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Staedtler
@Staedtler
, 4 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
This is exactly why there's going to be a general election.

Hunt, Javid, Johnson and Gove want to renegotiate the backstop.

As far as I could tell Stewart wants to use technology that Europe has spent two years telling us doesn't exist.
This whole thing is just a dumb game show. One of these characters will be Tory leader and prime minister.
And every one of them is talking crap about how they're going to solve Brexit.
And Emily Maitlis is doing nothing to challenge any of it.
And I think this has become a massive problem with BBC political interviews. They're so sloppy and so cack-handed that all five candidates there are talking complete bollocks.
Not one of them with a viable policy.
Eventually someone is going to have to confront this country with the fact that Brexit can't be done.
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Staedtler
@Staedtler
Brecon and Radnor recall petition results tomorrow afternoon.

If 5,600 people have signed the petition, then the sitting MP (Conservative) loses his seat, and a new by election is called.
Tories currently have 313 seats. They might be about to lose another if tomorrow's recall petition succeeds.
That would put the Tories and the DUP together on 322, with the opposition 319

Now a vote of no confidence is looking winnable
Because there are at least two Tories that we know of who would vote to bring down the government before allowing a no deal Brexit. And if tomorrow's recall petition goes through, two is all it would take.
Read 3 tweets
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Staedtler
@Staedtler
Why Boris Johnson is the best Tory leader for remainers.

Because Theresa May's deal is dead. And the best way of making it stay dead is by electing the person who killed it.
What's left is a choice of three. No deal, New deal or no Brexit.
But Europe has no Commission until November 1st, which is why our extension expires on October 31st.
A new deal is out because there's no one to negotiate it with.
Finally, no matter how you don't want to see it because you don't like me being right, you're left with the two choices I said you would face in the end.
No deal. No Brexit.
Read 4 tweets
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Staedtler
@Staedtler
You go your way, I'll go mine. This is what's going to happen:
We suppose Boris Johnson wins the Tory leadership.
The best he can hope for is a majority of 4, although by then it might be 3.
And that's with the DUP
Parliament has already shown willing to legislate in spite of government.
A prime minister with no majority, who has neither won nor even fought a general election, will not be allowed to execute such a drastic policy.
It would only need two Tory MPs - and you can even name the two - and the government would fall.
And what you also know is that this is the only job Boris Johnson ever wanted. he doesn't want to go down to a vote of no confidence before he's even unpacked his socks.
Read 8 tweets

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David Henig
@DavidHenigUK
Panic, it's going to be no-deal... except the numbers are still against that in Parliament, legislation to prepare is in a mess, and the new PM will get the private briefs that say expect a lot of disruption - and it will be on you Prime Minister
Panic, there's going to be a general election... except are the Conservatives going to stand on a no-deal platform and split the party? And if not why bother. And Johnson isn't terribly popular in Scotland, and the Lib Dem threat, and you want to be the shortest-lived PM?
If there was an easy Brexit path we'd have taken it by now.
Read 3 tweets
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Fionna O'Leary #FBPE
@fascinatorfun
1/Listening to the C4 Con leadership debate.

All “delivering Brexit”

#Gove. Opened his mouth and lost the first Q
#Stewart. Cleverer response “listened to Corbyn yadda”
#Raab. Kept his voice lower but Blah.
#Javid Same but at least talking about addressing issues.
#Hunt. Same
2/. Politics of fear re Corbyn.

Really pretty wet.

Hope it improves.
3/. #Raab didn’t deliver because resigned as a matter of principle.

This is reallyrather tragic.

At least #Stewart is saying they cannot reopen the WA and challenging #Raab on the HOW?

Especially HOW in No deal.

#Raab really is remarkably dim.
Read 39 tweets
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Jon Stone
@joncstone
Lots of excitement around Rory Stewart in media, but

MP nominations

Hunt - 28
Johnson - 26
Gove - 25
Raab - 22
Javid - 12
Hancock - 9
McVey - 6
Harper - 4
Stewart - 3
Leadsom - 2
Malthouse - 2

Members poll

Johnson - 33%
Raab 15%
Gove 12%
Baker 7%
Stewart 6%
Hunt 4%
McVey 3%
All figures from @ConHome nomination count and straw poll
Maybe he’ll surge, but does feel like some people are still in denial about what the Conservative party actually is these days
Read 5 tweets
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Chris Henry #JC4PM2019
@Socialist_Chris
THREAD

So, I've not been able to sleep tonight. I have a feeling it might be the prospect of Michael Gove as Prime Minister.

"Why would that be then Chris?"

Glad you asked.

#CabinetCoup #Gove #ToryCoup
So obviously we've had two years of intractable Maybot. And obvs, we're all sick of it. Her "speech" to the nation last week, delivered half an hour late, fell as flat as Boris's leadership bid in 2016. Presumably the Conservative Party will be looking for a new approach? Uh-huh.
From 2014. Horowitz, a self-professed Conservative interviews Gove.

"The truth of the matter is that as our time together slips by, I come to realise that I might as well be interviewing Stonehenge. Everything I throw at him bounces back."

spectator.co.uk/2014/03/the-di…
Read 37 tweets
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Buster Hyde USMC/Ret
@BusterUSMC
**The Fall of California**
The “Golden State” Goes Brown.

1. California isn’t just a place, but a dream.
2. In the American mythos, California represented the end of the journey, the land where the dispossessed & forgotten could start again, where “Okies” who fled the Depression searched for relief & veterans of the WWII discovered a middle-class paradise.
3. And what’s most incredible is that, for a time, that is exactly what California, USA was for so many American Citizens.
Read 90 tweets
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Catherine Walsh
@gurriersread
Oh the geezers are hard at it grafting media, it's always great to have easy scapegoats "North Korean cyber gangs.." a.msn.com/01/en-ie/AAt9g…
2/"Mr Murphy’s firm was the first in the world to liaise with computer giant IBM over the use of the super-computer ‘Watson’ for real-time--
3/artificial intelligence-based defence against cyber criminals." Bear with me, I'm about to post a few more links in #THREAD #CyberSecurity
Read 71 tweets

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