As polls show that @BernieSanders may have a strong win in actual IA votes, the move is on to water it down with "new" ideas to count results such as looking at delegate count. BTW, Biden is now at 25% in the latest SC poll. He was never this low there in all of 2019.
If Bernie holds or outperforms in IA, he will have a strong win in NH (Feb 11) where he has now a strong lead. At that point, he increases his share in NV (Feb 22) to catch or pass Biden who will likely also continue to deflate in SC (Feb 29) from his once-strong position in the
polls. Latest (Courier) poll has gotten little attention but Biden's lead in SC is down to 5 points (but it's just one poll). I am not making predictions at this point about the Dem race. I am only summarizing where things stand per the polls now 20 hours before the #IACaucus.
Where the polls stand now in the first four states is that if Bernie wins IA (with a clear lead), he then likely steamrolls his opponents in the next few states because he will cement in NH where is already strong and rise in NV/SC. So... Let's see first how IA turns out.
Biden's support in SC (votes Sat Feb 29) according to polling by the Post & Courier:
46% May 6-9, 2019
37% June 11-14, 2019
36% Aug 9-12, 2019
30% Oct 15-21, 2019
27% Dec 6-11, 2019
25% Jan 26-29, 2020
SC is considered Biden's stronghold. Let's see IA first.
46% May 6-9, 2019
37% June 11-14, 2019
36% Aug 9-12, 2019
30% Oct 15-21, 2019
27% Dec 6-11, 2019
25% Jan 26-29, 2020
SC is considered Biden's stronghold. Let's see IA first.
