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David Henig
@DavidHenigUK
, 4 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
Called it...

thesun.co.uk/news/brexit/99…
Brexit in the UK has been largely an exercise in trying to mislead MPs, the press and public for over three years now. I increasingly believe it can't be resolved until Government starts telling the truth.

ft.com/content/361803…
You could use this form of words to describe the existing backstop as well... the original compromise to give a UK wide Customs Union avoiding EW customs checks. theguardian.com/politics/2019/…
Bear in mind that Juncker was able to stand up to Trump the Hulk stuff won't work - but actually Johnson is more likely to be in pleading mode anyway, to be given something for domestic audience. Suspect it will be warm words and no shift on substance whatsoever.
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David Henig
@DavidHenigUK
Life on repeat... yes freedom of movement will be on the table in our trade talks (including with the EU) because it is one of the few things other countries want from us and we can offer.
But... any offer in trade talks carries risks - of precedent (if Australia then other countries will want it), of numbers (is there a limit to our cumulative offer), of public acceptability.

These things are difficult to resolve and hence why trade talks take time.
Thought occurs - a book entitled "The UK Trade Policy Handbook". No one person has all the expertise, but there's so much that could be covered. Now anyone like to volunteer to publish or indeed edit what would surely be an instant bestseller...? 🙄
Read 3 tweets
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David Henig
@DavidHenigUK
That's Australia, New Zealand, US, maybe Canada, Japan, probably the EU, on the immediate negotiation list, plus WTO negotiations, with no trade strategy, no economy wide priorities, and no process for Parliamentary or stakeholder involvement. Can't see what could go wrong...
Free Trade Agreements are economically marginal, though probably positive. They involve making concessions, which somebody isn't going to like. And if you don't know what your economy will look like in a few years time, you may focus on the wrong things.
Also, start talks as soon as we leave the EU on October 31st. Australia like all other Governments will have an Embassy in London telling them that probably won't happen. Just that small credibility point.
Read 3 tweets
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David Henig
@DavidHenigUK
I've done my shift, now the turn of @pmdfoster to explain why the UK Government's apparent Brexit plan won't work...
@pmdfoster Thanks for asking, yes it is a bit frustrating that we keep having to think of new ways to explain why the EU / Irish position is as it is, and why the UK Government or ERG proposals do not provide the answer. 18 months now in my case... sorry for those who got it first time.
@pmdfoster And no, in answer to the other question / comment I see frequently, the EU and Ireland will not be changing their position because the most vocal supporters of a country's decision to leave say that would be for the best.
Read 3 tweets

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@theresa_may @tnewtondunn @nick_gutteridge @Jack_Blanchard_ It's here, in the highlighted portion of the Sun story - it's the dirty open secret about the Irish backstop (hugely overlooked in Brussels and Dublin) which is that in practice, it's hard to see how it gets implemented. /3
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Multinationals avoid the total cost2UK of Freedom of Movement & Freedom of Establishment is about £40 Bn/YEAR. The effect on UK public finances is 2drain the resources available 4 OUR pensions & benefits in the future. Get ready 2work until you drop!
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