Profile picture
, 4 tweets, 2 min read
My Authors
Read all threads
I don't think people realize that there is no normal to go back to anymore.
At absolute minimum:

1) Supply & demand has been reallocated across the economy, with travel & events zero'd out, remote work & masks to infinity
2) Virus permanently changes public behavior
3) Supply chain disruption just starting
4) More still en route:
Even if the virus did vanish in a puff of smoke and everyone went "back to work", the behavior of billions of people and every country has been permanently changed.

Demand won't quickly come back, borders won't easily reopen, international relations won't be the same.
China is the best case scenario for at least a "new normal", but:

- every citizen is being tracked
- borders have been closed
- demand for many products is way down
- daily behavior has changed

And the US is on track for more disruption than China.
sciencemag.org/news/2020/03/c…
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh.

Enjoying this thread?

Keep Current with Balaji S. Srinivasan

Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

Twitter may remove this content at anytime, convert it as a PDF, save and print for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video

1) Follow Thread Reader App on Twitter so you can easily mention us!

2) Go to a Twitter thread (series of Tweets by the same owner) and mention us with a keyword "unroll" @threadreaderapp unroll

You can practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @balajis see all

Profile picture
Balaji S. Srinivasan
@balajis
The Physical Divide

Digital is now cheap, it’s physical that is expensive.

70 years ago the cost of putting a bunch of transistors on a chip was astronomical. Now that’s cheap. What’s expensive is putting a bunch of people in a room.
In person is now expensive, due to travel bans, gathering bans, bankrupt airlines, lockdown, testing and screening costs.

And budgets are tight. And will be tighter.

So everything that can be done over the internet will be done over the internet.

A digital-first society.
It’s kind of amazing. 25 years ago the physical world was primary and the internet was the mirror. You had to minimize internet traffic.

Now it’s the opposite. The internet is primary. And you have to minimize physical traffic.
Read 4 tweets
Profile picture
Balaji S. Srinivasan
@balajis
The decentralization of film is about to accelerate.

Hollywood's productions have been shut down, movie theaters have zero revenue, and (symbolically) new movies are finally streaming first.

It had been sequels & stasis for a while.

Now it's all moving to AI video on laptops.
Clips are from this Screenrant piece, which details how Hollywood's underlying financial troubles are going to be exacerbated by this crisis.
screenrant.com/hollywood-coro…

Box Office Mojo shows the collapse in movie theater revenue.
boxofficemojo.com/weekly/?ref_=b…
There had already been a trend of YouTube stars and low budget indie productions, but now that's going to dominate everything.

Here's a good overview piece on AI video.
Read 6 tweets
Profile picture
Balaji S. Srinivasan
@balajis
How to get a vaccine as fast as possible?

1) List all credible vaccine candidates
2) Recruit enough volunteers for challenge trials
3) Obtain sufficient funds, legal assistance, lab, hospital space for each trial
4) Execute all trials in parallel
More on the challenge trials proposed by @mlipsitch. Basically, test an experimental vaccine by exposing volunteers to live virus under controlled conditions.

Gates is funding seven candidates. We might be able to help with patient recruitment.
Amazing list of COVID19 treatments and vaccines by @golden! It attempts to be comprehensive, so please point out if there's another one to add. I count 26 here.

golden.com/wiki/Cluster%3…
Read 3 tweets

Related threads

Profile picture
Brenna 🧢
@Beerenna
People who think that @BernieSanders gets us closer to @AndrewYang's vision for America don't actually understand Yang's vision for America: A Thread

#YangGang #EndorseUBI
#Bernie2020 #NotMeUs

(1/16)
First of all, #Yang wants a unified America. One where there isn't a huge political divide and so much hate and conflict. He doesn't alienate anyone.

#Bernie is incredibly divisive and angry and will only cause tensions to rise if given the nomination or the presidency.

