Latest data / news I'm looking at. More hopeful news:
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Novartis CEO "Pre-clinical studies in animals as well as the first data from clinical studies show that hydroxychloroquine kills the coronavirus," Pfizer also doing tests. FDA approces Chloraquine for use (with, of course, medical supervision).
New report at Imperial College suggests that if UK stays on current trajectory of social distancing then total # of deaths could be 5700. Flu season in UK took 26,000 lives. Same report says that US will top out at 28,000 deaths (< half of flu)
Italy continues to stabilize or even downtick. March 21: new deaths were 793, March 30, 753. Daily new cases way down as well although that metric not as important. (source: worldometers.info
The National Medical Products Administration of China has approved the use of Favilavir, an anti-viral drug, as a treatment for coronavirus. The drug has reportedly shown efficacy in treating the disease with minimal side effects in a clinical trial involving 70 patients
About 20 other companies in trials for vaccines and drugs. Remdesivir (GS-5734) by Gilead Sciences. Actemra by Roche to treat coronavirus-related complications. The antiviral drug Galidesivir (BCX4430) by Biocryst, etc.
Abbot Labs has new 5 minute test: thestreet.com/investing/abbo… 2 million overall tests to be distributed this week so don't be surprised if cases surge (but keep an eye on "daily new deaths").
As China gets back to work (week 2 or 3 of no lockdown in Wuhan), number of new cases: 0, number of new deaths: 5. Important to study this data to see if they re-spike. IMPORTANT to see if going back to "normal" doesn;t bring back virus. China is the lab for this.
Sweden: no lockdown, no aggressive testing. Number of new deaths yesterday: 5, down from a high of 28. The virus seems to be skipping Sweden. Perhaps high natural social distancing has avoided spread.
United States: number of new deaths AND number of new cases down from the day before. No more exponential growth (e.g. "doubling every three days"). But, of course, we'll see. I still think peak happens around April 15 but hopefully stabilize before then.
- Most specialists I talk to agree that the pandemic has a timeline in each country. About 3-4 months. That would put the US end around early June and the peak around April 15, give or take.
The cost of hysteria is real. Man with cancer commits suicide after being diagnosed with Coronavirus. nypost.com/2020/03/27/man…
Social distancing is very important, but we must (as a community) help those who need help: Domestic abuse up: thenewstribune.com/news/local/art… -- I wonder if there is a way to volunteer at hotlines.
Best way to relieve stress, help others. Some resources for remote volunteering: alone.ie/what-we-do/bef…, icouldbe.org/standard/publi…, crisistextline.org/volunteer/ Or find local food lines that need help enforcing social distancing. Else they will be shut down. People need to eat.
