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THREAD on Iran's economic meltdown:

The regime's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei last Wednesday issued an Executive Order sending Iran's 2020-2021 budget bill to the Guardian Council without Parliament's approval, using the #Coronavirus crisis as an excuse.
en.parliran.ir/eng/en/Content…
By bypassing lawmakers Khamenei hasn't solved Iran's economic crisis. He's simply swept it under the rug. The new budget is 20176016794000000 Rials.
~20000 trillion Rials = $480 billion (official rate) or $132 billion (actual rate). The regime has nowhere near that kind of income
Iran's 2019 budget was based on oil exports of 1.54M bpd at $54/barrel. But US sanctions brought exports as low as 100000 bpd. The new budget is based on sales of 1M bpd at $50/barrel, so income will be < last year. Oil/gas revenue is estimated at $10.83B (454986 billion Rials).
To make up for low oil sales, Iran's regime plans to raise taxes by 27% from ~$36.5 billion in this year's budget to ~$46.4 billion, bringing in an extra ~$10 billion.

REALITY CHECK: Iran's starving population don't have an extra $10 billion for the mullahs' global terror agenda
The last time Iran's regime tried to extract more $ from the ppl by raising gas prices, #IranProtests erupted in 191 cities, leaving 1500+ protesters killed & the regime 1 step from being overthrown. Khamenei knows further price hikes could cost him dearly ncr-iran.org/en/iran-protes…
In Iran the real earners - the IRGC's economic enterprises, Khamenei's EIKO hedge fund & the Astan Quds conglomerate - are tax-exempt. The IRGC wastes billions of Iran's national treasures on terror and wars in Iraq, Lebanon, Syria & Yemen as millions of Iranians live in poverty.
Iran's new budget includes a 15% pay raise to all government employees which sounds like a good thing. In fact the inflation rate at the start of 2020 was 40%, (Source tehrantimes.com/news/443289/In…) meaning the pay raise is not really a raise. Those employees will be 25% poorer overall
The Iranian regime's apologists in the US claim Maximum Pressure by @realDonaldTrump will rally Iran's people behind the regime. That's pure fiction. A common chant in the #IranProtests is "Our enemy is right here. They're lying when they say it's America"
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