1/ What with the Looming Deadline, I'm kind of head-down on a couple things, but I want to reflect a couple quick notes on the rising panic in the House GOP.
2/ The pre-game crapfest on Saccone will focus on his poor fundraising (true), his weak campaign (true), and his lackluster personal performance. They will ignore that outside groups have put $10 million into the race.
Ten. Million.
Ten. Million.
3/ I've spoken to 2 pollsters working the race for outside groups. Both see a 5-7 point loss in an R+11/T+20 district.
One pointed out this district is only 2% African American, 1% Hispanic. as safe as an R seat gets.
Saccone should be able to sit home with his feet up.
One pointed out this district is only 2% African American, 1% Hispanic. as safe as an R seat gets.
Saccone should be able to sit home with his feet up.
4/ Both also say the tariff issue, while a net positive by a *bit* is not driving the race, at all.
This is where natpop economics falls flat. This issue is already baked in the cake.
This is where natpop economics falls flat. This issue is already baked in the cake.
5/ In both polls, Trump's net approval is *slightly* positive in PA18. Slight positive in a district he won by 20 points. They're letting all this process, and it's a nervous picture.
On that chipper note, back to the Looming Deadline.
On that chipper note, back to the Looming Deadline.