(2/16)
The #FederalJobsGuarantee goes against Yang's vision because #Yang wants to redefine work in an age where jobs are being automated away and where work that has intrinsic human value isn't being recognized by the market.
#FJG ≠ #UBI.

(3/16)
Read 16 tweets
Profile picture
ラウラ • 🐰🐱 au in bio❗️
@funkytownangel
Yoongi holds his breath—this was the moment he was patiently awaiting. When JK would become more than just a face on the stage, and be a member of the band, a part of the team that makes this whole thing possible.

“Something sounds different.”

“Different?” The band leader+
repeats. “How? What?”

“The piano.”

Yoongi’s heart falls to his stomach. How could JK tell? Did he see where Yoongi went to when they entered? Did Yoongi mess up somewhere along the way? He doesn’t recall missing a key or placing his fingers out of line, but he may have.
“Ah, we have a new main pianist.”

“Is that what it is?” JK doesn’t even look at the band, at the piano, or any of it.

“Yes.”

“Let’s continue then.”

Yoongi is so startled by the non-compliment/non-ridicule that he misses the conductor counting them in, getting behind.
Read 1553 tweets
Profile picture
s • taekook aus thread
@taekookwriting
taekook au ;

to help pay for graduate school, taehyung decides to take on a part time job as a housekeeper at a mansion on the wealthy side of town; he doesn’t expect to become so attached to its cute owner & single dad, jungkook and his little son

#taekookau #taekook #vkookau
Taehyung double checked the address on his phone before looking up at the mansion in front of him. To say it was large would be an understatement; with its gray & tan stoned driveway and tall, swaying palm trees, this was easily one of the most beautiful houses he had ever seen.
He walked up to the ornate mahogany door, taking in the intricate patterns carved into the wood, marveling at the level of detail that went into it. He rang the doorbell once, twice before turning the doorknob, surprised that it was unlocked.

He looked down at his phone again
Read 276 tweets
Profile picture
Jason Beale
@jabeale
People hyping the notion that the full, unredacted Mueller report will be damaging to Trump should go back and review AG Barr's testimony, keeping in mind that Barr has read the report. One particular exchange may stand out. He was asked if he agreed with Trump's "witch hunt"...
...characterization, and his response was, "As I said during my confirmation, it depends where you're sitting. If you are somebody who is being falsely accused of something, you would tend to view it..." He was then interrupted. Doesn't sound like someone who's read a damning...
...report on conspiracy and obstruction. One would expect a more circumspect response were the details in the report anything other that what we've been hearing publicly for two years now. Barr knows what he's talking about, unlike every single person predicting blockbusters...
Read 4 tweets
Profile picture
Raman Ghavami
@Raman_Ghavami
Many Iranians criticised one of BBC Farsi’s journalists for her comments on Iran-Hezbullah relations. Some have even threatened her that she won’t be allowed to go back to Iran after the fall of the regime. Many Iranians believe some of @bbcpersian journalists support the regime.
In the past few days some anti-BBC slogans have been chanted by the protesters in Iran. In a comment one of BBCFarsi journalist claims that ‘Trump wants to turn Iran into another Syria by starting a civil war etc’. The same propaganda which is pumped out by Iranian state media.
Some of @BBCPersian journalists block anyone who criticises them. One of its journalists in particular has publicly supported A.Khamenei on his social media pages. I have written to a few MPs and the BBC about. Will see if BBC is interested in opening an investigation.
@BBC
Read 5 tweets

Trending hashtags

#hampton #immigrant #uknews #mentalhealth #CoronavirusPandemic #MAJORCRIME #Outlook #DIRTYLAWYERS #unforeseeable #liverpool #humanrights #justice #illegal #dunnit #Corruption #victimized #FORWARD #futureofwork #cityam #UKJudiciary #conspiracy #UKSupremeCourt #WomenInSTEM #RockAndAHardPlace #dumb

Embed code for your website

×
Follow Us on Twitter!

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just three indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3.00/month or $30.00/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!