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Nothing terribly profound here but a quick update to my candidate tiers based on recent polling movement, this week's debates, and who's likely to qualify for the next debates. 53eig.ht/2MvdYd6 
I think it's hard to NOT have Biden as the frontrunner. His polling lead over the other candidates is pretty substantial. Primary polling isn't great but *good enough* that I don't think there's enough other data to outweigh it. He's still <50% vs. the field, though, IMO.
I've thought Sanders's chances have been overrated all cycle but the conventional wisdom has shifted to being a LOT more dismissive to the point where I'm *kinda* tempted to buy low? We'll see if he gets a bump in the polls, though.
