Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #bond

Most recents (24)

Treasury Market Signal 🧵

1. CPI Inflation increased by 0.12% in May, surprising consensus expectations of 0.1%. This print contributed to a sequential deceleration in the quarterly trend relative to the yearly trend. Image
2. However, we think it is important to note that excluding food and energy, i.e., core CPI, was up 0.40% this month— implying a 4.9% annualized rate for core inflation. This data is far removed from the Fed’s objective.
3. As such, #bond markets have moved to re-#discount expectations, moving away from aggressive expectations of easing, consistent with our views outlined in our Month In Macro note. We show this below: Image
Read 6 tweets
Rechtsextreme Anhänger des rechtsextremen Rappers Mr. #Bond, wollen Rache an Journalisten, Staatsanwälten & Richter nehmen. Sie haben eine sog. Feindesliste mit 15 Namen von Personen veröffentlicht. #Telegram #Halle #Attentat #RechterTerror #NSC131…
Read 4 tweets
What is @pendle_fi you may wonder?👀

Pendle Finance is a DeFi protocol built on @ethereum & @arbitrum that allows users around the world to manage and trade #yield. It's a #permissionless platform, open to anyone with internet access.💯

🧵 Image
@pendle_fi @ethereum @arbitrum In traditional finance, #yield is the income from an investment, like interest from a bond or dividends from stocks.✍️

In #DeFi, yield often comes from #ProvidingLiquidity or #staking tokens. @pendle_fi introduces a novel approach to treating yield.🔥

@pendle_fi @ethereum @arbitrum Pendle wraps yield-bearing tokens into "Standardized Yield Tokens" (SY).📝

These #SY tokens are split into two components:👇

1️⃣ Principal Token (PT)
2️⃣ Yield Token (YT)

Representing the original investment and expected yield, respectively.☑️

Read 7 tweets
#Bitcoin prices set to reach $45,000 this year, says report - Follow the 'fair value' roadmap for optimal #tradingstrategy ⬇️🧵

Sub to our TG for the latest:… Image
1/10: Despite recent #volatility, #Bitcoin prices are where they should be according to our #CPI/#FOMC roadmap laid out in Feb.
2/10: Based on the Jan. Effect, #Bitcoin could finish the year around $45k, which seemed optimistic at $22k, but is now achievable. Image
Read 12 tweets
When Mary went to hang out with "friends" March 28 2020 no one imagined this!

#MaryCollins Hidden In A #Mattress In Front of Police

Perps waiting for trial!

#murder #disability #Charlotte #NorthCarolina @MarysVoices


Clips @misery_podcast… Image
Living her life before her life was stolen. Always remember. Never forget. Mary Santina Collins ❤️

#MaryCollins #Murder #Charlotte #NorthCarolina

April 16th 2019
Mary 💔 @MarysVoices

Mary Santina Collins 1999-2020

In March 2020, #MaryCollins age 20, was #murdered in #Charlotte #NorthCarolina, stabbed 133x, her body hidden in a mattress. "#Friends" took advantage of her #disability & trust.

#JusticeForMary #JusticeForMaryCollins

Read 9 tweets
1/10 🚀 ANNOUNCEMENT: Taking LCX Earn to the next level: Earn a 7% fixed yield on Euro $EUR, #Bitcoin $BTC, #Ethereum $ETH, or LCX Token $LCX and experience the future of investment with tokenized bonds. #LCXEarn #Crypto… ImageImageImage
2/10 🌍 Our offering is based on an approved security prospectus, available to verified retail users in 30 European countries. Dive into a transparent and secure investment process with LCX Earn. #Europe #EEA Image
3/10 🌕 EURt7 (Moon) - Invest in a stable and familiar asset with a 7% fixed yield. EURt7 is denominated in Euro $EUR and represents the security and reliability of this widely-used fiat currency. #Yield #Crypto #Investing ImageImageImage
Read 11 tweets
#IMPORTANT The #MSCI Weight Reduction in #AdaniGroup is Just the Start of more events to come.

