2/11 A look @ #PE, the state of #US public markets & murky #PrivateCredit dynamics..Co's increasingly avoiding the relative 'daylight' of public markets & #PE driving #IPOs as they take the #Exit..PE crew has been minting it in increasingly covenant lite private credit markets..
3/11 #VirusMarketWatch: Comparing front-load costs in key equity markets between Covid-19 & SARS....
5/11 A look at Central Bank controlled #DigitalCurrencies through BIS tinted glasses...The promise, the elements of "decentralisation" & overview of current retail #CBDC projects globally...#GlobalTrends
6/11 Overview of 'consolidated claims of reporting banks on #China'...at $1.2trln Foreign claims appear manageable & the #UK banks/investors appear to carry most of it...#EMs#Risks
7/11 Overview of 'Total #debt securities by residence and sector of issuer...#US#China#Japan#UK
9/11 Overview of 'Global bank #credit to the non-financial sector by residence of borrower..' (Banks cross-border credit + local credit in all currencies) #EMs inc. #China is elevated but appears to be mainly a local situation with only a sliver of cross-border loans...
10/11 Overview of downward trend in #USD denominated credit to non-banks outside the #US & overview of 'foreign currency credit to non-banks in #EMs...
11/11 Overview of 'total #credit to the government sector at market value (core debt % to GDP)...#Italy & #UK the outliers in #Europe & #Japan the undisputed leader...#GlobalTrends
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3/5 #US looking for some revenues...#tax bracket creep...An attempt at some humour; modelling potential cuts to deficit to keep debt equal to 100% of GDP...Consequences of rising #debt & some historic context...#Deficits 2020-2030...#Macro#Risk
The Tower of Basel dropped the 'Quarterly Review: International banking & financial market developments' so I loaded up on espresso & blueberries & dove in2 this trove of soothing CB lingo mixed with some Sufi wisdom & colourful illlus: bis.org/publ/qtrpdf/r_… Some takeaways 1/5
2/5 Riddle me this; "Stock markets rebound unevenly amid downgraded earnings expectations." & "Corp #credit spreads tighten despite indications of persistently high credit #risk" & "funding costs for #EM sovs drop despite weak pf inflows."
3/5 Heads up: "Firms desired leverage can be excessive if companies do not account for all financial distress costs..." "Share buybacks rose just as valuations began to rise..." & "#Credit#risk rose with leverage but it only revealed itself during market stress..."
WIPO has published their +400 page 'Global #Innovation Index 2020: Who will finance innovation report out...full of insights...here are a few key takeaways...(1/3) Bracing for a downturn & impact from the economic slowdown...
3/3 Top R&D spending by sector as share of global top R&D spenders...Top R&D spending firm by sector...Share of global #VC inv by sector...The positive relationship between #innovation & development...
@McKinsey_MGI has a report out titled; '#Risk, resilience & rebalancing in global value chains' it holds some good insights into trends in #GlobalTrade...Here are some takeaways...1/4 Large companies has global #SupplyChains w. 1000s of suppliers, disruption risks varies...
2/4 #Globalisation has been changing in the last decade, sector concentration varies between industries, poten. losses from #SupplyChain disruptions can be as high as 42% of 1 years EBITDA..Supply chain #shocks are becoming more frequent & severe...