraine. 6/
#UkraineWar #Ukrainians

#Putin threatened that failure to accept these demands would mean capitulation or even end of #Ukrainian state. 7/

#UkraineWar #Russian #UkraineRussiaWar #RussianUkraineWar #UkraineRussia #Ukraine️ #Russia

#Zelensky tries to prolong talks with #Russia because he apparently believes in intervention by NATO military forces, such as no-fly zone in #Ukraine, even though this would mean NATO's war with Russia & possible nuclear war. 8/
#UkraineRussiaWar #RussianUkraineWar #UkraineWar

My radio interview concerning #RussianUkrainianWar omny.fm/shows/a-little…