Jeff Seldin Profile picture
May 26 15 tweets 12 min read
Happening now: @USArmy Gen Christopher Cavoli - nominated to serve as commander of @US_EUCOM and as Supreme Allied Commander-#Europe - testifies before the Senate Armed Services Committee
"In #Europe, the core security challenge is #Russia" per Gen Cavoli

"Russia's unprovoked invasion of #Ukraine ushers in a new era in European security...It will be up to us all to reestablish an enduring stability"
"But #Russia is not our only challenge. #China's growing influence is also of huge concern" per Gen Cavoli "As are terrorism, migration, #cybersecurity, & #climatechange"

"We cannot be a one-problem alliance"
"Inside @NATO, our special role is to be a model & an exemplar" per Gen Cavoli

Managing future investment in NATO always "a devilish thing to do" he adds, noting if confirmed he will play a role in the coordination w/other allies
#Russia and #cyber - "We're correct to be waiting for the other sho to drop" per Gen Cavoli

"There is capability and capacity that could be used, and we are being very vigilant about that"

More on US-Russia-cyber here:
voanews.com/a/sanctions-fr…
"This has weighed pretty heavily on our minds" Gen Cavoli tells SASC ranking member @JimInhofe regarding #grain shortages due to #Russia war in #Ukraine

Shortages "are being felt on the African continent. They were felt very quickly"
"In many cases, these are countries [in #Africa] that don't need an additional challenge" per Gen Cavoli "Those additional challenges, we wil have to help them with at some point"

"This will largely be a European concern..."

re #Russia-#Ukraine and grain shortages
"We think there are about 22 million tons of grain in #Ukraine backed-up, waiting to be pulled out" per Gen Cavoli
"#Russia|n influence in the #Balkans is real" per Gen Cavoli "It is something we must think about constantly"

Efforts like #EUFOR in #BiH & KFOR in #Kosovo important to"our ability to monitor & to control the situations there" he says, advocating for renewal of EUFOR
"I look forward to the accession of #Finland & #Sweden to the [@NATO] alliance" per Gen Cavoli

"Each of those militaries brings quite a bit of capability & capacity to the alliance fro day one"
Adding #Sweden #Finland coastline to @NATO - "It provides a bunch of different dilemmas, almost geometric dilemmas that #Russia does not have right now as they sail forth from #StPetersburg & #Kaliningrad" per Gen Cavoli
When does a #cyber attack trigger @NATO's Article 5?

"This of course is a very active debate inside the alliance" per Gen Cavoli "It's an active debate I think for most countries...it has not come to a conclusion"
"One complicating things that we've seen in the recent past is the activity of non-state #cyber actors" per Gen Cavoli

"Attribution is going to continue to be one of the most important parts of any cyber policy"
#Russia-#Ukraine-@NATO: "The danger of a mistake or a miscalculation looms very high in our consciousness" per Gen Cavoli "It's a delicate balance"

"One must not shy away from activity that we need to do to stay strong...but it's also necessary not to overdo it"
"We want #Ukraine to emerge from this conflict independent & free" per Gen Cavoli "We want the @NATO alliance to be unified & as strong as ever"

"And we want to do these things without engaging in a war w/#Russia"

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More from @jseldin

May 27
Happening now: @DeptofDefense briefing @PentagonPresSec Image
#Ukraine requests for #MLRS - "We're working every single day to get weapons & systems into Ukraine" per @PentagonPresSec, saying #Washington is aware of the requests by #Kyiv

"We're in constant communication w/them [Ukrainians]..."
"I won't get ahead of decisions" per @PentagonPresSec, re the #MLRS request by Ukraine
Read 16 tweets
May 26
NEW: NO US troops fighting in #Ukraine but there is a defense attaché - a colonel - at @USEmbassyKyiv,
per @PentagonPresSec

Kirby adds, "US troops will not be fighting in this war in #Ukraine" and that @StateDept has not changed its position regarding not having military guards
#Turkey pledge to expand buffer zones in northern #Syria - "We're obviously very concerned" per @PentagonPresSec

Points to risk to civilians and to anti-ISIS operations by the US-backed Syrian Democratic Forces (#SDF)
"We are in daily contact with our #SDF partners in northern #Syria" per @PentagonPresSec

Adds #ISIS while diminished "remains a viable threat"
Read 5 tweets
May 26
Day 92 of #Russia's war in #Ukraine

Now 110 Russian Battalion Tactical Groups operating in #Ukraine, most in the south of #Ukraine, per a senior US defense official

"We assess that #Russia has made some incremental gains...still is fighting for control of the town of #Lyman"
"We blv that #Russia|n forces have been able to seize most of northeastern #Sievierodonetsk" per a senior US defense official
"No major changes" around #Kharkiv, per a senior US defense official

#Russia|n forces still within about 10km of the Russian border
Read 19 tweets
May 26
NEW: An estimated 20,000 foreigners expressed interest in becoming #foreignfighters in #Ukraine -including some extremists" since #Russia invaded but evidence suggests "only a fraction...actually did so" per a new report by @FightExtremism & @KacperRekawek
#Ukraine #foreignfighter number "ranges from merely several hundreds to a few thousand" per @FightExtremism report "This is dwarfed by tens of thousands of Ukrainian volunteers who joined units in Ukraine’s Territorial Defense Force (TDF)"
Per @FightExtremism report, at least 2 violence-oriented foreign extremists who traveled to #Ukraine "have been killed in the latest round of hostilities"

"Both were on the pro-#Russia side, including one who was a left-wing extremist"
Read 6 tweets
May 25
UPDATE: High-level #ISIS fighter extradited from #Bosnia & #Herzegovina +4 years ago found guilty of recruiting, providing weapons & intelligence

Now 40yo Mirsad Kandic faces life in prison, more at sentencing, per @TheJusticeDept
Per @TheJusticeDept, prosecutors presented evidence from 36 witnesses & from 6 continents

Kandic "worked directly with #ISIS emirs & battlefield commanders... provided battlefield intelligence and maps" per DOJ
Kandic also ""sent thousands of radicalized #ISIS volunteer fighters from Western countries into ISIS-controlled territories in #Syria & elsewhere in the Middle East" per @TheJusticeDept
Read 4 tweets
May 25
Happening now: "What we are in is an era of unprecedented threats" @NSA_CSDirector Rob Joyce tells @thecipherbrief's Cyber Initiatives Group

Says #Ukraine "has been heavily targeted" despite lack of catastrophic effects so far

"They mount a great incidence response..." he says
"We did see a really sophisticated attack [by #Russia]...the attack on the satellite services" per @NSA_CSDirector

Calls it another case in which Russia didn't care who else was affected - "We saw wide swaths of businesses lose their connectivity"
.@NSA_CSDirector calls the #Russia|n attack on satellite services "fairly sophisticated"
Read 4 tweets

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