I highlighted the likelihood of #MSCI in the #THREAD BELOW
1/n what did MSCI Say ?
"MSCI has received feedback from a range of market participants concerning the eligibility"
“Characteristics of certain investors have sufficient uncertainty that they should no longer be designated as free float pursuant to our methodology.”
=> basically MSCI felt there is truth in what #Hindenburg portrayal of a "Close Relationship" with the FIIs
MSCI Also Said
"This determination has triggered a free float review of the Adani Group securities" which will be informed in Mid-feb and implemented by End-feb
Read 17 tweets
Altcoinist #ALPHA pick: $RSR

@reserveprotocol 's vision is to create a better, decentralized financial system with asset-backed currencies!

The future of money backed by:

- Tokenized #RWA-s
- Tokenized #ETF-s
- Tokenized #Bond-s
- Tokenized #DeFi strategies
- Tokenized #SP500
@reserveprotocol $RSR will be the backbone of the @reserveprotocol with two main utilities:
- Collateral Backstop
- Decentralized Governance

Soon, staking will be available on their Mainnet letting stakers earn Real-Yield.

First #Rtoken will be $eUSD by @mobilecoin !
@reserveprotocol @mobilecoin @mobilecoin has partnership with @signalapp , @signalapp has 50m + users!

I'd also mention a few big names $RSR ecosystem will have ties with through Rtoken backings:

@CurveFinance $CRV @fraxfinance $FXS @OlympusDAO @LidoFinance @ConvexFinance $CVX
Read 8 tweets
As we kickoff 23', here's a thread w/ the latest data 🏦💵🖨 on #StockMarket liquidity, credit, & financial conditions within the broader markets... 🧵/👇🏼

📊 h/t @crossbordercap

#FederalReserve #interestrates #stockmarket #Crypto #GDP $DXY $TLT $SPY $ES $SPX $QQQ $DIA $IWM Image
1/🧵 One of the indicators we watch is the @federalreserve 'Net Liquidity' as this tracks the markets very closely....

📊 h/t @fkronawitter1

#FederalReserve #interestrates #stockmarket #Crypto #GDP $DXY $TLT $SPY $ES $SPX $QQQ $DIA $IWM

2/🧵 In addition to this, investors also have to look past the @federalreserve as global Central Banks 🏦 have joined in QT against the #inflation backdrop...

📊 h/t @LanceRoberts @ISABELNET_SA @topdowncharts @insidefinance

Read 55 tweets
Grey area in securities regulation @SECGov has birthed a new phenomenon: bearer security tokens

Investors aren't aware of the risks associated w/ these assets so I wrote an article to share👇

Buyers Beware: Introducing Bearer Security Tokens👀

Link:… Image
Security tokens are digital assets that comply w/ government securities regulations & automatically enforce rules, guidelines & parameters given a security

The @STOmarket secondary market capitalization has exploded more than 10x from last year to today & now sits @ $15B 🌴
#Realestate has been cementing its place in the security token industry as a beneficiary of the technology since 2018 and 2019.🏚

We have seen a multitude of real estate security token offerings. According to the STM Real Estate Intelligence Report, by @pgaff_digital
Read 86 tweets
DISCLAIMER : This is for educational purpose and not financial advise.

Monthly market analysis Oct 31, 2022

#StockMarket #DowJones best month since 1976

Let's look at more closely 🧵👇
1. After technical oversold and very negative sentiment in Sep month, #StockMarket was finally able to reverse direction this month. $DJIA had the best month since 1976 (+14%). $NDX was underperformed (5%) compared to $SPX (8.8%), $RUT(11%).

2. Let's look at US 10Y #Bond Yield price action. It was very volatile and tested 4.3% Jun'08 high before reversing -9.8% to the end of the month. This month it finished up 5.7%. RSI did not make new high at Oct 21 when it reached peak 4.33% (bearish reversal)
#StockMarket Image
Read 53 tweets
🧵 Is the American Dream dead? - a tweetstorm

This is a brain dump of .@RaoulGMI's 30+ years of knowledge, how the world works, and how his macro framework fits into it all ⤵️
1/ There's no denying that we're in a mess!

By the Law of Unintended Consequences, every time we try to fix A, we create problems B, C, D, E, etc.

We hardly understand these new problems unless there's hindsight to connect the dots...

