For what it's worth, prediction markets think Ukraine has boosted Warren against Biden. (Maybe not worth much: Yang with more chance than Sanders or Harris? Really?) They may be right — but NOT because there's any actual Biden scandal 1/
Here's why I think this may be bad for Biden: if Trump is impeached, as now seems very likely, but almost all Republicans then vote to acquit, his insistence that Trump is the whole problem and there are lots of good Rs will look foolish 2/
And the reason it will look foolish is because it is. The big problem with Biden is that he really doesn't seem to get what has happened to the GOP over the past 25 years 3/
Gah -- forgot to include Predictit chart 4/ 
