STOCK MARKET INVESTMENT (FIPI) FROM FOREIGNERS IS A BILLION TIMES DANGEROUS THAN “Hot Money”
1. Why has the Journalists brigade always praised billions coming into #Pakistan Stock Market which is more
2. How is FIPI more dangerous ?
Well when billions come into Stock Market (SM). Those billion create a buying frenzy. It creates a euphoria. It makes stocks go up. That induces
3. That approximately can be a value increase of $20 billion dollars on paper. Meaning the SM value has increased from let’s say: $30 billion to $50 billion. Just imagine a mere $1 billion investment can effect the overall market value by $20 billion.
5. The investor decides to sell all $2 billion in investments and now this causes pressure on the markets. Remember that the stock market can go from 30,000 to 45,000 within months. Not years
7. A 100% return. He sells that 100% return. Converts it back into dollars and now takes out $2 billion in dollars out of PAKISTAN within months.
8. Plus his selling
9. That causes a selling stampede and the $20 billion
Who loses out the most ?
Pakistani common people. Because they mostly bear the cost of $20 billion in value evaporating because the sudden exit of the foreign investors causing panic.
Who else hurts ?
Pakistani corporations whose
Who else hurts ?
Public Sector Enterprises listed on PAKISTAN Stock Exchange like PSO. PPL. SSGC. SNGPL Etc Etc. Billions of dollars of Market Capitalisation (Value) gets wiped out.
Who else hurts ?
10. People hold back FDI. People hold back on Greenfield investments. Donor agencies stop project funding. IMF and WB issue
SOUNDS FAMILIAR ?
We just saw this happen from 2016 to 2018. Didn’t we ?
How come no Anchor no Genius program host no brilliant TV economist
11. On the other hand $1 billion in hot money comes in for example at 13% Rupee based rate. And IF the investor wants to suddenly exit with this $1 billion after 3 months instead of the whole year. He only gets the interest return
No economy comes crashing down. No GoP own companies lose billions. No pakistani Investor loses his life savings. No IMF or WB give bad reviews. No Donor Agencies
So the next time any Anchor tries to scare you into believing that everything is doom and gloom in Pakistan. Pray that he is guided by Allah.
PAKISTAN is here to stay. PAKISTAN
PAKISTAN matters and only PAKISTAN matters.
#PakistanZindabad