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Bruno Waterfield
@BrunoBrussels
, 7 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
Tusk will announce summit for 10 April if withdrawal treaty not ratified
thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/g…
(As reported), choice for May will be...
No deal - prob not on 12 April but within a few weeks of it. 22 May will be avoided as too close to EU elections. Date of 7 May was floated by Macron last week. EU will make the point that the only way the Commons can stop no deal is to revoke Article 50
OR
Long extension - beginning with a one year period to April 2020, very possibly longer as institutional changes, new commission etc, this autumn/winter means scope for progress in talks might be limited.
Offer will be made publicly to put pressure on May to make the request. Conditions and options within that period will be: elections, softer Brexit, second referendum out revoke Article 50
UK will also have to agree to continue voting with majorities in EU decisions - as it has been doing since 2017, to the dismay of some traditional allies - particularly on trade and budget. It might have to agree to freeze British trade talks for the duration
==========>>>>>>>>>> If, IF deal passed “technical extension” could be later than 22 May - legal advice and position of EU member states allows until 1 July
Unless no deal Brexit, UK will have to hold European elections, that might not have to happen on 23 May to satisfy senior MEPs who do not want them to take place at same time as the rest of Europe
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Bruno Waterfield
@BrunoBrussels
Main #EUCO fight tonight will be on “sincere cooperation” requirement for UK
Current draft text has “commitment by the UK to act in a constructive and responsible manner throughout this unique period in accordance with the duty of sincere cooperation”
France wants, UK to renounce its veto during the extension. "No veto, no participation in blocking minorities"
"UK will not obstruct decisions taken at 27" - France will push for "that sentence to be introduced in the text"
Many countries are annoyed the UK will have a commissioner in new European Commission this autumn. Not much anyone can do about it unless they trigger the Lisbon Treaty on reducing its size (VERY controversial with Irish, Dutch etc). Ain't going to happen unless UK renounces it
Read 6 tweets
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Bruno Waterfield
@BrunoBrussels
This looks right
May appears to have hidden acquiesence to a long extension behind a date that is not a real cut off

Extension is indefinite - "as short as possible... ends when we pass a deal"
22 May is entirely aspirational - "would want to.. ensure it is passed before 22 May"
This is why Tusk - presumably after a phone call - took a cautious line
Read 4 tweets
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Bruno Waterfield
@BrunoBrussels
Interesting. Where will the checks - to preserve the EU's single market integrity - take place?
French officials have been "absolutely, categorically clear" , according to one source, that no deal would mean checks between Ireland and the EU.
"That's if Ireland wants to stay in the EU,"
One Irish official said to have joked that his country's no deal plan was to tell people to stop trading with Northern Ireland
Read 3 tweets

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Pieter Cleppe
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Critically ill Russian national is 66yo Sergei Skripal, former intel colonel/double agent granted refuge in UK after a 2010 "spy swap" between US & Russia. He and a woman were apparently poisoned in/near Salisbury shopping center. bbc.in/2D2oj7X
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