, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Yup, last throw of the dice for May as PM one would think. But in reality quite possible this vote doesn't in fact happen, to prevent further humiliation. Because barring some almighty change, it isn't passing.
Conservative leadership contest then, in which candidates will make undeliverable promises about making the EU change the Irish backstop, and continue to try to pretend the problem away. The party is leaning no-deal but there's still no majority for that...
Basically we're heading towards an October showdown, will the EU extend again (possible not certain), will a new PM try to overrule Parliament to go no-deal (tricky), new election (quite possible, but risky)... etc.
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