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A YangBanger just texted me.

His "persuasive pitch" was that automation will make 1 in 3 jobs obsolete by 2030.

This is utter horse sh*t.

I'll give you one example why, and you can extrapolate that out to other scenarios.

Here goes:
The jobs that exist now represent the most systematized and frictionless available.

INFINITE other job possibilities exist, but transactional friction + a lack of systems to support them make them appear to be non-viable relative to the jobs we "see" now.
Here's an example:

You own a property. It's got scads of problems that need repairs/fixing. Your landscaping is a damn mess.

Right now, you don't wanna hire some rando to do this stuff for a million reasons—trust, consistency, appearance of a "real business," etc.
And you're not alone.

Most properties are dumps.

But every property could be a paradise given the right input and elbow grease.

"Retrofixing" all properties in the US would create an untold number of jobs—jobs that literally don't exist right now.
Automation is characterized as some sort of job-killing demon, but in reality, it's just one of many sources of EXTERNAL PRESSURE.

Nature is the GOAT of external pressure.

Governments and regulations are another example.

A b*tchy wife is yet another example.
Automation is creating external pressure that will encourage the creation of new types of jobs via focusing on new problems.

One such problem? Properties are dumps. Let's make them paradises.

Thank to automation, you will pay less for some things and have more money for others.
So when you hear someone say, "automation will kill [x] jobs," your BS sensor ought to be going crazy.

There's no such thing as "killing" jobs.

There are simply different pressures and incentive structures that yield different possibilities and outcomes.
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