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John Rentoul
@JohnRentoul
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Tory leadership 2nd ballot result (compared with 1st ballot)
Boris Johnson 126 +12
Jeremy Hunt 46 +3
Michael Gove 41 +4
Dominic Raab 30 +3
Sajid Javid 33 +10
Rory Stewart 37 +18
Raab's votes will mostly go to Johnson, so tomorrow will be a re-run for the next four – suspect Javid will pull out
My breakdown of 2nd ballot votes (declared supporters broken down by Leave/Remain, plus undeclared MPs)
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John Rentoul
@JohnRentoul
Tory leadership 3rd ballot result (change since 2nd ballot):
Boris Johnson 143 +17
Jeremy Hunt 54 +8
Michael Gove 51 +10
Sajid Javid 38 +5
Rory Stewart 27 -10
Gove just 3 votes away from Hunt now, and could overhaul him with Stewart and Javid's votes
Seems Stewart and Javid both lost votes because MPs think they can't win, but Javid gained some from Raab's backers
Read 4 tweets
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John Rentoul
@JohnRentoul
Corbyn tiptoes towards backing a new EU referendum while insisting policy is unchanged
“I have stuck faithfully to it.” Translation: I am the true servant of the sovereign annual conference, unlike metropolitan liberal remoaners
Plaudits for @oliver_wright, whose report in this morning's Times was accurate
Read 3 tweets
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John Rentoul
@JohnRentoul
Tory MPs voting now; 80 entries in my 3rd ballot sweepstake – median guesses:
Johnson 141
Hunt 48
Gove 45
Stewart 39
Javid 36
docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAI…
Twenty-five minutes until the ballot – and the sweepstake – closes. Hurry, hurry. Enter here docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAI…
Ballot and sweepstake now closed. Median guesses (131 entries):
Johnson 141
Hunt 48
Gove 45
Stewart 39
Javid 36
Result at 6pm
Read 5 tweets

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Alex Wickham
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NEW: Dominic Raab, Matt Hancock and Sajid Javid under pressure to withdraw this weekend

Their MP backers are telling them they have no chance of winning and want to be free to endorse one of the main candidates

buzzfeed.com/alexwickham/bo…
Team Gove say they're happy with the result but two weeks ago he was in clear second place, now trailing in third

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Boris Johnson won more votes than Jeremy Hunt, Michael Gove and Dominic Raab combined

He won more than 3 times the the votes of Gove

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Sebastian Payne
@SebastianEPayne
Morning! It’s the first round of voting in the Tory leadership contest today. Here is the state of play, according to @FinancialTimes interactive guide.

Six candidates have publicly met the threshold, five haven’t. How many will survive the day?

ig.ft.com/uk-prime-minis…
@FinancialTimes There’s a consensus across all the camps that the first round will look something like this:

1. Johnson
2. Hunt
3. Gove
4. Raab OR Javid
5. Hancock

The battle for 4th place will be key for survival of both campaigns. Javid has picked up momentum, but will it be too late?
Matt Hancock has publicly met the threshold this morning. He’s run a better-than-expected campaign and could surprise with a strong showing.

But his campaign team are being realistic about coming 5th, hoping to pick up votes in the second round.
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Edwin Hayward🦄🏹🗡️
@uk_domain_names
Tory leadership contenders, from most to least dangerous and damaging...

Esther McVey
Dominic Raab
Andrea Leadsom
--
Boris Johnson
--
Jeremy Hunt
Sajid Javid
Matt Hancock
Mark Harper
Michael Gove
--
Rory Stewart

(It's too simplistic to dismiss them all because we will get one.)
It's not an exact science so you may well have a different order in mind. But that looks about right.
And if that list fills you with utter blood-chilling despair, take the time at least to watch Rory Stewart's leadership launch speech from earlier today. Unquestionably the least worst, by a country mile.
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Edwin Hayward🦄🏹🗡️
@uk_domain_names
Time for another Tory druggie update...
- Cocaine: Michael Gove, Boris Johnson
- Opium: Rory Stewart
- Cannabis: Boris Johnson, Jeremy Hunt (lassi), Dominic Raab, Andrea Leadsom

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The real problem is that, just like Brexit has tragically done much to normalise racism, if this laundry list of past misdeeds is allowed to stand then between now and forever the office of PM will be that little bit more weakened. No going back once pendulum has swung.
There are over 40 million potentially eligible adults who could at least in theory become Prime Minister, and there's exactly one job of Prime Minister available, so it doesn't seem like rocket science to expect candidates for the office to adhere to higher standards.
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Sebastian Payne
@SebastianEPayne
Boris Johnson has set the tone for the Tory leadership contest with his intention to leave on October 31, deal or no deal. Dominic Raab will take the same view.

But, could you imagine, is Boris saying slightly different things to different people?

ft.com/content/590558…
Look at what @RoryStewartUK said this morning: “I spoke to Boris two weeks ago about this and I thought at the time he had assured me he wouldn’t push for a no-deal Brexit.”

ft.com/content/590558…
@RoryStewartUK "Boris has to take a tough line to out-Brexit Raab - there's no surprises in what he said. But I would watch his language very carefully. He wants to leave with a deal and many of his potential supporters are expecting him to walk back from what he said.”

ft.com/content/590558…
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