Jeff Seldin Profile picture
Mar 28 15 tweets 10 min read
NEW: Day 33 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine - +1,370 missile launches by Russia, per a senior US defense official

Also - Russian forces:
-"making no efforts" to move on #Kyiv
- stalled around #Chernihiv, #Kharkiv
More: "The Ukrainians are slugging it out in #Mariupol...keeping the #Russia|ns at bay, so far" per a senior US defense official

Russian forces moving to the SE of #Izyum - "incremental progress"

#Kherson remains contested, #Ukraine holding onto #Mykolaiv
#Russia drawing on its forces in #Georgia, seeing indication the Russian military is interested in other reinforcements from elsewhere, per a senior US defense official
US remains focused on providing #Ukraine w/security systems its forces already know how to use, per a senior US defense official

Says shipments from the US, other countries being delivered daily

No update on possibility on Ukraine getting #S300 air defense systems
US has seen "the #Russia|ns announce humanitarian corridors and then shell them" or strike them, over past cpl of weeks, per a senior US defense official
#Russia's "made no progress moving toward #Kyiv. They've made no progress elsewhere in the north," per a senior US defense official

Russian forces "very much in a defensive posture" per the official "The Ukrainians are continuing to try to take back ground" w/success
#Mariupol - "We continue to see Mariupol getting slammed by long-range fires" per a senior US defense official

Reports #Ukrainians fighting very hard but US assesses city "nearly encircled"
#Ukraine air defense systems holding up vs #Russia, per a senior US defense official

Says majority of Ukraine's air defense systems still available to Ukrainian forces-US, allies helping w/resupply

Russia still unable to establish air superiority-"It's remarkable" per official
NEW: US says #Russia has not attempted to interdict any weapons/security shipments to #Ukraine, per a senior US defense official
#Irpin - US not able to verify #Ukraine's claims it has retaken it from #Russia|n forces, per a senior US defense official
#Russia|n forces "are prioritizing the #Donbas area. We're seeing a lot more ground activity in the Donbas" per a senior US defense official

Part of apparent effort to "cut off the Donbas"
NEW: #Russia|n forces-"They clearly are not moving on #Kyiv anymore" per a senior US defense official

Says it appears to be part of Russia's reprioritization of eastern #Ukraine
#Mariupol - no US assessment on casualties there, per a senior US defense official

"We do see the continued just relentless pounding on Mariupol [by #Russia]...we know its having a devastating effect on the town & on the ppl there"
NEW: @USNavy Growlers heading to #Germany "not there to engage #Russia|ns assets" per a senior US defense official

"They are there, as everything else is there...to reinforce our deterrence posture on the Eastern Flank"
NO new communications between US-#Russia, per a senior US defense official

Says not aware of any attempts by US over the weekend to contact Russian counterparts

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More from @jseldin

Mar 29
#Chechens in Ukraine: "They have their own little war in there" @vera_mironov tells @TheSoufanCenter webinar on #Ukraine-#foreignfighters

Says Chechen contingent fighting for #Russia includes prisoners, drug addicts, others who say they take orders only from Ramzan Kadyrov
MORE: Chechen units taking orders from Kadyrov "kind of settling their previous scores" but also being kept far from #Ukraine held territory so they don't defect, per @vera_mironov

There's also a group of #Chechens fighting for #Ukraine, she says
.@dbyman tells @TheSoufanCenter he's "worried there is an intersection" between white supremacist movement & foreign fighters in #Ukraine even if the numbers right now appear to be small
Read 20 tweets
Mar 29
HAPPENING NOW: @US_EUCOM @SHAPE_NATO Commander Gen Tod Wolters testifying before the Senate Armed Services Committee Image
"This is a pivotal moment in #Europe w/generational implications" per @US_EUCOM's Gen Wolters

"#Russia's unprovoked & premeditated attack on #Ukraine has galvanized our allies & global partners," he adds
"As we face the largest conflict in #Europe in 3 generations our TransAtlantic alliance has responded in all warfighting domains" per @US_EUCOM's Gen Wolters

Cites air defense contributions from 11 allies, forward deployment from #Talinn to #Sophia
Read 7 tweets
Mar 28
JUST IN: @DeptofDefense releases 2-page fact sheet on 2022 National Defense Strategy

Top 4 priorities:
-Growing multi-domain threat posed by #China
-Deterring strategic attacks vs US, Allies, & partners
-Deterring aggression
-Building a resilient Joint Force/defense ecosystem
MORE: on priority #3 - deterring aggression, @DeptofDefense says it must be done "while being prepared to prevail in conflict when necessary, prioritizing the PRC [#China] challenge in the #IndoPacific, then the #Russia challenge in #Europe"
MORE: "The Department will remain capable of managing other persistent threats, including those from #NorthKorea, #Iran & violent extremist organizations" per @DeptofDefense fact sheet
Read 4 tweets
Mar 28
JUST IN: #Russia's #Wagner Group "has deployed to eastern #Ukraine" per #Britain's military intelligence, says @MickSmeathUK

“They are expected to deploy more than 1,000 mercenaries, including senior leaders of the organization, to undertake combat operations..."
MORE: #Britain's military intelligence assesses "#Russia has highly likely been forced to reprioritize #Wagner personnel for #Ukraine at the expense of operations in #Africa & #Syria" per @MickSmeathUK
#Britain's assessment is in line w/assessments by senior US defense officials

US said last week #Wagner Group mercs were in the #Donbas
Read 5 tweets
Mar 28
NEW: @POTUS defends his comments about #Russia's Vladimir #Putin - "I'm not walking anything back... I was expressing the moral outrage that I felt" he says

"I wasn't then...articulating a policy change" per Biden, who says his remarks will not escalate the conflict in #Ukraine
"I was expressing my outrage-he shouldn't remain in power just like bad ppl shouldn't continue to do bad things" @POTUS says of #Putin

"It doesn't mean we have fundamental policy to do anything to take #Putin down in any way..."
"I was talking to the #Russia|n ppl, telling them what we thought" per @POTUS on the part of his speech in question

"This is just stating a simple fact that this kind of behavior is totally unacceptable" he says

re #Putin
Read 9 tweets
Mar 28
.@POTUS, @DeptofDefense roll out a proposed Fiscal Year 2023 budget request of $773 billion - a 4.1% from FY 2022

Includes:
-$34.4 bil for nuclear modernization
-$24.7 bil for missile defense
-$27.6 bil for space based systems
-$11.2 bil for cyberspace
-$130.1 bil for RDT&E
The Pentagon's proposed FY 2023 budget also includes:

-$6.1 billion for the Pacific Deterrence Initiative (inlcu. missile warning / tracking architecture)
-$4.2 billion for the European Deterrence Initiative, including $300 million
"We need resources matched to strategy, strategy matched to policy & policy matched to the will of the American ppl" per @SecDef Lloyd Austin in statement

"This budget gives us the resources we need to deliver on that promise"
Read 4 tweets

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