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Looks like I was spot on ..
Labour 30.9% (-17.2)
Brexit Party 28.9% (+28.9)
Cons 21.4% -25.5%
-Farage's ghost of First Past the Post returns
-Though on these numbers Brexit Party would bring down Tories
-Pressure on Corbyn to drift to Remain cools
#PeterboroughByElection
Labour 30.9% (-17.2)
Brexit Party 28.9% (+28.9)
Cons 21.4% -25.5%
-Farage's ghost of First Past the Post returns
-Though on these numbers Brexit Party would bring down Tories
-Pressure on Corbyn to drift to Remain cools
#PeterboroughByElection
Two competing interpretations of the result for the Brexit Party. The charitable version is that the party is only 8 weeks old, had no data on voters, which hit its ground game, but still came within 700 votes of Labour & took more than enough to cost Tories next election
To that you might add that Peterborough is about 203rd on the list of "UKIP/Brexit Party" seats so a little further down than Rochester and Strood (which UKIP won) but a long way from most fertile territory
But, on the other hand, the uncharitable interpretation is that if an exclusively anti-establishment & pro-Brexit party cannot win a 60% Leave seat, with a shamed incumbent MP, only one week after winning a national election, & at a by-election, then ... something has gone wrong.
