A brief thread. It is now 2.5 months after the Indian #ASAT test. How much of the #spacedebris generated is still in orbit, how much is gone?
92 larger debris pieces from the test have been catalogued so far. Half of those are still orbiting today.
![](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/D9MTIiaWsAU0l3I.png)
As mentioned, currently (June 15) some 50% of the larger, tracked debris pieces is still on orbit. This ~50% is in line with the forecast in my analysis here: thediplomat.com/2019/05/why-in…
Some 5 pieces are currently forecast to be still on orbit by a year after the test. The last one might survive until mid 2021.
Clearly, the Indian government claims were much too optimistic.