Do they want a Deal?
Do they want No Deal?
Do they want a General Election?
Prior to the Johnson-Barclay-Juncker-Barnier meeting, this is - I think - what is going on
Hold the election 15 Oct
Threaten to go to European Council 17 Oct with a "give me what I want, else No Deal" message
With that try to unify No Deal *and* Hard Deal Brexiters behind the Tories
There are only two ways he can do that now:
- get a Deal
- break the law as a way to No Deal
And only after that then countenance a General Election. And breaking the law makes Number 10 nervous
"Look, we tried, and the stubborn EU thwarted us!" is the narrative they are seeking to (re-)build
Justified scepticism all round on the EU side
Further, if Johnson does not fall on his own sword were he to lose at the Supreme Court, and he continues to say he will refuse to ask the EU for an Extension, the House of Commons will have to VONC him.
EU side needs to stay calm and resolute and stick to its lines