Thread by @eldon_katz

From new @EmersonPolling NH poll (thread)

Top candidates for people who have made up their mind about who to support-

Sanders 29%
Buttigieg 20%
Biden 14%
Warren 14%
Klobuchar 13%

Source: emersonpolling.com/wp-content/upl…

Also from new @EmersonPolling NH poll

Top candidates for people who are voting on actual issues as opposed to what the media spoon-fed to them about "electability"

Sanders 26%
Buttigieg 19%
Warren 15%
Yang 9%
Gabbard 8%
Biden 6% 👈👈👈

Source: emersonpolling.com/wp-content/upl…

Also from new @EmersonPolling NH poll

Among those who say that Trump’s assassination of Soleimani was NOT justified-

Sanders 30%
Warren 19%
Buttigieg 15%
Biden 13%

Among those who say that it was-
Buttigieg 21%
Sanders 16%
Biden 15%
Warren 5%

Source: emersonpolling.com/wp-content/upl…

Also from new @EmersonPolling NH poll conducted this week

Top candidates with women:

Sanders 21%
Buttigieg 19%
Warren 18%
Biden 12%
Klobuchar 8%
Yang 6%
Steyer 5%
Gabbard 4%

Source: emersonpolling.com/wp-content/upl…

Also from new @EmersonPolling NH poll

Among people Very Likely to vote in Primary:

What direction would you like to see the Democratic Party move in?

To the left: 51%
To the right: 20%
Stay where it is: 29%

Source: emersonpolling.com/wp-content/upl…

Also from new @EmersonPolling NH poll

Top candidates w/ REAL Democrats

Sanders 25%
Buttigieg 19%
Warren 18%
Biden 15%
Klobuchar 7%

Top candidates w/ Independents

Sanders 20%
Buttigieg 16%
Klobuchar 13%
Biden 13%
Warren 8%

Source: emersonpolling.com/wp-content/upl…

Also from new @EmersonPolling NH poll

Landline:

Buttigieg 22%
Sanders 20%
Biden 16%
Klobuchar 13%
Warren 11%
Gabbard 5%
Yang 4%
Steyer 3%

Non-landline:

Sanders 28%
Warren 19%
Yang 10%
Biden 10%
Buttigieg 8%
Steyer 7%
Gabbard 4%
Klobuchar 4%

Source: emersonpolling.com/wp-content/upl…

@EmersonPolling Also from new @EmersonPolling NH poll

Which Democratic candidate has a better plan, policy or approach to Healthcare?

Sanders 35%
Buttigieg 19%
Biden 17%
Warren 12%

(Women only):

Sanders 36%
Buttigieg 19%
Warren 15%
Biden 15%

Source: emersonpolling.com/wp-content/upl…

@EmersonPolling Also from new @EmersonPolling NH poll

% of non-supporters of each candidate who still thinks that candidate has the best healthcare plan:

Sanders 20%
Biden 10%
Buttigieg 8%
Warren 5%

Source: emersonpolling.com/wp-content/upl…

@EmersonPolling Also from new @EmersonPolling NH poll

Which Democratic candidate has a better plan, policy or approach to The Economy?

Sanders 23%
Warren 20%
Buttigieg 17%
Biden 16%

(Women only):

Sanders 24%
Warren 23%
Biden 17%
Buttigieg 16%

Source: emersonpolling.com/wp-content/upl…

@EmersonPolling % of candidate’s supporters who think their choice will win.
Biden 87%
Sanders 49%
Buttigieg 44%
Warren 31%

% chance of winning nomination per 538
Biden 38%
Sanders 25%
Warren 14%
Buttigieg 8%

Supporter overconfidence rate
Buttigieg +447%
Biden +129%
Warren +122%
Sanders +97%

@EmersonPolling Of people who don’t think their top choice will win nomination, % who think that..

Biden will win:
Buttigieg Supporters 66%
Sanders Supporters 61%
Warren Supporters 52%

Sanders will win:
Biden Supporters 47%
Warren Supporters 35%
Buttigieg Supporters 14%

Of people who don’t think their top choice will win nomination, % who think that..

Warren will win:
Sanders Supporters 17%
Buttigieg Supporters 3%
Biden Supporters 0%

Buttigieg will win:
Sanders Supporters 8%
Biden Supporters 6%
Warren Supporters 0%

If I had liberal brain worms I would say this last one is proof that Biden and Buttigieg supporters are sexist and Warren supporters are homophobes

@EmersonPolling The takeaway from this one is that Bernie supporters' expectations are the MOST grounded in reality, contrary to despicable corporate media characterizations of us.

Also, Buttigieg supporters are deeply delusional.

@EmersonPolling The fact that Bernie is beating Biden by 20 points once you remove the "electability" noise is huge.

If everyone just voted their own values instead of what they (incorrectly) imagine other people's values to be, we would sweep the primaries.

@EmersonPolling Also, over 51% of Bernie's supporters in this poll were women, compared with just 48% of Biden supporters.

This is all despite the corporate media dishonestly smearing Bernie as a sexist while intentionally ignoring the real misogyny in Biden's record.

@EmersonPolling I think this poll was Bernie's best performance with landline voters in any poll all year.
First time I've seen him ahead of Biden with that group.

@EmersonPolling Also remember that health care is the #1 issue for Democrats.

#2 is the environment, which Bernie polls the best on as well.