So since I have had a bunch of people write me in respectful and many much less respectful manner about what I am saying about corona let me try and clarify what I am and what I am not saying. 1/n
1. I am NOT saying go to that rave in Wuhan and lick the flag pole on dare. Please take precautions.
2. I am not saying it is no big deal. The economic hit at this point independent of disease, is going to be large globally. Even under very optimistic assumptions, this will 2/n
2. I am not saying it is no big deal. The economic hit at this point independent of disease, is going to be large globally. Even under very optimistic assumptions, this will 2/n
Likely be markedly worse the swine flu.
3. I AM saying there are large unknowns with information and knowledge improving, updating, changing almost daily. If you are certain in your opinion I know right away you are wrong. Making decisions in shadow of unknowns is hard 3/n
3. I AM saying there are large unknowns with information and knowledge improving, updating, changing almost daily. If you are certain in your opinion I know right away you are wrong. Making decisions in shadow of unknowns is hard 3/n
4. I AM saying there are lots of people scare mongering and making astoundingly faulty statements with absolute certainty of conviction. As I've said over and over, be prudent but don't panic. 4/n
5. I am saying details and facts matter enormously. Is Italy a good comparison or are there reasons it might not be? What do we know about testing? What is the trade off between speed and accuracy we should be making? Simply screaming you don't care about lives isn't helpful 5/n
6. Don't blame Asians in the US or anywhere. Even in China they think their government handled it badly. Just don't.
7. Yes, take precautions. Be careful. Don't panic. Apply some common sense to what you hear. Vodka can be used as hand sanitizer.
Done.
7. Yes, take precautions. Be careful. Don't panic. Apply some common sense to what you hear. Vodka can be used as hand sanitizer.
Done.
