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NEW: Joe Biden has quietly redirected TV money out of NH and SC and into Iowa in recent weeks.

A SC win would be late for an influx of small money to help much on Super Tuesday.

My story on how the biggest stakes in Iowa for Biden might just be cash...
nytimes.com/2020/01/30/us/…
The Biden campaign/super PAC will have spent nearly $9 million in Iowa by the caucuses — and virtually nothing by then in NH NV SC combined.

The spending tells you the state's significance.

(Biden still being outspent in IA by Sanders/Buttigieg/Steyer)
nytimes.com/2020/01/30/us/…
I don't think most observers have properly priced into their political thinking — in terms of cash-on-hand — how far behind Joe Biden might be to Bernie Sanders on tomorrow's FEC reports nytimes.com/2020/01/30/us/…
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More from @ShaneGoldmacher see all

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Shane Goldmacher
@ShaneGoldmacher
NEWS: In a shift, Elizabeth Warren now says she will NOT do big-money fundraising events if she's the Democratic nominee.

She had previously said her ban only applied to primary.
nytimes.com/2019/10/09/us/…
She made comment to @cbszak in the same interview he asked about her losing her job while pregnant. CBS posted the full interview last night here:

Relevant part near 7-minute mark: cbsnews.com/video/elizabet…

nytimes.com/2019/10/09/us/…
@cbszak Warren on facing Trump: "I’m not going to do the big-dollar fund-raisers. I’m just not going to do it"
nytimes.com/2019/10/09/us/…
Read 11 tweets
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Shane Goldmacher
@ShaneGoldmacher
NEW: Takeaways from 2 nights in Miami

1 Biden is a fragile frontrunner
2 Kamala jolted the race
3 Warren/Sanders battle for left intensifying
4 GOP loving the debates (especially hand-raising)
5 Castro gains toehold
6 The field is too damn big

A thread…
nytimes.com/2019/06/28/us/…
1) Biden

It says something that 23 candidates were not bullied out of 2020 by a former VP. And Miami showed why. Louder whispers from rivals about whether Biden has lost a step. And that his "Department of Ed" answer gonna spur more news cycles...
nytimes.com/2019/06/28/us/…
As a baffled @fshakir, Bernie Sanders's campaign manager, asked me after the debate on Biden, “Are we still debating whether the federal government should have a role over desegregating schools?”
nytimes.com/2019/06/28/us/…
Read 13 tweets
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Shane Goldmacher
@ShaneGoldmacher
Cory Booker on CNN in studio with Don Lemon, responding to Biden now....
"I was surprised he didn't apologize," Booker says.

They are now playing Biden clip from outside his fundraiser in MD.
Booker on CNN: "As a black man in America I know the deeply harmful and hurtful use of the word 'boy""
Read 16 tweets

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Steve Herman
@W7VOA
"I worked so hard for this state," says @POTUS, opening political rally in #Iowa.
@POTUS "It's going to be a historic landslide," predicts @POTUS at @DrakeUniversity rally. "If we don't win your farms are going to hell."
@POTUS @DrakeUniversity After disparaging @ewarren, @SenSanders and @JoeBiden, @POTUS remarks: "Boot-edge-edge...presides over a city that failed,.

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G. Elliott Morris
@gelliottmorris
#NEW I wrote about "electability" and the 2020 Democratic primary for the paper this week. We combined political science and polling data and found that a moderate Dem with strength among working-class whites has the best chance against Trump.

<THREAD>

economist.com/united-states/…
The 2020 election is likely to be close. Trump's approval rating & GDP growth suggest that he'll win about 49% of the two-party vote, per our modeling. He's clearly competitive, especially when Democrats need to win the popular vote by about ~2.5pts to win the electoral college.
So the "electability" of the candidates is a particular concern for Democrats.

So what do we know about who is more likely to win general elections?
Read 13 tweets
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Symbolism
@CodesUcq
10/16/2014 Joe Biden's Son Hunter Was Kicked Out Of The Navy For Cocaine Use
businessinsider.com/hunter-biden-d… #HunterBiden #TheGreatAwakening #Qanon
09/20/2019 Trump Whistleblower Drama Puts Biden In Hot Seat
#JoeBiden bragged about holding $1,000,000,000 in aid for Ukraine hostage
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Read 14 tweets
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Yorick de Mombynes
@ydemombynes
My 140 favorite quotes from The Ethics of Money Production (2008), by Jörg Guido Hülsmann
1. “#Money is omnipresent in modern life, yet the production of money does not seem to warrant any moral assessment”. J.G.Hülsmann
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Victoria Brownworth #PrideMonth
@VABVOX
#Biden slumps, #Buttigieg soars, tied with #Sanders and #Warren, #Harris next in benchmark #Iowa poll thehill.com/homenews/campa…
Critical point here is that the MSM is claiming that #Sanders "came within a handful of votes" of #HillaryClinton, when he lost in a landslide of 4M votes, 1k pledged delegates (not SDs) and a dozen states.
2/
This false narrative harms #Sanders--it's meant to highlight how badly he's doing in 2020 and prop up #Biden. But Sanders is actually doing better than in 2016. There are just more players. And Biden is being replaced by a younger centrist, #Buttigieg.
3/
Read 8 tweets
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Lola Netty
@TXTrumpette89
The prosecutor #Biden got fired was leading a wide-ranging corruption probe into the natural gas firm #Burisma Holdings that employed Biden’s younger son, Hunter, as a board member. thehill.com/opinion/white-…
Last year, Biden bragged at a foreign policy event about his threats to the Ukrainian president but left out the part about his son’s company being investigated.

dailywire.com/news/45438/vic…
Joe Biden, His Son & the Case Against a Ukrainian Oligarch

nytimes.com/2015/12/09/wor…
Read 27 tweets

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