Thread by @Staedtler

Parliament returns next Tuesday. Local elections come the week after, which are likely to be so bad for the Tories that Theresa May is sacked.

So Theresa May has got Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday next week to get her withdrawal agreement through.
After that, the elections hit her and she's out.

And then the European elections three weeks later. Now, the Brexiteers have said they don't want to fight those, but the risk of not fighting them is that the Tories lose, and then we end up staying in.

Also, Fartage's new party is going to have two goes at splitting the Tories, first in the local elections, and then again three weeks later in the euros.

And then four weeks after those elections, the DUP agreement expires, which Theresa May would then need to renegotiate. Straight after two big election defeats. With no authority to promise anything.

And then the two year parliament expires, and Theresa May would have to get a new Queen's speech through parliament in September.

And then the Brexit extension expires

And then her leadership moratorium expires.

See? There is no good time for Theresa May to put her withdrawal agreement back to parliament even if she's allowed.

There is just defeat after defeat after defeat. A whole series of them. And finally a leadership challenge in autumn.