, 5 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
Battle lines pretty clearly drawn. No-deal Brexit from the Government (there's no realistic deal they can agree with the EU). Or the probable but not definite majority of MPs who oppose this force an extension. In both cases a general election follows.
If there's an extension followed by an election, the election is de facto a Brexit referendum. An election following a no-deal Brexit likely to be very challenging for Labour / Lib Dems amid mutual recrimination on failing to stop no-deal.
Chances are September Parliament tries to show a majority view against no-deal. But October is when we see whether there are really the votes to prevent it happening. Very hard to predict that right now either way.
There are many views out there that 1/ a Government of National Unity couldn't work (e.g. below from @stephenkb) and 2/ a Parliamentary bill against no-deal couldn't work. That is what the presumed majority against no-deal is going to test newstatesman.com/politics/stagg…
@stephenkb Same sort of thing on obstacles to stopping no-deal. But note a change of tone from at least the Number 10 official quoted. A few days ago it was "nothing can stop us", now it's "no complacency" but we'll win public opinion. ft.com/content/63bcfa…
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