Thread by @hayward_katy

I've not done any #Brexit #border slides for a while.
Here's an effort to outline in as simple a way as possible what each of the main scenarios would mean for movement of goods across the UK's land & sea borders.
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[DM me with an email address if you need a grayscale version]

In a Transition Period, following the #WithdrawalAgreement, the movement of goods between the UK and EU remains free flowing.
During this time, the negotiations on the future UK-EU trade agreement will be underway.
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If at the end of the Transition Period, there is no UK-EU FTA close enough to avoid a hard Irish border, the backstop will kick-in on a temporary basis.
It has both NI-specific and UK-wide dimensions to minimise controls needed across UK land & sea borders.
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If we have a more NI-specific backstop & with the UK outside EU customs territory, it would mean more friction on UK borders with EU & between NI & GB.
This would be more like the original version of the draft Withdrawal Agreement published in March 2018 & rejected by May.
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Unsurprisingly, the friction caused on UK's borders by exiting without a Withdrawal Agmt is by far the worst scenario for movement of goods.
This overview incorporates UK & EU published plans for No Deal.
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*Draft, deliberately simplified; suggestions for correction welcome.