Also, I predict the economic impact of coronavirus is going to be way way WAY bigger than the markets have priced in. I say that knowing the extent of the market rout last week.
Why? Because schools are closed. Which means: kids need to be cared for...
This means businesses will be down employees. This means the parents/caregivers who don’t have paid time off/paid sick leave won’t
Which means less household income.
Which means less household spending.
Which means...you get the picture, right?
The human health toll matters the most.
But the economic impact will, ultimately, have...
People who can’t afford to go without a paycheck but are forced to because someone needs to stay home with the kids during school closures, could risk food and housing insecurity.
Obviously, containment of the virus must be the priority.
But negative...
Online shopping will increase. Streaming
So, prepare for an economic slowdown. And likely more market corrections, no matter what the Fed does to try to prop up the house of cards.
Remember: Health > wealth but I’m trained in economics,