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Raphael Hogarth
@Raphael_Hogarth
, 3 tweets, 3 min read Read on Twitter
Fascinating line in @AlbertoNardelli scoop: "Cox proposed a new 'mini backstop' that would limit the mechanism to only elements that relate to border infrastructure", but this was "rejected by Barnier". So, in Barnier's view, what *is* the backstop for?
buzzfeed.com/albertonardell…
The backstop itself says that its purpose is to eliminate "physical infrastructure" and "related checks and controls", and also to protect "North-South cooperation". But all that could mean *literally anything*. big question is: what does it really mean?
thetimes.co.uk/article/eurosc…
Tory MPs like @DominicRaab/@DavidDavisMP think the EU has weaponised peace in NI to bind UK to the EU's economic space. Tend to think that's wrong. But here are all areas of "North South cooperation". Can EU explain how changes to each of them threatens the Good Friday Agreement?
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More from @Raphael_Hogarth see all

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Raphael Hogarth
@Raphael_Hogarth
If HMG and the DUP want to use domestic law to "underline" the UK's interpretation of the backstop, I think there are three ways of doing it: (1) the completely pointless way, (2) the slightly unnerving way, and (3) the downright reckless way.
The first, pointless option is to use the Withdrawal Agreement Bill to give the Government powers under statute that it already has by Royal Prerogative. Eg, give a minister the power to open a dispute with the EU re bad faith if she thinks UK is trapped in the backstop.
And/or, give a minister power to table legislation to suspend the operation of the backstop, if the arbitration panel has ruled that the EU is acting in bad faith, and that the EU failed to comply with its first ruling. (These are the circs in which the deal allows suspension.)
Read 5 tweets
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Raphael Hogarth
@Raphael_Hogarth
Right, so this is the paragraph of the joint interpretative instrument that the government will spin as "unilateral exit mechanism".

This is, I think, exactly the process that exists under the current agreement, which I set out here:
UK claims EU is breaching best endeavours
3m later, formal dispute
6-12m later, arbitrators gives ruling
A "reasonable period" later, UK asks for new ruling on whether EU response gd enough
90d later, ruling given
6m later, UK can suspend part of the deal- i.e. leave backstop
And if the EU thinks that *that* (i.e., the UK leaving the backstop) is disproportionate, it can ask the arbitrators for yet another ruling, to be given within 60 days.
Read 3 tweets
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Raphael Hogarth
@Raphael_Hogarth
Some MPs talk about “no deal” as a great liberation. “No deal” actually means total supplication, handing huge control over the UK to the European Commission.
1/
Read the government’s technical notices on no deal, and you will find that an awful lot of sectors will need a decision from Brussels to keep trading.
2/
Agriculture: the UK is “confident” that its products of animal origin meet the EU’s import requirements for third countries, but the EU has not formally listed the UK products as such. If it doesn’t, no exports of animal products to Europe.
3/
Read 17 tweets

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Alberto Nardelli
@AlbertoNardelli
NEW: Here Are The Two New Ideas Geoffrey Cox Presented To The EU buzzfeed.com/albertonardell…
In addition to the "arbitration panel", which many have heard of, Cox presented the idea of a "mini backstop" to Barnier yesterday that would limit the mechanism to only cover elements that relate to border infrastructure, EU27 ambassadors were told today
Both ideas were rejected. Ambassadors were told that the UK is looking for ways to lower the bar to exit the backstop, seeking legal solutions to a political problem, and, in effect, still asking for a unilateral exit mechanism
Read 6 tweets
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Matt Graham
@weemattg
Raab and many others use backstop and the solution to the backstop interchangeably.
He says "there will be a backstop of some sort be it technology or..."

I, a layman, offer this explainer.

Experts please put me right if it is wrong or misleading. 1/9
The backstop is a condition in the WA that ensures legitimate conduct of trade across the IRL/NI border without physical border infrastructure.
Currently conformance is met because both sides of the border use and meet the same standards by being in the CU and SM. 2/9
In a Brexit situation if the UK is not in the CU and observing EU regulations, conformance cannot be met without a physical border infrastructure. Hence the *WA solution* of a CU and regulatory alignment is used to enable conformance without physical border infrastructure.
3/9
Read 10 tweets
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Wendy Dent
@WendyDent
#SCOOP (thread): 13 rescue pods commissioned by #ElonMusk for the #ThailandCaveRescue have been flown to Thailand. They are designed to transport the boys by floating or submersion, and can also be used as a rescue sled. They are awaiting news about the rescue operation.
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3/ Branagh says that when you turn the pods one way it allows them to float, and "when you turn them another way they sink."
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Catherine Walsh
@gurriersread
There's far too much #bull being rattled around this ref. proposal. Wake up #Ireland folks; yes, we need to amend wording to reflect reality, ensure equality of responsibility is norm; no, it would be terminally stupid to throw it all out altogether,reduce legal standing of all/1
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3/ See the shiiiiit-stirrrrring for what it is: #brexit deflector #Border deflector #EU agreement deflector #criminalcase going down deflector #Referendum #Women of #Ireland you're way brighter than that, get a grip. And trolls can just bot off with themselves. Hi @TransparentRef
Read 11 tweets
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ARC 2020
@ARC2020eu
#NEW on ARC2020: #CAP & #MFF | Eco-Spin without Public Goods Substance.
Its been 2 weeks since the MFF proposals, here's our round up of some of the perspectives so far.
All perspective-givers tagged in picture.
arc2020.eu/cap-mff-eco-sp…
What's needed?
@davidbaldock & Allan Buckwell of @IEEP_eu:
1: Sufficient funding for environmental measures in Pillar 1
2: Specifics for New Delivery Model
3: Flexibility for Pillar 1 to 2 transfers
4. Fund ANCs under Pillar 1
arc2020.eu/cap-mff-eco-sp…
#MFF #FutureofCAP #CAP
And who said: "unconditional direct income support to farmers is manifestly absurd in today’s world when it maintains uncompetitive farming practices that have negative implications for the climate, the environment or people’s health"?
Why @AnnikaAhtonen of @epc_eu
Read 8 tweets
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Cyrus Toulabi
@CyrusToulabi
#SCOOP: MUELLER SUBPOENAED AN UNNAMED WITNESS FOR ALL COMMUNICATIONS they sent/received since Nov. 2015...

...REGARDING THE FOLLOWING PEOPLE:

DONALD J. TRUMP
Carter Page
Corey Lewandowski
Hope Hicks
Keith Schiller
Michael Cohen
Paul Manafort
Rick Gates
Roger Stone
Steve Bannon
#BREAKING: FORMER TRUMP AIDE SAM NUNBERG CALLED BEFORE GRAND JURY...BUT SAYS HE WILL REFUSE TO GO!

He is also the Trump aide who was subpoenaed for all communications since Nov 2015 to President Trump and nine other people.

washingtonpost.com/politics/forme…
#LASTWEEK: NUNBERG APPEARED ON MSNBC AND CLAIMED HE BELIEVED THAT DON JR. WOULD’VE TOLF HIS FATHER ABOUT THE TRUMP TOWER MEETING.

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Read 4 tweets

Trending hashtags

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