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The tragedy of the Brexit referendum. A mandate for Brexit. But no mandate for any of the painful changes it requires.
Even pro-Brexit politicians know that. Which is why they end up ducking and postponing those choices.
It’s also why in my view it’s a good bet that the outcome of a barkingly tight negotiation with the EU will be complete cave-in by the UK, in order to keep as many of the benefits of membership as the EU will let us have.
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More from @GeorgePeretzQC see all

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George Peretz QC
@GeorgePeretzQC
In fact, according to Professor Alan Winters of @uk_tpo, “some” means 75%. theguardian.com/politics/2019/…
See
That is because, under Article 5 of the NI protocol agreed by the Johnson Government, the default rule is that *all* GB to NI exports are subject to *all* EU customs rules and tariffs, unless it is *proved* that they will stay in NI *and* that they will not be processed in NI.
Read 6 tweets
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George Peretz QC
@GeorgePeretzQC
Quite right by @CamCavendish in the FT. Not just the ideology on both sides but the lack of credible thought about how to implement the ideology.
My own top example, because it’s in my practice area: the Tories’ State aid plans - both incoherent in their own terms, and ignore the obvious problem that if they meant anything much they would scupper any deal the EU. prospectmagazine.co.uk/economics-and-…
NB none of this is to deny the need for radical change. But radical change requires the ability to prioritise, attention to the details (does your proposal actually work), and realism about the problems you will face and the choices you’ll have to make.
Read 4 tweets
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George Peretz QC
@GeorgePeretzQC
This is only a sample of the hideous cats’ cradle that are the UK 🇬🇧 immigration rules and the inadequacy of HO guidance.
The HO charges unbelievable sums for visa applications. Any business providing a comparable service would be in serious trouble with the law (“plain and intelligible language”?).
“Byzantine” complexity is deeply unfair - to Byzantine emperors. The Codex Justiniani is - even in Latin - much easier for an ordinary modern day reader to understand and get right.
Read 3 tweets

Related threads

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Glen O'Hara
@gsoh31
Last point for now, but for all the rejoicing about polls, British politics can drift into a very difficult place from here. I call it the Death Zone, and the heatmap of probable results is drifting perilously close to it. Here's what I mean. /THREAD
Death Zone (1) tiny Con working majority, or just short. Enough to pass the WAB, get #Brexit, not enough to pass all the critical enabling legislation or extend transition. Risks of crashing out of transition rise sharply.
Death Zone (2) Cons on say 314, enough to cling to office but not to pass the WAB. Have to extend #Brexit again, have another GE in early spring perhaps. Still pretty deadly threat to all the political parties.
Read 5 tweets
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Call Paul's Boutique
@modernhomesla
#BREXIT

Oh Dear.

*Plausible Deniability

Tom Watson
Louise Mensch

From the same party?
They snd opposing
over Murdoch News Corp
News of the World
phone hacking responsibility.

#LevesonReport
#MurdochPhoneHackingScandal
9/11
See.

Thing is.

She should have excused herself
from the committee + hearing.

When u have associations
w folks, it tends 2 get ugly,
if u don't step back.

Her brutha
James Bagshawe
worked 4 Murdoch.
Did she ever menschion?

Things that make u go,
W.T.F.?
👻👁️👻
LearnMore
Hack
Louise Mensch
got some ithues, folks.

Hard 2 swallow 4 some,
Y da heck has no 1
ever vetted?
U take her *word 4 things.

Thot we supposed 2 vet?

*journalist
*author
*politician
*American Citizen?

Murdoch Phone hacking Scandal
Hillary Clinton email hacking Scandal

*Patterns
Read 9 tweets
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Collab blues
@Collabblues
A #brexit story with #flags, in english, with the amazing translation of @240185

1950
🇫🇷 "We got our ass kicked badly this time. Never do this again, eh?"
🇩🇪 "Ach, Ich agree"
🇫🇷 ceases Occupation of Saarland
🇫🇷 🇩🇪 cast ECSC
🇫🇷 🇩🇪 invite 🇧🇪 🇮🇹 🇱🇺 🇳🇱
🇬🇧 "WTF, what's that shit?"
🇬🇧 "Don't care, won't work anyway"
🇫🇷 🇩🇪 🇧🇪 🇮🇹 🇱🇺 🇳🇱 cast EEC and Euratom
🇬🇧 "What can I do to piss them off?"

1960
🇬🇧 casts EFTA
🇨🇭 🇳🇴 🇩🇰 🇵🇹 🇦🇹 join EFTA
🇪🇺 casts Customs Union
1961
🇬🇧 "May I play with y'all?"
🇫🇷 "Piss off"
🇩🇪 🇧🇪 🇮🇹 🇱🇺 🇳🇱 "Ya sure?"
🇫🇷 "I know him, he's a punk. He keeps breaking my toys since 1066. I swear to God he won't enter"
🇬🇧 "Don't care, don't want to join your shitty club anyway"
Read 113 tweets
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Ben Kelly
@TheScepticIsle
Support for ‘no deal’ Brexit is the pinnacle of Leave's descent into zealotry. The end result of refusing to plan

Like Trump, 'no deal' advocates have flooded the debate with “alternative facts”
It won't end well

THREAD! PLEASE RETWEET!

#Brexit #WTOBrexit #NoDealBrexit #SOS
The increased support for a ‘no deal’ Brexit is the ultimate failure of the Leave movement. It’s the inevitable consequence of the refusal to grasp details, come to terms with complexity & coalesce around a plan. Compromise can be frustrating. So instead they will have a tantrum.
Some Brexiteers advocated sensible solutions. The EFTA/EEA solution gained a lot of traction in the years before the ref. Even Farage had promoted it & countless others. See Farage below from 2011 essentially making the ‘Liberal Leave’ case!
Read 55 tweets
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Lord Snoutintrough #FBPE
@Rowland72James
#brexit seems to be all about feeling over fact and this is especially true of the ReesMogg ERG faction of the Tory right.
I never bought the line that #brexit is about Democracy because most of the Tory right had zero enthusiasm for improving democracy in the UK few of them care about unelected house of lords the unfair FPTP electoral system or transparency on the contrary
Most of the Tory right are interested only in constitutional changes that suit them and if anything strive to be as little democratically accountable as possible.
Read 23 tweets
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tony nog #FBPE
@tony_nog
1) a competent opposition would have forced the hand of the Tory Gov. 18 months ago by saying "no, we won't trigger Article 50 until we see a #Brexit plan"
Even if they'd lost the vote, they'd have the high ground
They'd now be making political capital with Leavers & Remainers
2) a competent opposition would now be saying "we knew the Tories had no plan, and now we are on a 2 year timescale, and time is running out - what a shambles"

An election winning #Brexit neutral position which makes Brexit about Tory incompetence & recklessness

Unfortunately..
3) this opposition can't attack the Tories for triggering A50 with no plan, because Labour went along with it

Not only did they allow the "overwhelming vote for A50" line to surface, they have nowhere to go in attacking the Government, because they voted for A50 with no plan too
Read 5 tweets

Trending hashtags

#nodeal #Margin #HarryLeslieSmith #BrexitParty #brexit #Brexit #Stockpiling #schizophrenia #Ayes #TeamPatriot #diabetes #timefortruth #HoL #NewsCorporation #NoDeal #vote #Sue #HillaryClintonEmails #MurdochPhoneHackingScandal #cancer #Luxembourg #underreported #Fraud #ErikPrince #theplanallalong
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