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Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania.

There is only one candidate leading Trump in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. There is only one candidate winning the 18-44 vote in Michigan over Trump.

nytimes.com/2019/11/04/ups…
also, just gonna stare at this, given the years long discourse
FL is interesting, because while Sanders trails Trump slightly (44-45), the coalition he puts together could upend modeling:

18-29
Sanders 53-42
Biden 48-40
Warren 47-45

Af. American
Sanders 78-11
Biden 70-11
Warren 66-11

North/Rural
Sanders 36-53
Biden 30-53
Warren 34-56
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More from @wideofthepost see all

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wideofthepost
@wideofthepost
The reason I keep hounding Warren on Medicare for All is that I think she's being fundamentally dishonest about her position, and is trying to muddle the debate and string people along, self-servingly.
It's hard to watch her events or interviews and not get the clear impression that:
– she doesn't prioritize it, and rarely mentions it in her stump
– she defines it simply as universal healthcare, and "the best coverage for the lowest price"
– she doesn't have a "plan" posted
– she doesn't ever talk about policy specifics, as if she doesn't want to give up a soundbite
– she doesn't define the transition or timeframe
– she doesn't define the coverage
– she pivots to a criticism of insurance companies (good, but… deflection from an affirmative policy)
Read 8 tweets
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wideofthepost
@wideofthepost
In Massachusetts, same polling company, poll from 2 weeks ago.

50% of Klobuchar
21% of Beto
19% of Biden
15% of Buttigieg
12.5% of Booker
6% of Bernie <—*
2% of Warren

... supporters would vote for Trump over Warren.

Whoops, there goes the narrative.
In Wisconsin, last month, same polling company.

15% of Klobuchar
9% of Warren
6% of Bernie <—*
5% of Beto
4% of Biden

... supporters would vote for Trump over Warren.

Whoops, there goes the narrative.
Late last month in Iowa, same polling company.

25% of Klobuchar
18% of Buttigieg
15% of Beto
8% of Bernie <—*
6% of Biden

... supporters would vote for Trump over Warren.

Whoops, there goes the narrative.
Read 8 tweets
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wideofthepost
@wideofthepost
January 2019 Morning Consult/Politico tracking poll.
Hispanic, fav/un
Bernie: 59/25 (+34) ← 🤔
Biden: 51/25 (+26)
Warren: 25/30 (-5) ← ?
Beto: 25/26 (-1) ← ?
Kamala: 25/24 (+1)
Booker: 18/17 (+1)
Brown: 10/19 (-9)
Klobuchar: 12/20 (-8)
politico.com/f/?id=00000168…
African Americans, fav/unfav
Bernie: 65/14 (+51) ← 🤔
Biden: 68/13 (+55)
Warren: 34/18 (+16)
Beto: 29/14 (+15)
Kamala: 33/17 (+16) ← ?
Booker: 33/16 (+17) ← ?
Brown: 21/11 (+10)
Klobuchar: 17/18 (-1)
Income: 100k+, fav/unfav
Bernie: 42/48 (-6) ← 🤔
Biden: 55/36 (+19) ← 🤔
Warren: 35/44 (-9) ← 🤔
Beto: 30/23 (+7)
Kamala: 26/25 (+1)
Booker: 25/27 (-2)
Brown: 12/13 (-1)
Klobuchar: 12/12 (0)
Read 3 tweets

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Jake Morphonios
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postcardsforAmerica
@postcards4USA
Hey #WISCONSIN
Here’s a THREAD all your Democratic Candidates #Midterms2018!
with photos, Twitter & Websites.
& Voter Info links to Registration, Absentee, ID, Poll Worker
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#VoteBlueWI
VOTE NOVEMBER 6, 2018!
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Info here: myvote.wi.gov/en-us/MyVoterI…
Polling Place myvote.wi.gov/en-us/FindMyPo…
Democratic Candidates for #Wisconsin #WI01 #WI1

Randy Bryce
randybryceforcongress.com
@IronStache

Vs GOP Bryan Steil
Incumbent Paul Ryan (R) retiring.

VOTE November 6!
#Midterms2018 #VoteBlueWI #VoteBlue
#wiunion
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