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NEW: Saturday 28 March update of coronavirus mortality trajectories

• UK passes Italy, 2nd only to Spain for deaths at this stage of outbreak 📈
• US deaths doubling every 3 days, curve keeps steepening
• India tracking US

Live version FREE TO READ: ft.com/content/a26fbf…
All countries’ death toll trajectories:
• German deaths curve still tracking Italy. Low fatality *rate* in Germany masks high death *numbers*
• Australia added. So far on a flatter curve than other Anglophone countries, but very early days

All charts: ft.com/content/a26fbf…
Death curves in subnational regions:

• London climbs sharply. 96 more deaths announced today, curve heading towards Wuhan ⚠️
• Louisiana & New Jersey deaths doubling every 2 days
• New York, Catalonia, Madrid, Paris the urban epicentres

All charts: ft.com/content/a26fbf…
Latest case trajectories for major countries:

• Turkey continues to look bad. Setting the pace for confirmed cases
• UK cases curve shows no signs of flattening

New reporting from @yuanfenyang & co on whether you can trust Chinese data: ft.com/content/4aa352…
This chart shows ALL countries with several days of data over 100 confirmed cases, so you can compare case trajectories in the US to the UAE or China to Chile. 70 countries shown.

Live versions of all charts here: ft.com/content/a26fbf…
Here's my explainer on why we're using log scales:
And why we're showing absolute numbers rather than population-adjusted rates:
Please email john.burn-murdoch@ft.com with feedback, requests & subnational data.

All these are invaluable, and we continue to incorporate your suggestions and data every day.

I’ll keep getting back to as many people as possible.

Enjoy those Saturday night lockdowns, folks!
Special thanks today to friendly academics from KU Leuven and Stockholm Uni, who shared subnational data for Belgium and Sweden.

We’ll soon be adding a grid of charts showing all US states plus regions from Spain, Italy, France, Germany, UK, Switzerland, Belgium, Sweden and more
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh.

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More from @jburnmurdoch see all

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John Burn-Murdoch
@jburnmurdoch
NEW: Fri 3 April update of coronavirus trajectories

First, daily new deaths
• US & UK both likely to pass Spain for peak daily deaths
• Daily death tolls in the thousands to become the norm in US
• UK now clearly steeper than Italy

Live charts: ft.com/coronavirus-la…
How does that look cumulatively?
• US slope still far steeper than any other at this stage. Why? US is now dealing with multiple overlapping outbreaks, keeping the pace up. US will likely have highest death toll globally within a week.

All charts: ft.com/coronavirus-la…
Now daily new cases:
• US still boldly going where no country has gone before, at >20k new confirmed cases per day. Destined to end up the worst-affected country in the world.
• France possibly joining Italy and Spain in seeing new cases plateau and begin to dip
Read 14 tweets
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John Burn-Murdoch
@jburnmurdoch
One more new chart thread today:

A cautionary tale for those who think lockdowns will end overnight and life will go straight back to normal.

Movie theatres were told to close when China’s outbreak began, with admissions dropping from millions to a trickle overnight.
~10 days ago, they started reopening, months after lockdowns began 😀

A week later, they were told to close again amid fears of a second outbreak 😔
This is probably how things will play out everywhere.

Restrictions will be released bit by bit, only to be reinstated wholly or in part as infections pick up again.

It’s not just going to be a case of "cool that’s done then, let’s make up for lost time!"
Read 3 tweets
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John Burn-Murdoch
@jburnmurdoch
NEW: Thurs 2 April update of coronavirus trajectories

First, daily new cases
• American exceptionalism. More than 20k new cases per day, each day more than the last
• Spain & Italy both seeing fewer new cases
• Japan’s outbreak continues

Live charts: ft.com/coronavirus-la…
How does that look on the old cumulative chart?

• Globally we’ve now passed 1m confirmed cases. Almost 25% are in the US
• Fauci reckons US alone could easily pass 1m
• No signs yet of US curve flattening

All charts: ft.com/coronavirus-la…
Now daily new deaths:

• US & UK are straight lines angling upwards on a log scale. This is not good.
• In both countries, over the last week every day brings ~25% more new deaths than the day before
• No other countries are on that steep a trajectory at this stage of outbreak
Read 13 tweets

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Dr. Dena Grayson
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#Coronavirus latest:

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New #Coronavirus thread starts now. Click this tweet and scroll up and you'll eventually get back to January 23rd. Have fun with that.
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@Filomen03258997
13. Holocaust in Yemen caused by US, France, UK, Saudi Arabia, UAEmirates, Israel, Bahrain, Egypt, Jordan, Kuwait, Senegal, Sudan, Qatar, Morocco, Canada, Australia, Germany
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threadreaderapp.com/thread/1109495…
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threadreaderapp.com/thread/1112537…
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