Kyle Orton Profile picture
Oct 15 42 tweets 25 min read
Thread: 15 October 2022: Day 234 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update: #Russian mobilised reservists have begun arriving in #Ukraine over the last two weeks with even fewer provisions than the Army. Notably, they have been buying their own body armour. Corruption and poor logistics remain central features of Russia's Army.
The #EU are slow-rolling plans for sanctions on #Iran over sending drones to #Russia for its war to eliminate Ukraine. reuters.com/world/exclusiv…
German Panzerhaubitze 2000 howitzer repaired in #Lithuania and send back for #Ukraine to use
Jeremy Hunt in as Chancellor is a complete catastrophe. The main reason to prefer Liz Truss to Rishi Sunak was Sunak's at-best "iffy" record on foreign affairs, specifically China. Hunt is even worse than Sunak; leaves little reason for Truss to remain.
First [admitted] #Russian forces in #Belarus for this "new" joint force.
#Ukraine appears to have recommenced offensive operations in #Kherson this morning
Some #Russian occupying forces down in #Kherson think the #Ukrainians will break through over the river, and Mykolaiv will soon be on the table.
Igor Girkin ("Strelkov") has reportedly been deployed within #Russia's force inside #Ukraine. Some suggestion he is in a leadership position within a unit. t.me/boris_rozhin/6…
#pt: If Girkin/Strelkov really has been sent into #Ukraine in a formal position within #Russia's Army, might be the Kremlin's way of reining him in. It seems the Centre has had enough of Girkin's carping from the sidelines about their handling of the war
Video apparently showing #Russian soldiers surrendering in #Kherson
In #Belarus, the formation of the joint "regional grouping" with #Russia and the "exercises", are either preparation for a second attack at Kyiv, or are intended to look as if they are to draw troops away from the east. So far, the worst assumptions have been the right ones.
An enraged superpower can still get results from the dependencies: "#Saudi Arabia announces $400 million in humanitarian aid to #Ukraine" reuters.com/world/saudi-ar…
Interesting. Buryats have been one of the most prominent minority ethnic groups disproportionately represented in the #Russian Army.
Apparently the policy has changed again
Thread on the controlled antagonism Putin permits, setting Evgeny Prigozhin + Ramzan Kadyrov against the senior military officials, who have basically no say or sway, but all the responsibility. An instinctive Putin move, not well matched to the situation
To be added to the list of reasons the use of nuclear weapons isn't a serious concern; at best it is a good-natured if naïve distraction, at worst it is wilfully and actively assisting the Russian program.
Father Grigory Mikhnov-Vaytenk of the Russian Apostolic Church has been protesting #Russia's war on #Ukraine at considerable risk and helping Ukrainian refugees euronews.com/my-europe/2022…
Kind of amazing: #Russia has repeatedly said in public it is making these deportations of children to Russify them, not only one of the grossest crimes in PR terms a state could confess to, but the one that most technically meets the "genocide" definition.
#Russia's troops murdered #Ukrainian conductor Yuriy Kerpatenko at his own home in #Kherson on Oct. 14 when he refused to cooperate with the occupation forces. en.interfax.com.ua/news/general/8…
All dependents what the definition of "panic" is. #Kherson
Bakhmut, the one area of #Ukraine where the #Russians can even claim to be advancing, looks like a colourised scene from Ypres.
Very interesting on #Russia recruiting prisoners nominally into "Wagner"
People in #Poland not pleased with the continued presence of #Russia's "diplomats"
#Russia pretty clearly solidifying its position, at #France's expense, in #Africa, of late particularly in Burkina Faso.
#Russia misusing even the forces it has been able to mobilise into the field
Report that in Belgorod, a staging area within #Russia for the war on #Ukraine, someone among the Russian soldiers there has opened fire and killed 22 people, while wounding 16. No official comments yet.
#Kazakhstan showing what something approaching even-handed #Russian press coverage of the war might look like
Brave in the circumstances: families of mobiks protest directly at Putin
#Zelensky: "If Russia is permitted to win … this will certainly lead to a world war. It'll be a world of … big countries strangling the little ones, as they carve up the world. But there can be an opposite … scenario—in which everyone … ha[s] the same rights and protections"
#pt: President Zelensky was interviewed on Oct. 12 by the German journalist Katrin Eigendor for the ZDF TV channel. They spoke in Russian. Says Macron asks Zelensky to call him on WhatsApp, the nuke talk from Moscow is by feeble men after the vodka hits. meduza.io/en/feature/202…
Very interesting: was pretty clear the shooting of #Russian troops in Belgorod had come from within the force; new details suggest it was two shooters and they were #Tajiks, who were both killed.
The things you find in a #Russian tank

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More from @KyleWOrton

Oct 15
Saddam was so self-destructively reckless: on Dec. 7, 2002, the day he was supposedly complying with UNSCR 1441 that demanded he come clean at last on the WMD, he made a speech calling for "the mujahideen" in Kuwait to join his "jihad" against the infidels news.bbc.co.uk/hi/arabic/news…
Incidentally, the speech was framed by Saddam as an apology to Kuwait (at last) for ransacking and massacring the country in 1990-91, but the Kuwaiti government correctly saw it as incitement to terrorism, against them and against the Coalition troops.
In the days after 9/11, when even Col. Qaddafi and the mullahs in Iran made a public show of sending condolences to America, Saddam overtly, repeatedly taunted the US:
1. edition.cnn.com/2001/WORLD/eur…
2. edition.cnn.com/2001/WORLD/mea…
Read 5 tweets
Oct 14
Thread: 14 October 2022: Day 233 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update covers the Bakhmut front in the Donetsk Oblast, where #Russia is trying to make advances and making little progress against #Ukraine.
#Russia: Sergey Kandybin, rector of an Orthodox church in the Telma in the Irkutsk area of Siberia, reported local politician Sergey Uglyanitsa to the FSB after Uglyanitsa said in confession he had lit a candle on Red Square hoping for #Ukraine's victory. news.obozrevatel.com/russia/v-rossi…
Read 35 tweets
Oct 13
Thread: 13 October 2022: Day 232 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Cretinous. #France's President Macron playing into #Russia's propaganda about "World War [Three]".
In an interview on "France 2", #France's President Macron said French "vital interests ... would not be at stake if there was a nuclear ballistic attack in Ukraine or in the region" by #Russia. politico.eu/article/france…
Read 73 tweets
Oct 12
Thread: 12 October 2022: Day 231 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
#Israel could help #Ukraine with air defences without even having to reassess its misguided policy of appeasing #Russia in the belief Moscow is helpful vis-a-vis Iran in Syria.
Any amount, or a retweet to spread the word, really helps
Read 43 tweets
Oct 5
Thread: 5 October 2022: Day 224 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update: #Ukraine is advancing on both the north-east front, bearing down on the Luhansk Oblast that #Russia claimed to annex on Sept. 30, and on the southern front in Kherson.
Map of #Ukraine's recent advances, liberating a swath of territory in the southern #Kherson Oblast from #Russia's occupation.
Read 20 tweets
Oct 4
Thread: 4 October 2022: Day 223 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update: on Sept. 30, #Putin signed the regular annual conscription order; these recruits are not "legally" allowed to be deployed outside of #Russia, unlike those conscripted under the mobilisation order of Sept. 21. Training, equipping, etc. all a struggle. Image
This is a terribly depressing thread on @WarintheFuture's latest article, showing that there is much less than meets the eye to #Australia's support for #Ukraine.
Read 48 tweets

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