Jeff Seldin Profile picture
Jul 20 6 tweets 6 min read
US pilot training for #Ukraine? "I can't speculate what aircraft they may got to but I do blv we have an aspect & a responsibility like we do w/all allies&partners to train them in the various capabilities & capacities" per @usairforce Chief of Staff @GenCQBrownJr

#AspenSecurity
#Ukraine will evenutally have to move away from #Russia|n made #MiGs "but I can't tell you exactly what it's going to be" per @GenCQBrownJr earlier at #AspenSecurity
More background from @Reuters - reuters.com/world/europe/u…
Impact of #Russia invasion of #Ukraine on #China's thinking on #Taiwan - "I think it's had an impact, I don't know what it is" per @GenCQBrownJr

"The lessons learned is now closed yet" with just 4 months gone by
"We assess what we think they're [#China] learning, how that may change the calculus of how we need to operate" per @GenCQBrownJr "The goal there is deterrence"

re: #Russia-#Ukraine and #China-#Taiwan
“We’ve operated in the past 30 years in areas where air superiority wasn’t necessarily contested. That’s not going to be the case in the future" per @GenCQBrownJr

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More from @jseldin

Jul 22
BREAKING: US announces new, $270 million security package for #Ukraine, per @WHNSC's John Kirby

Includes 4 more #HIMARS "which the #Ukrainians have been using very effectively", 36k rounds of artillery ammo, some anti-armor systems

Also includes 580 #PhoenixGhost drones
"We'll have more packages of aid [for #Ukraine] to announce in the weeks and months to come" per @WHNSC's John Kirby
White House praises grain deal signed Friday but cautions "success of course is going to depend on #Russia's compliance w/the agreement" per @WHNSC's John Kirby
Read 6 tweets
Jul 22
"We used to always talk about super powers & I think we now live in a world where we need to talk about cyber powers" @Microsoft President & Vice Chair @BradSmi tells #AspenSecurity

"2 of the great #cyber powers in the world are #Russia & #China..."
"The United States is the strongest #cyber power of all" per @Microsoft's @BradSmi

"But what we're fundamentally seeing is #Ukraine in particular is Russia use its very sophisticated cyber capabilities to do 3 things..."
"One is support an invasion, including w/destructive cyber attacks" per @Microsoft's @BradSmi

"The 2nd is do what the #Russian gvt does year-in, year-out, which is very broad-based espionage & hacking, both of gvt & pvt sector"
Read 10 tweets
Jul 22
#Drone threat to the US - "We [US] have to think abt whether or not humans will remain in the kill chain bcs some of our adversaries have decided they will not & that the targeting will be done much quicker" House Intel Comm.'s @RepJasonCrow tells #AspenSecurity
Threat to US from drones-"How do we stop those drones before they ever launch?" asks @USSOCOM Commander Gen. Richard Clarke tells #AspenSecurity

"The cost for entry...is very very low" he says, adding there also needs to be discussion of norms for use of drones
#Chemcial-#Biological threat to US significant, even from non-state actors - "It's pretty simple to do" per @USSOCOM's Gen Clarke
Read 15 tweets
Jul 21
"#Iran is threatening the other countries as much as it is threatening the State of #Israel" Israeli Defense Minister Benny Gantz tells #AspenSecurity

"Iran is a global challenge. You can see it in #Venezeula. You can see it in South #Africa, in South America... #Nigeria"
#Israel-#Ukraine - "Israel is definitely on the Western side. Israel is definitely on the #Ukrainian side" per DefMin Gantz

"We are supporting it in all the diplomatic measures. We are supporting it w/all the humanitarian aid...We have opened a field hospital"
Why not more for #Ukraine? "We do have our operational considerations" per #Israel's Gantz

"We are sharing an aerial border w/the #Russia|ns above #Syria ... so we have other calculus that we have to take into mind"
Read 7 tweets
Jul 21
NEW: 15,000 #Russia|n soldiers killed in #Ukraine - estimate given by @CIA Dir William Burns Wednesday - "probably a conservative estimate" #Britain's @ChiefMI6 Richard Moore tells #AspenSecurity
NEW: #Russia in #Ukraine: "I think they're about to run out of steam" per @ChiefMI6

"Our assessment is that the Russians will increasingly find it difficult to supply manpower, materiel over the next few weeks"
Inevitable #Russia|n pause - "That will give #Ukrainians the ability to strike back" per @ChiefMI6
Read 20 tweets
Jul 21
Helping #Somalia-"We get it by, with & through" partnerships, LtGen Michael Langley, nominated to lead @USAfricaCommand, tells SASC

"It's the best thing that will thwart the great power competition that's coming w/these false value propositions" from #Russia, #China Image
US working w/#Africa|n countries to help them establish maritime exclusion zones - "That's going to be the biggest deterrent, or assurance actions... that's going to deter #China from trying to take over the West Coast of the African continent" per LtGen Langley
"#AFRICOM needs more resources, not less" per SASC Ranking Member @JimInhofe, saying he's heard rumors support to @USAfricaCommand is going to be downgraded
Read 14 tweets

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