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David Henig @DavidHenigUK
, 18 tweets, 6 min read Read on Twitter
So, the Political Declaration between the UK and EU. Like an addendum to the Withdrawal Agreement saying "and we all lived happily ever after" this combines standard trade stuff with some barely credible wishlist stuff - but there is some substance hiding in there as well 1/
It is worth taking note of the words up front about a close partnership. This wasn't always a given, and is probably too close for some. Of course these are just warm words, but they have some significance... 2/
But the red lines are there in para 4. And these are going to cause lots of problems, which this document isn't going to detail... 3/
As has been noted elsewhere, the commitment by the UK to the ECHR shows why a close relationship might go too far for some in the conservative party for some... 4/
As has already been trailed, the EU will aim to have in place a data adequacy decision for the UK by end 2020. But as for the UK playing a role in the future - this is diplomatic speak for 'no chance...' 5/
The UK recognises we're probably going to keep paying... for specific programmes of course 6/
Goods trade will be in the form of a free trade area, which we note does not mention the word 'frictionless' when discussing customs... 7/
The best word to describe the cooperation on regulations is 'tentative'. It might happen, it might be nice, but frankly this is scarcely a deep regulatory partnership like EEA, and para 25 suggests it is the UK doing the aligning... 8/
Three interesting paragraphs on customs and regulatory checks. If the UK keep aligning the EU might consider being generous in terms of enforcing checks. Just to emphasise the impact of the UK deciding to diverge in any areas 9/
Services provisions in FTAs is traditionally pretty weak, and this is reflected in the language in those sections. For financial services the document talks of equivalence, but this is some way short of UK hopes in the area 10/
Nothing surprising on digital or IP, so we move onto mobility, where reciprocation is the name of the game. Obviously and deliberately this is some way short of the current regime 11/
There are commitments on transport which are out of my area of expertise, so moving onto fishing, where we are all now experts, a commitment to an agreement by 2020 12/
Standard stuff on a level playing field, though someone should tell Jeremy Corbyn that EU trade deals come with limitations on state aid 13/
Skipping justice and defence, we move onto institutional provisions, which are frankly pretty standard stuff. Summits, lower level meetings, maybe some Parliamentary dialogue 14/
The wildly optimistic clause that says we're going to try to implement this from 2020 (with 18 months for the EU to ratify and translate that will be agreement by mid 2019 then?) 15/
To be fair, negotiations in parallel rather than necessarily one single agreement. Switzerland model? 16/
Verdict - a fairly comprehensive wish-list indicating a direction of travel, and what is important to both sides, but with no particular grounding in how difficult this will be to negotiate, obviously on Ireland but also elsewhere 17/
I honestly can't see why this should change a single vote in Parliament, but then I'm not an MP. It is at least complete and does attempt to say what the future could hold, so now we really can debate if that is what we want. 18/ end
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