We are living in a very different political climate today but interesting to draw the comparisons of the 2008 Iowa Dem Caucus -
White voters split their vote:
Obama: 33%
Hillary: 27%
Edwards: 24%
This gave Obama an opportunity to consolidate the minority vote
White voters split their vote:
Obama: 33%
Hillary: 27%
Edwards: 24%
This gave Obama an opportunity to consolidate the minority vote
Only 4% of the voters were African-American but Obama received a whopping 72% of their vote.
Other minority votes consisted of only 3% of the vote but Obama had nearly double Hillary’s share of their vote.
Other minority votes consisted of only 3% of the vote but Obama had nearly double Hillary’s share of their vote.
With so many candidates running in 2020, and a 9% minority population in IA, we could see even more severe splitting of the white vote.
We don’t have Iowa specific stats right now but the national white electorate leans most towards Warren, Pete, Amy, and T***i.
We don’t have Iowa specific stats right now but the national white electorate leans most towards Warren, Pete, Amy, and T***i.
African-American voters lean towards Biden, Harris, and Booker most heavily. “Other” minorities lean towards Yang, Beto and Tulsi more heavily.
Kamala has been reaching out to those “other” minorities the most of any candidate in Iowa so if she continues that, keeps peeling away black votes from Biden/Booker, and gets a slice of that white vote that seems to be splitting about 7 ways, she can emerge as the winner in IA.
