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For today's #coronadiary, 29/03/20, #Pisa...

As the security services warn the government of an embyronic revolt in the South...

... how inequality and the black economy are making lockdown tougher for Italy’s people, economy, and society.[1/x]
For @WPReview - @alexevansuk and I wrote about three interlocking emergencies, each unfolding at its own speed…

1. Public health (2 years)
2. Economic, employment, financial (5+ years)
3. Political, social, cultural (generational) [2/x] worldpoliticsreview.com/articles/28611…
Here in Pisa, the economic crisis arrived before the public health one – as tourists vanished from the city in January.

2019 was the year Tuscany’s exports finally reached levels last seen before 2008's financial crash and Eurozone near meltdown [3/x] ilmessaggero.it/economia/news/…
Tourism is of course now entirely dead. The airport has one flight a day (utterly needlessly to Rome – take the bloody train if you must travel).

When shops shut their doors three weeks ago, we wondered how many will never open again. [4/x] iltirreno.gelocal.it/pontedera/cron…
Even one of the food shops in my Small Shops thread has gone dark – the cheesemaker’s doors were firmly shut last time we went. [5/x]
Other local industries?

I don’t see much of a future for the shipyards building luxury yachts. [6/x]
cantieridipisa.com
But things look MUCH worse further south.

Inequality is very high. And the benefit system doesn't help. The Bank of Italy calls it “poorly designed” – funnelling cash to pensioners but “do[ing] little to support young households" without work. [7/x] bancaditalia.it/pubblicazioni/…
Geography drives Italy’s inequality – with a big gap widening further after the 2008 financial crisis and subsequent near meltdown in the Eurozone.

This trend was just beginning to go into reverse and then this bloody virus hit. [8/x]
Now we see the first signs of tsocial contract fraying in the South…

“For now, the unrest and protests are embryonic, but the danger of an explosion is high.”

The security services are tracking people plotting on Facebook to raid supermarkets and shopping centres. [9/x]
A flash mob turned up at Lidl in Palermo “stormed the store,” filled their trolleys, and then refused to pay.

“These are people who cannot afford to shop… We are collapsing.” [10/x]

palermotoday.it/cronaca/tensio…
A big part of the problem – 3.7 million black market workers who are last in line for a bailout. 80% of them live in the South.

12% of Italy's GDP is in the black economy. [11/x] thelocal.it/20191015/italy…
This is going to be a huge justice challenge for Italy and we’re seeing similar patterns of unrest emerging elsewhere.

Even in China! [12/x] scmp.com/news/china/soc…
Standby for more insights on this next week in a briefing from @sdg16plus and its justice partners – drawing on the Justice for All report. [13/13] justice.sdg16.plus/report
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