I'm not sure what to make of the Mississippi Senate runoff but it's one of those races where Democrats both need their turnout to be very high and the GOP's to be very low. More like some of the non-Ossoff special elections last year than anything we saw on 11/6.
In some ways it helps Dems that this is fairly low-stakes. The difference between a 52-48 and 53-47 Senate is not enormous for 2 years (the seat is up again in '20) especially with Ds having the House. If this seat determined the majority, less chance of a lackluster GOP turnout.
Also kinda think Hyde-Smith is going to get primaried in 2020 even if (as remains probable) she wins. Not necessarily for ideological reasons but just because she's not a great candidate and a Senate seat in Mississippi is a valuable prize for a Republican.