So, how the hell did we get here?

Let's start by looking at the peak of the #British Empire:

It was the world's largest realm. But as with every empire, trying to control so many people across the globe has its price & #debt weakened its structure...
Read 81 tweets
Bonds are very simple #debt instruments, yet they
account for a whopping $120T market size globally and are being bridged to DeFi at a jaw-dropping speed.

A 🧵on everything you need to know about on-chain bonds and how to invest in them.

(Not Financial Advice.)
Warm-up: What is a bond?

A #bond is a debt instrument that allows the issuer (borrower) to raise money from investors (lenders) willing to lend them money for a certain amount of time.
Three main types of bonds are:

◦ Corporate bonds, issued by companies.
◦ Municipal bonds, issued by states and municipalities.
◦ Government (sovereign) bonds such as those issued by the U.S. Treasury or other forms of sovereign debt.
Read 18 tweets
Why does the #bonds crash signal further pressure for #stocks?
(& why do rate hikes take so long to show in earnings?)

High inflation & rate hikes transmit through the economy with a range of 1st to 3rd order effects with varying lags. Lets map those out:

PART 1 of 2 threads:
This is complicated to map given various dynamics, sectors & lags, particularly with 280 char limits! But lets give it a go anyway. This is descriptive to help you think through aspects & trades you may not have yet considered

Theres 2 PARTS to this thread due to length
Direct impacts:

When rates are hiked in response to #CPI, theres 2 1st order effects that are fairly contemporaneous. First #bond prices fall as they are the direct inverse of their rate. Higher Fed Funds, higher rates across the curve, lower bond prices
h/t @leadlagreport chart
Read 18 tweets
I was asked about why there are differences in #TEDSPREAD values/plotting, so here’s what you should know. The acronym “TED” is derived from #TREASURIES minus #EURODOLLARS & expresses the difference between theoretically risk free yield & yield with embedded credit risk (cont)…
…classically TED spreads are plotted using same term cash #TREASURY bills against #LIBOR yields. Most often the terms used are 1M & 3M month tenors, though overnight tenors can also be used. Of course any risk free rate can be used such as #SOFR, as in my previous post (cont)…
If you’re wanting to trade #TED spreads using futures and/or you don’t have access to an #EIKON or Bloomberg terminal for cash plots you can construct/trade a viable version of them synthetically using 2Y #TREASURY & #EURODOLLAR futures which is very common (cont)… $ZT $ED $GE
Read 19 tweets
DISCLAIMER : This is for educational purpose and not financial advise.

Monthly market analysis Sep 30, 2022

#StockMarket Worst week, worst month, and worst quarter of the year since Financial crisis and dot-com bubble. Why it happened?

Let's look at more closely 🧵👇
1. After making reversal at H/S neckline in early Aug, US 10Y Yield #bond broke out from Feb'11 high 3.73% and have held up strongly for about a week. This month, yield has gone up +20%, bad for risk and long duration assets

#StockMarket Image
2. US 02Y Yield #bond broke out resistance 3.7% and past 4% strongly after Fed Reserve hawkish announcement and never look back. This month yield has gone up more than +22%

#StockMarket Image
Read 49 tweets
Did someone warn you of the current #inflation, #recession, and #bearmarket in equities? Did you get out or reallocate in time? Breaking even? Maybe even profit?
Did you pay a subscription for those warnings late last year?
I started warning friends about it in 2016.

Read on🧵
When I said that I was warning my friends about it in 2016, I did so because it was clear that #Trump would not be a good president for the US & world #economy long-term, and would increase the odds of #inflation and rising #interestrates.

Late 2016 DMs in Norwegian to a friend: Image
But why am I not linking Twitter screenshots? Well, I haven't been on here for even two years yet, so my oldest conversations are in private FB chats with friends and family, as those were the only people I tried to warn.

2018 chats about #Euribor annual hedging puts re #ECB: Image
Read 19 tweets


You can now fully customise your #blockchain #bond & we made them tradable!

Gateway to new possibilities in #DeFi:

Let’s see what #DeBond’s tech can do!
EIP-3475 is a new standard #smartcontract interface created by #DebondProtocol

It’s an interface for #tokenized obligations with abstract on-chain metadata storage

Callable #bonds are now possible!

