I asked @blakesmustache for permission to share this thread. It's fascinating and fact-filled, with a very sharp legal mind behind his opinions. I encourage you to read it. Every tweet below in this thread was written by him, but I thought it important enough to share.
Thread: Event Horizon
Trump’s fate is and always has been in the hands of the US Supreme Court. He knows it. His legal team knows it. And the House Dems and their legal team know it too.
The only ones who don’t know it are the general public. But you’re going to know it soon.
Trump’s fate is and always has been in the hands of the US Supreme Court. He knows it. His legal team knows it. And the House Dems and their legal team know it too.
The only ones who don’t know it are the general public. But you’re going to know it soon.
The Ukraine scandal is fascinating. It’s clear impeachable conduct by Trump and *should* result in his removal from office. However, it won’t. That’s because the thing at the heart of the Ukraine scandal—an attempt to steal an election—is a thing that’s just A-OK with the GOP.
Let’s face it. Stealing elections isn’t just something that’s OK with the GOP; it’s the only way they have to stay in power and they’ve been doing it for DECADES. Voter suppression, gerrymandering, illegal campaign contributions, outright lies/slander of opponents. You name it.
Russian election interference and, now, trying to coerce Ukraine to interfere, are just natural extensions of what the GOP has been doing all along; it’s cheating, and the GOP are cheaters. They’re not going to convict Trump for that. They’re going to pat him on the back for it.
But what about the fact that Trump is a mobbed up criminal, beholden to foreign powers? Is that A-OK too? No, it’s clearly not. It’s a big problem for the GOP and will put them in a box. That’s why this has always been about the financial crimes. Everything else is a sideshow.
And if it’s all about the financial crimes, then it’s all about SCOTUS, because SCOTUS is the one to determine whether House Dems can get the evidence of this financial crimes. And we are quickly approaching the event horizon.
SCOTUS now has before it three cases that will seal Trump’s doom. The Manhattan DA is pursuing Trump’s financial records at SCOTUS for purposes of a huge criminal investigation. They’re going to get it and they’ll immediately indict Trump and his entire criminal enterprise.
SCOTUS also has before it two cases involving House Dems pursuit of Trump’s tax/banking records. Those records will reveal Trump to be a tax/bank/mortgage/insurance fraud , a money launderer, and also that he’s intedebted to foreign nationals to the tune of hundreds of millions.
Trump is a crime boss and, worse yet, his crimes are with other foreign leaders who have him by the balls. He’s compromised. Everything he does is for the benefit of his foreign puppet masters in order to hide his crimes. And it’s all coming out.
On Friday, SCOTUS will decide whether to grant Trump an appeal in the Manhattan DA Mazars case. If that appeal is denied, it’s game over for Trump. And if the appeal is allowed to proceed, SCOTUS will announce a fast-track schedule that resolves the case by March.
On Friday, SCOTUS most likely also will consider whether to grant Trump an appeal in the House Mazars case, and same thing there. It will either be resolved against Trump or put on an announced fast-track schedule that will resolve the case by March.
Friday also is D-Day in the House Deutsche Bank case. SCOTUS will either deny Trump’s stay request and hand his bank records to the House, or it will put the case on a fast-track that resolves the case by March.
I’d say it’s roughly 50-50 whether Trump survives this coming Friday. And, even if he does, it’s merely a stay of execution. Ultimately, Trump will lose all three cases. His arguments are frivolous and meritless. SCOTUS will nail his ass. It’s a certainty. Trump is doomed.
Everything else has been an attempt by the House Dems to buy time until they can get the smoking gun. I’m 100% sure they already know exactly what they’re gonna get. Pelosi has been pretty clear about that. They know. They just know.
They’ve either gotten leaks or already have the actual documents themselves. Before Trump could block the DB subpoena, they already sent the House a bunch of documents. And @NewYorkStateAG
has a lot of the documents as well and I’m guessing she and Pelosi have had some chats.
has a lot of the documents as well and I’m guessing she and Pelosi have had some chats.
It’s all over but the crying. House Dems have known what they’ve been after since January. They haven’t wanted to tell you, but they’ve known all along how this movie ends. Trump is a goner. You don’t have to believe me any more. You can just watch.
