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Henry Newman
@HenryNewman
, 4 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Listening to another excellent Brexitcast. @adamfleming makes the important point that the Political Declaration is signed off at Head of Government/State level. It's locked down and changes are very hard

Sorry Norway-backers/Single Market 2.0ers
.@BBCkatyaadler tells us Brussels contact of hers sees our Parliamentary "mayhem as the deaththrows of magical thinking". I'm tempted to LMFAO as - if anything - magical thinking seems to be getting worse from hard-line Remainers & extreme Brexiteers, as well as Labour frontbench
Shows just how poor the understanding of British politics remains in Brussels
Later @BBCkatyaadler goes on to underscore how unhappy many on the European side are with the backstop. They see it as cherry picking etc

Exactly
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Henry Newman
@HenryNewman
On Tuesday @theresa_may will lose the vote, badly. Then what?

She'll make a statement that night & has 3 sitting days to introduce new motion. There are then 7 days to amend it

Thread on what comes next 👇

Subtitle - Brexit risks being killed by those who claim to ❤️ it most
2/ I don't think that we are close to a majority in favour of a second referendum. Luckily

Jeremy Corbyn remains luke warm & remain-backing Tories such as @NickyMorgan01 @nickherbertmp etc are still opposed

Many Labour MPs are in favour but far from all of them
3/ What about a Permanent Customs Union? This gets closer to Labour's policy (although without the control over trade deals 🦄 bit).

Last year an amendment on a customs union was *just* defeated with some err mistakes over pairing helping the Government.
Read 23 tweets
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Henry Newman
@HenryNewman
My @OpenEurope colleague Stephen Booth has taken a look at claims made by former Mi6 head Sir Richard Dearlove & ex-CDS Lord Guthrie

There are reasons to be sceptical about the PM’s Brexit deal, but the ones they raise are both implausible & misplaced

Here's why -

A thread 👇
2/ In the debate on the proposed Brexit deal, the implications for UK security & foreign policy have come a distant second to economic and institutional considerations.
3/ However, this week Richard Dearlove & Charles Guthrie wrote to Conservative Associations warning that the Brexit deal will “threaten the national security of the country in fundamental ways” and bind the UK into “new sets of EU controlled relationships”.
Read 22 tweets
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Henry Newman
@HenryNewman
The DUP are right that a Stormont lock wouldn't resolve all concerns about Backstop but it would improve it and should be welcomed as such.

I've set out previously how I think such a mechanism could work, building on the commitment in the December 2017 Joint Report

Thread 👇
2/ In December 2017 both the UK and EU agreed a Joint Report, paragraph 50 of which noted that in the backstop “the United Kingdom will ensure that no new regulatory barriers develop between Northern Ireland and the rest of the United Kingdom, unless...
3/ ... consistent with the 1998 Agreement, the Northern Ireland Executive and Assembly agree that distinct arrangements are appropriate for Northern Ireland”.

For some reason & to DUP annoyance, this dropped out of the final Withdrawal Agreement.

It should be re-introduced.
Read 14 tweets

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PropOrNot ID Service 🇺🇸
@propornot
THREAD: There are indications that the "Yellow Vest Movement" in France is the pointy end of a Russian active-measures campaign against Emmanuel Macron.

It's important to draw on French-language sources here, so warm up your favorite auto-translator. /1
lefigaro.fr/actualite-fran…
First: The "Yellow Vest Movement" is fundamentally aligned with the Kremlin's strategic objectives:

It started as a protest against a carbon-emissions tax. Remember: Moscow HATES anything that reduces demand for its biggest (48%) export - fossil fuels. /2 npr.org/2018/12/03/672…
The "Yellow Vest Movement" is fundamentally anti-Macron, which is very much in line with the Kremlin's strategic objectives as well. Putin failed to install Le Pen over Macron last election, but he invested a lot in trying to do so. He's still trying. /3 ft.com/content/010eec…
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Nick Monroe
@nickmon1112
Alright. You've seen this a million times before. It's a code of conduct blah blah blah

that has social justice baked right into it. blah blah blah.
archive.is/YD6qE

But something is different about this.
Look closely. You see those two names signing off on it? That's right.
Facebook and Intel. archive.is/igd8G

Facebook and Intel.

NOW this "Tech code of conduct" stuff has ramifications to it. Weight and impact.
"The Contributor Covenant is a code of conduct for free/open source projects, created by Coraline Ada Ehmke." says the Wikipedia page too short to be a wikipedia page.

"I can’t wait for the mass exodus from Linux now that it’s been infiltrated by SJWs." archive.is/Uh8JL
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Keiko
@keikoinboston
1. This thread examines Andy Ngo’s piece in the WSJ about his recent trip to the UK where he visited Muslim majority neighborhoods in London (Tower Hamlets, Leyton) & Luton (probably Bury Park) and the ensuing outrage.
archive.is/5dP1h
2.
 en.wikipedia.org/wiki/London_Bo…
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leyton
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bury_Park
3. I am deliberately not tagging any people or outlets in this thread because I’m looking to discuss, not send harassment their way. There is no need to tag Andy—I know him and will send him the thread via DM when I’m done.
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Hurricane Watcher
@GodlessNZ
(1) Thread #4 about the #TaosCompound New Mexico case, starting 8/30/18.

Read my series of threads about this case:
…

NM has a GOP Governor with power to direct the state AG to take over the case from the small-town DA.

Facts > Speculation

#MAGA
(2) You're not helping #MakeAmericaGreatAgain by accepting the cherry picked talking points of either Democrats OR Republicans.

On the GOP side, we must clean up our act when it comes to reporting & discussing this case. It is serious!

Don't be a hypocrite. Use your brain.
(3) Trust me, I've heard everything people are saying about this case. And I have assembled the facts that correct the misinformation. Anyone can do this, I'm not special. It just takes an open mind & a couple of hours of searching online, & I've done most of it for you.
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Iran News Wire
@IranNW
According to the @WSJ the Iraqi #government has bank accounts with the U.S. Federal Reserve, where its #dollars are kept, which the Iraqi economy relies upon could be frozen should Iraq violate #sanctions politico.com/magazine/story…
#Iran has deliberately flooded Iraqi market with cheap imports and foodstuffs. This has undercut Iraq agriculture by decreasing demand4 homegrown products that R more expensive. Even if Iraq were2 stop buying these goods #farmers would not B able2 produce enough supplies at home
Iran has political leverage, too. Since the May 12 national #election Iraq’s political elites have been unable to form a government in part because of enormous pressure from #Tehran to install politicians in their favor. Iran’s loyalists succeed and dominate the new government...
Read 4 tweets
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Taylor Pearson
@TaylorPearsonMe
1/ Cryptocurrency will affect Bankers in much the same way the printing press affected the Catholic Church and democracy affected Kings.
2/ A quick political science concept to understand why.
3/ Selectorate theory in political science is the theory that the larger group which has influence over the government, the better that government tends to be.
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