Store more bond information, customise them — just like in the traditional finance

But now, fully on #blockchain

A whole new world market of market opportunities

Read 7 tweets
1/4 Trend Precognition made perfect calls at the start of a 10 Day, 725% rally on @Barn_Bridge coin #BOND and then signaled SHORT for a 53% dump.

Note: The strength of the signal has no relation to the size of the move, it only indicates the probability of an accurate call.... Image
2/4 Through the cycle, the MTF Mean Reversion indi gave a bunch of #TradingSignals. MTF has an impressive hit rate, but I don't want to create the illusion that these indicators nail it 100% of the time. ImageImage
3/4 Spot checking through MTF signals you can see that even some of the higher entries scalped profits quickly before the cascade continued down. This is why we choose lower TP targets in these market conditions, and it illustrates why #riskmanagement is critical to your success. Image
Read 4 tweets
Here are a few slides I sent the guys by way of a pre-amble:
For all the blithe talk about #EnergyTransition, the blunt truth is that civilisation runs on hydrocarbons. Remove the latter and the former falls, too.

Even the food we eat requires them. We have not improved the living standards of all our teeming billions on the quasi-Neolithic methods of farming so beloved of the ignorant #Green metromarxists.

Read 8 tweets
As was widely expected, the @federalreserve’s Federal Open Market Committee raised the target range for the Federal Funds #policy rate by 50 basis points (bps), to between 0.75% and 1.0%, and announced the start of #runoff of the central bank’s balance sheet.
As previously suggested by the #Fed’s March minutes, the pace of runoff was confirmed today as $95 billion/month ($60 billion in U.S. #Treasuries and $35 billion in Agency #MBS, with a three-month phase-in period.
Also as expected, the statement reiterated that the #FOMC “anticipates that ongoing increases in the target range will be appropriate,” underscoring the seriousness of #Fed policymakers in getting #inflation and inflation expectations under control.
Read 16 tweets
A Thread on Debt to GDP Ratio 🧵

The debt-to-GDP ratio compares a country's debt to its total economic output measure by GDP for the year.

This ratio tells how the economy is doing and allows comparison.

Lets Look at where the world stands

@sahilkapoor @dugalira
What does % Mean

>100 : Country not producing enough to pay debt

100 : Just enough to pay off debt

<100: Enough economic output to make debt payments
If The % > 100: Higher risk of default and country will get loan at higher interest rate.

That further perpetuates the cycle by increasing debt —> looming financial crisis

Like the Hedonic Treadmill
Read 11 tweets
It’s Monday and while we might have all woken up today feeling like #ChrisRock after the #Oscars the markets lacked a punch last week. Both the #Sensex and #Nifty remained unchanged and saw a fall of less than 1%, to close at 57,632 pts & 17,173 pts respectively. (1/5)
#NiftyMetal and #Energy indices were the outliers and saw a jump of 5.1% and 2.1% respectively. Not terribly surprising considering wars, high commodity prices and global uncertainty. The S&P 500 and #NASDAQ had a good week and closed at 1.8% & 2.3% ↑ respectively. (2/5)
The #Nikkei was 4.9% ↑. It’s been making significant recoveries after falling to its lowest point in a year, on 9th March. In India, #Commodity prices are up, #Energy prices are up, and soon the RBI may not have any option but to take #InterestRates up. (3/5)
Read 5 tweets
A significant #bond #buying opportunity is approaching.
As bond yields surge, history and #techncial analysis suggest that we should look at bonds for both #capital appreciation and a #risk hedge.…
In Dec 2018, we wrote why Jeff Gundlach was likely incorrect about 6% yields.
“Rates are at levels that historically led to some sort of event either economic, financial, or both, When that occurs, rates will go to 1.5% and closer to Zero.“
We got to 0.5%…
The surge in 2-year #bond #yields is unprecedented. Historically, such a surge in short-term yields coincides with either #recessions or #market events. With yields now 4-std deviations above its 52-week moving average, such has denoted peaks previously.…
Read 6 tweets

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