Thread on today's preprints on effects of mitigation measures #COVID2019 #COVID19 @PublicHealthMap #coronavirus
medrxiv.org/content/10.110… Early-initiated short-term government-imposed social distancing buy time for healthcare systems to prepare for an increasing COVID-19 burden.
medrxiv.org/content/10.110… Early-initiated short-term government-imposed social distancing buy time for healthcare systems to prepare for an increasing COVID-19 burden.
medrxiv.org/content/10.110… Delaying intervention 4 weeks after March 8, 2020 would cause the maximum number of cumulative cases of death increase from 7,174 to 133,608 and the ending points of the epidemic postponed from Jun 25 to Aug 22.
medrxiv.org/content/10.110… Both Europe and the USA are at early stages of the outbreak, posing significant health and economic risks to the world in absence of serious measures.
medrxiv.org/content/10.110… Containment measures, social distancing measures and changes in population behaviour successfully prevented spread of COVID-19 and reduced influenza transmission. However, it may be challenging to avoid fatigue and sustain these measures.
medrxiv.org/content/10.110… Voluntary event cancellation in Japan reduced COVID−19 infectiousness by 35%, but R0 remains higher than one.
medrxiv.org/content/10.110… The sizes of outbreak in provinces of mainland China mainly depended on the numbers of cases imported from Wuhan as the local reproduction numbers were low. The COVID-19 epidemic should be controllable with appropriate interventions.
