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YouGov
@YouGov
, 9 tweets, 5 min read Read on Twitter
Thread/ The incredible rise, and fall, and rise of Boris Johnson. YouGov’s @chriscurtis94 demonstrates how the belief that Johnson’s rise to the top has been somehow inevitable is a false narrative thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/t…
As of late last week, 74% of Tory members would vote for Johnson and only 26% for Hunt. But he hasn't always held such a nominating lead over his opponents, and more recently than you might think thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/t…
Casting back to the 2016 leadership contest, before he pulled out we had Johnson losing to Theresa May by an 18 point margin thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/t…
In fact, while 83% of Tory members had a positive view of Johnson just prior to his decision to back Leave in 2016, within weeks of the conclusion of the referendum campaign this had fallen to 50% thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/t…
As recently as July 2018 Conservative members were completely split on whether Johnson would make a good leader (47%) or a poor one (48%) thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/t…
So what’s changed since then? Well, he has made key strides in areas in which he used to lag behind his rivals: “up to the job” (+10 among party members since July 2018), “competent” (+11), “strong leader” (+12) and “can win a general election” (+13) thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/t…
The issue of Brexit is now centre-stage, where before it was expected to have been resolved, giving Johnson an advantage. Firstly, since the EU referendum the proportion of Conservative members who are Leave voters has risen from 63% to 71% now thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/t…
Secondly, party members also see Johnson as the candidate most likely to take the path on Brexit that they themselves want. 59% want a renegotiation attempt but a no-deal Brexit if it fails – 71% believe that is what Johnson will do thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/t…
Likewise, while 87% of party members think that Johnson will bring Britain out of the EU on or before 31 October, just 23% believe the same of Hunt thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/t…
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YouGov
@YouGov
The vast majority of Brits (78%) say that Boris Johnson’s premiership will be defined by Brexit yougov.co.uk/opi/surveys/re…
37% of Britons think the Conservative Party will move to the Right under Boris Johnson, while 28% think it will stay roughly the same yougov.co.uk/opi/surveys/re…
The majority of Brits (56%) say that Boris Johnson is ‘Britain’s Trump’. Of this group, 44% say this a bad thing, while 12% say it’s good yougov.co.uk/opi/surveys/re…
Read 3 tweets
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YouGov
@YouGov
SNAP POLL: Which of the following best reflects your reaction to Boris Johnson becoming leader?
Dismayed: 37%
Pleased: 18%
Disappointed: 10%
Delighted: 10%
Don’t mind either way: 17%
yougov.co.uk/opi/surveys/re…
SNAP POLL: By 43% to 37% Brits don't think Boris Johnson taking over as PM means there needs to be a general election yougov.co.uk/opi/surveys/re…
SNAP POLL: Half of the British public (51%) and two thirds of Tory voters (65%) say Boris Johnson should offer Jeremy Hunt a position in the cabinet yougov.co.uk/opi/surveys/re…
Read 4 tweets
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YouGov
@YouGov
Thread/ With Boris Johnson now confirmed to be our next Prime Minister, here’s what we know about what the public think of him yougov.co.uk/topics/politic…
1/ He is much less popular than May was at the time she took over. Johnson currently has a net favourability score of -27, compared to May’s +12 in August 2016 (although he does beat her current score of -37) yougov.co.uk/topics/politic…
2/ Britons tended to see him as a good Mayor of London, but a bad Foreign Secretary
Mayor of London – 47% good / 29% bad
Foreign Secretary – 26% good / 48% bad
yougov.co.uk/topics/politic…
Read 7 tweets

Related threads

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Russ
@RussInCheshire
It's a fool who makes too many predictions about the next few months, and there are lots of "ifs" in this thread. But I've been pondering the future for Boris Johnson and Brexit, and it's not all gloomy for Remain.

Thread
Assuming nothing else goes wrong in the next 3 days, Boris Johnson will inherit a working majority of 3 (including DUP).

Tories will lose the Brecon/Radnor byelection - polls put LibDems on 43%.

So that gives BJ a majority of 2.
Today, Charlie Elphicke was charged with 3 counts of sexual assault. No telling what will come of it, but his majority is 6000, and a swing of 6% will lose him the seat. The swing in Brecon looks like being over 20%.

So that's a majority of 1.
Read 13 tweets
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Edwin Hayward🦄🗡️
@uk_domain_names
Boris Johnson's big plan for Brexit?
1. Dip into the Withdrawal Agreement (that EU say is set in stone) to pick and choose bits like a chocolate selection box
2. Reach a special new deal with the EU, before a no deal exit on 31 October, to allow GATT24.
bbc.com/news/uk-politi…
3. Solve the Irish border problem during the implementation period magically created by plucking that section out of the WA and getting the EU to sign it on its own.
4. Remain ambiguous about whether we pay the £39 billion or some other amount or not at all, and on timing.
5. Implement the plentiful technical solutions that BJ claims already exist for the Irish border.

But apart from that it's fairly sound.

My goodness! If you stood all Boris Johnson's Brexit unicorns on top of one another, they'd reach the Moon!
Read 5 tweets
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The Management
@manejemenn
#Thread Questions you should be asking your financial planner / unit trust agent should be why am I paying so much fees upfront (5%?) on top of my management fee.
There are two kinds of fees investors typically pay:
(1) Upfront fees (charged one off & ranges from 1-5%)
(2) Management fee (charged annually between 1-2%)
The 3 largest unit trust companies in Malaysia are all bank owned and make up about 70% of the unit trust market overall. Fees charged by the UTs go to the distributors. These distributors are all wholly owned by the bank (parent co), or an in house agency.
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Ed Davey 🔶
@EdwardJDavey
Let’s talk about Boris

One of most disreputable, toxic, selfish politicians I’ve ever met. As Tories choose between British Trump & ex-Health Sec who’s mission was to destroy health service, let's remember why #Johnson is #UnfitForOffice
[Many threads]
2018: Letterboxes
Wrote that women wearing niqab looked like “letterboxes” & “bank robbers”; triggering attacks on our Muslim community, “letterbox” graffitied on homes, and giving racists new language in hate speech

#Johnson is #UnfitForOffice
independent.co.uk/news/uk/politi…
2008: “Blacks have lower IQs”
As editor of the Spectator he was responsible for - and clearly condoned - this racist drawl. He and his racist worldview has no place in Parliament, let alone @10DowningStreet

#Johnson is #UnfitForOffice
standard.co.uk/news/mayor/bor…
Read 16 tweets
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Hakim Abdi, PhD
@HakimAbdi
While I cannot attest to the veracity of these reports, I think there are misconceptions here about climate-linked humanitarian crises. One of the effects of climate change is the increased frequency of extreme events such as droughts and floods. #Thread 1/10
So, just because there have been severe floods in certain parts of the country *does not* negate the occurrence of droughts in other parts. I think the term "localized" needs to be emphasized in this context because the impact of extreme weather events is seldom uniform. 2/10
Here is a very basic background of the rainy season over Somalia. During the Gu, the Somali Jet plays a key role in transporting moist air from an area of high pressure around south of Madagascar, past the Horn of Africa to India. The Jet dumps its moisture along the way. 3/10
Read 15 tweets
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Angry Northerner
@AngryNorthernUK
Absolutely! To be clear, if you are going to be voting on partly lines in the upcoming European Elections, we have already lost! #Thread
UKIP's rise in the last European Elections was meteoric! They only didn't stand in seats they didn't poll well in the election before.
This is despite the fact that the EU average turnout was lowering across member states and the UK traditionally being lower than the EU average
Read 21 tweets

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