Thread by @quito_maggi

ICYMI: The lastest @MainStResearch numbers for @ipoliticsca shows the @liberal_party with a slight lead for the first time in weeks, the @CPC_HQ down and the @NDP over 18%

ipolitics.ca/2019/10/17/mai…

#elxn43 #cdnpoli

@MainStResearch @ipoliticsca @liberal_party @CPC_HQ @NDP And of course, my updated seat count as follows.

@liberal_party - 168
@CPC_HQ - 102
@BlocQuebecois - 37
@ndp - 28
@CanadianGreens - 3

@MainStResearch @ipoliticsca @liberal_party @CPC_HQ @NDP @BlocQuebecois @CanadianGreens Despite some challenges in Quebec and BC with the rise of the Bloc and NDP, the Liberals have gained on the Conservatives Daily, and now have a slight lead

Where is it coming from? the seat rich GTA

#elxn43 #cdnpoli

@MainStResearch @ipoliticsca @liberal_party @CPC_HQ @NDP @BlocQuebecois @CanadianGreens The @liberal_party will sweep this area, not just the 416 like in #elxn42 , but the 905 as well, from Durham to Burlington and everything in between

#elxn43 #cdnpoli

@MainStResearch @ipoliticsca @liberal_party @CPC_HQ @NDP @BlocQuebecois @CanadianGreens Ontario will do the heavy lifting for Liberal fortunes in 2019, like it did in 1997, with gains expected beyond the 905, in South Central and South Western Ontario where they struggled in #elxn42

#elxn43 #cdnpoli

@MainStResearch @ipoliticsca @liberal_party @CPC_HQ @NDP @BlocQuebecois @CanadianGreens In BC, the continued growth of the NDP is impacting possible Conservative gains

In the Prairies, we could now likely see a net loss for the Conservatives, again as a result of NDP rising

#elxn43 #cdnpoli

@MainStResearch @ipoliticsca @liberal_party @CPC_HQ @NDP @BlocQuebecois @CanadianGreens In Quebec, the Conservatives will be lucky to hold 5 seats, to the benefit of the Bloc Quebecois

The seat gains in Atlantic Canada will not be enough to offset the loss in Quebec for the Conservatives

#elxn43 #cdnpoli